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Sawel

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Everything posted by Sawel

  1. Plenty of snow up the Sperrins (North Tyrone). The higher peaks of the Derryveagh Mountains on the other side of Donegal had snow too but nowhere else within a 80 mile (approx) radius had the white stuff.
  2. Never heard of Mullagharan. I'm familiar with Mullaghcarn which is a few miles from Omagh and is the most southerly peak in the Sperrins. The northern Sperrins have a couple of separate peaks called 'Mullaghclogher' and 'Mullaghclogha'. Is Mullagharan definitely a separate hill from Mullaghcarn?
  3. Those maps (and forecasts for the next 7 days) are based on the MOGREPS ensembles and not the UKMO run.
  4. That spell brought the most snow I've ever seen by far and after asking an eldery neighbour, she told me the last time she had seen snow as bad as this was the Winter of 47.
  5. I'm just in from work. I left at 915 this morning and arrived at a garage 10 mins away and took a pic straight away to capture my white van not blending in with the green surroundings
  6. I've been looking at all the precipitation charts which are available to us in the public domain over the years and the EURO4 is not the best. I find the ECM precipitation charts to be nearer the mark although it only really gives an idea as to how much precipitation there will be, rather than type. For example... This evening's 12Z output has a lot for much of Scotland...
  7. GFS has now pushed the PPN further North and it is looking very intense for central parts of Scotland. Looking at things, there could be some significant falls of snow in places yet a few miles away it could be rain. ECM, UKMO and GFS now on the same wavelength - the potential for significant snowfall for some parts on Thursday morning, lasting much of the day. I think the further North you are in the main PPN area and away from the coast the better the chance of snow.
  8. Yep, the GFS and Arpege have the bulk of precipitation further South but the ECM and UKMO have it quite a bit further North.
  9. More than enough to build a snowman!
  10. Still plenty of snow here. Hopefully see a couple of hours snowfall tonight... I live beside a country park and went for a wee stroll. Plenty of ice on the reservoir
  11. Probably the biggest surprise snowfall I've had for quite a few years here in the extreme NW of Dundee. At 545am this morning I heard my letterbox knocking 4-5 times and thought who the hell would be knocking at this time! I quickly realised there was no one there and saw the gleam of the snow through the glass and thought bloody hell... So I opened the door and was stunned to see how much had fallen because according the EURO4 and BBC weather forecasts, the band was to break up before it reached Dundee. The GFS showed a bit of precipitation to make it here but nothing significant and only the ECM Precipitation charts on en.vedur.is showed reasonable precipitation making it here but even then it was quite undercooked! I measured 3 and a half to 4 inches... it was very windy and a bit of the snow had blown. Even lower parts of the city got a decent fall! Epic fail for EURO4 and the BBC weather forecast!
  12. Anything with a northerly component from W to N is pretty poor for these parts. A direct Westerly and South of West flow can delivery snow here but once there's a Northerly element, the showers don't normally make it this far and break up with perhaps an odd flurry here and there. With a very strong wind, an odd heavy shower can make it across but all in all, we're too far East.
  13. Not sure why Much of East Scotland and Dundee is under a weather warning for snow. A North Westerly and Northerly are terrible for snow prospects here.
  14. From those stats, the GEM has been closer to the GFS than the GFS has been to the UKMO over this past year.
  15. That's the 12Z stats. The UKMO still verifies better than the GFS long term. The 00z stats has the UKMO comfortably outperforming the GFS long term. The other stats I have attached shows the UKMO outperforming the GFS long term at 120 hours since 2007. Each model gets it wrong now and again but over the years, the UKMO is the second best model. The notion that "the UKMO has a poor verification record at 144 hrs" is 10 years out of date.
  16. I'm back in N. Ireland for Christmas. Can anyone confirm if there's any snow in Dundee? Particularly the far NW of the city.
  17. Clann Na nGael! Played at all levels with them until I went to Scotland for uni. We had a very strong senior team for a few years which I was part of until I left for uni. We finished 3rd in Division 1 in our first year after two successive promotions from Division 3. It's unfortunate that with a lot of teams, they lose some players who move across the water to attend uni. During my under 16 and under 18 years, I recall some very competitive matches against Loughmacrory. I remember playing them 4-5 times and all the games were very tight.
  18. Hi Sperrin, yes that pic was taken on the Donemana to Plumbridge road. I grew up and lived just before you reach the gaelic football pitch in Donemana coming along the Plumbridge road. My mum lives there. That pic was taken just up the road a bit - only a 2 minute drive. I also lived in Aughabrack and have a lot of cousins and uncles who live there. My mum told me about the snow in the early 1960's when she lived on my late grandfathers farm in Aughabrack with incredibly high drifts and the snow lay for months upon end. I'm familiar with Loughmacrory and that area as I played a lot of GAA when I was younger and played at Loughmacrory a lot.
  19. Home in North Tyrone for Christmas and was bored so grabbed a quick picture yesterday (Thursday) in between the brutally heavy rain showers! I have attached a pic of the Sperrins and have numbered the peaks in view. 1. Sawel. You can just about make out this mountain and it was holding a good snow cover. It is the highest peak in the Sperrins at 678 metres above sea level. 2. Dart Mountain. Once again you can just about make this mountain out. Altitude 619 metres. 3. Mullaclogha. A little obscured by low cloud cover - this is the second highest mountain in the Sperrins and the highest peak in Tyrone, Bizarrely though, it is not the highest point in Tyrone! The highest point in Tyrone is near the top of Sawel where a fence marks the county boundary which separates Derry and Tyrone. This fence is some 20 metres below the peak and therefore, is 640 odd metres above sea level making it very slightly higher than the peak of Mullaclogha which is 635 metres above sea level. 4. Mullaghasturrakeen. Some cloud obscuring the peak of this one too. Altitude is 581 metres. 5. Mullaghclogher. Not sure why this is named so similar to it's higher friend a few peaks across. Some low cloud on this one too. Altitude 572 metres 6. Mullaghcarbatagh. The smallest of the six peaks in view at 517 metres.
  20. Cheers for the reply Ian, like you say it will be intriguing to watch how the winter months unfold.
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