kent
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Everything posted by kent
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Thanks for your input Summer Sun its nice to think that someone so detached from this area is thinking of us. I personally have not seen a single snow flake this winter as indeed winters past. Its not so much for me but the Grandchildren who I would love the possibility of building a snowman with. Memories like that are priceless.
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ECM great for cold out to day 10 then a reload from NE. For us down here at present its all eyes fixed on the development of the low Thurs.night into Friday. Further north could mean a few hours of snow turning to rain. More to the south then epic blizzards. Still time for changes from all models and more runs needed. I don't know about you lot but I need a prescription for something to calm my nerves and something a bit stronger than gin lol. Its agonising just waiting for the next set of runs. I need to take the mutt out for a good long walk.
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The wording no immediate concerns of snow is the factor here. Detailed snow prediction for more than 3 days ahead can be taken with the biggest pinch of salt you can muster. Snow forecasting is arguably the most difficult and complicated thing to forecast. Quite commonly unexpected factors can arise and throw off all predictions.
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Unsure whether its been mentioned on here but lag that outside tap. If you can isolate it before the outlet even better but make sure to drain the water out and unclip any hoses. If you cant disconnect the supply then lag the pipes and tap making sure you get behind any outside pipes running up outside walls.If you haven't got any fibreglass or pipe lagging then anything that is waterproof even rags covered with plastic bags. May not look very slghtly lol but believe me a burst water pipe in a thaw can do a lot of damage so check your insurance policy just in case.
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GFS is only bad from a coldies view point Being a snow lover and not seeing a single snow flake yet again for another winter and not wanting to be led up the garden path anymore GFS ops suggesting 15 degrees plus by day 10 look good to me now so bring it on I say.
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I was reading a report from the Met Office this morning which said quote. UK weather latest. Britain braces for arctic temperatures as sudden stratospheric warming ushers in big freeze. The phenomenon which causes the stratosphere to heat up very quickly greatly increase the risk of wintry weather the Met Office said and could usher in arctic temperatures from Tuesday onward. But they are still waiting to see how the atmosphere will respond as in previous years it has led to a disruption of the jet stream. Could be the reason why the models cant get to grips on what the hell is happening up there lol.
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Well I personally haven't seen one single snowflake this winter and as per usual do not expect to see any change in that outlook. Its the same every year living here in this micro climate. Model output full of promise always collapsing when the event draws near. Without wishing to sound an old misery I would rather now the models didn't show any cold spell then I could avoid another probable disappointment and concentrate on looking forward to the spring. Its a lovely day today and I just want more of the same and to feel the sun on my back. I find it astonishing that many posters in the MAD thread with the realisation that there isn't going to be any snow comment with "At least its going to be cold" Cold for colds sake doesn't do it for me.