Sawel
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Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
You won't have to wait much longer for your turn -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
clip uploaded - -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
This is something new to me as I've never in my life experienced uppers so cold before - that last shower was like something I've never witnessed before. I've taken a clip but it's too big for here. -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
Wow, what a jaw-dropping snow shower that was, if you've ever watched deadliest catch and some of the snowfalls they put up with..... incredible!!! -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
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Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
Guessing measurements should be banned! I'm guessing we have 25cms... -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
Your location under your username says "Giravn" -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
Is that where you used to live before you moved to 'Giravn'? -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
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Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
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Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
Has the text forecast changed from this morning? -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
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Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
When I say "toning down" I mean from epic amounts being forecast by the likes of ECM a few days back to sizeable amounts. Plus, I'm just referring to this area (Dundee). On the MO website, it changes all the time but I notice it's much less inclined to show anywhere near the amount of heavy snow symbols compared to areas across the central belt for tomorrow and Thursday. Sorry - no idea why it has quoted Quinach @edo -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
The ECM precip charts and other models have most of the precipitation for the central belt tomorrow and Thursday. Could just be me but here at least anyway, there seems to be a gradual toning down of the amount being forecast. I know those automated symbols on the MO website aren't much of a guide but compared to a few days ago, there's very dark cloud "heavy snow" symbols. The ECM precip charts have an epic amount of snow for tomorrow for Edinburgh on Yr.no. -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
I think it's quite possible as there will be pretty significant disruption across the central belt tomorrow. The red warnings seem to be reserved for the most populous areas. London had a red warning for about 5 cms of snow a few years back. The amount of snow is not really what warrants a red warning I believe but it's the disruption expected and the central belt should should warrant one because there's going to be a lot of snow and it will cause havoc on such a populated area with some of the busiest motorways in the UK. -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
You will get your fill of snow and then some. There will be a very strong wind to accompany the snow showers so they'll definitely blow through to you. I remember in 2010, for a few days there was a very slack flow and areas right on the coast were under an amber warning whereas a few miles inland, there was no warning because the showers hugged the coast only. Some areas will see easterly winds right up until Sunday with Wed/Thurs/Fri looking like the main days. Even Saturday has potential (at the moment). -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
I'm even further up past there - I'm just past St Marys (Brackens area) up near Clatto. It can be quite strange leaving a snowy environment to then be surrounded by green fields and sleet only a couple of minutes down the road! I believe a lot of rooves collapsed up around here back in 2010 due to the weight of the snow, particularly in Ardler as many houses there were of a particular design. -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
I'd gladly settle for that come the end of Wednesday! Thursday and Friday both looking interesting too. -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
I'm off work this week (self-employed) due to the severity of the weather forecast as I work outside. I haven't experienced a proper easterly blast up here in the extreme NW of Dundee. I wasn't living here during 2010 - I lived closer to town. I'm looking forward to see how many cms I can get. -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
"Blizzard" - perhaps the most common overused description from someone when it snows. Most people have no idea what a real blizzard actually is like. A bit of wind and heavy snow is not a blizzard! However, some of us may see proper blizzard conditions over the coming week! -
Given that the -15c uppers are to be over N. Ireland very briefly from about 6am Wednesday morning until just before midday, I'd suggest going outside and experiencing it as it will possibly never happen in your lifetime again.
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Model output discussion - the beast arrives
Sawel replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The UKMO, GEM and ICON all keen to keep much of the country cold into next week. I wonder if the ECM will joint the party later.- 1,198 replies
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Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
And... yellow warning upgraded to amber for Thursday. -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Sawel replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
I'm still expecting Thursday's yellow warning to be upgraded to amber tomorrow or no later than Wednesday. I'd expect to see at least a yellow warning for Friday nearer the time and this too could possibly turn to amber. -
Model output discussion - the beast arrives
Sawel replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I notice the UKMO run was very consistent with yesterday's 12Z but the fax charts look similar to the ECM run. Will be interesting to see what the UKMO 12z does - it's not exactly alone as the GEM isn't dissimilar and ICON too.- 1,198 replies
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