Sawel

I imagine the yellow warning for Thursday will be upgraded to Amber nearer the time. I don't think the MO normally issue Amber warnings that far in advance.

"Frequent and heavy snow showers for the rest of the week. Travel disruption likely." Not sure I've seen a forecast like that before!

Eastern parts of Ireland will see snow from the Easterly... Other parts of Ireland could see snow if the low moves up through.

The clusters normally come out after 10pm which should help with that.

UKMO precipitation chart shows snow hitting Eastern parts of Scotland on Monday morning. That's the start of the wintry spell up here with snow forecast until Friday at least.

The EC mean shows the low being more progressive than previous suites but not to the extent of the OP run.

They're more obsessed with it being too mild next weekend.

-15c uppers make it across Northern Ireland at around +90hrs on the last 2 GFS runs. A trawl through the archives reveals that last happened in February 1991.

Yep, couldn't bite my tongue any longer so had to make a post in there telling some of them to get a grip.

OK, completely sick of some of the nonsense in here. TAKE A LOOK AT WHAT THE UKMO AND GFS IS SHOWING AT +72 HOURS. How long have we been waiting to see charts like these at 72 hours? Some have been waiting decades. Now how can there be any negativity when we have charts like this only 72 hours away? I am quite amazed that people are not more excited given all the failed easterlies we've had to endure over the years. Easterlies normally disappear at 120hrs and yet here we are, after all this time of chasing with nothing to show only blood sweat and tears (OK maybe not blood, depends how hard you whacked your keyboard when things normally went titus verticus) we are facing a severe cold spell with some areas looking at substantial snowfall. Ladies and gentlemen, after all these years, we can see the train.

It's refreshing to see that there's been gradual upgrades for our snow chances north of the border since Tuesday. At one point, it looked like Scotland would be stuck under high pressure whilst our good friends down south would get buried in snow. Fast forward to now and what we've seen is that low pressure nudge up from France which allows us to stay under the influence of easterly winds well into next week rather than everything sinking south. Our southern brethren get close to a snow storm but at the same time, teeter on the brink of being too marginal if the milder air pushes far enough north. It's looking like there's going to be 4+ days of very cold and bitter easterly winds with lots of snow for many.

There's a strong English bias because most posters are English. It is what it is and it's refreshing when posters discuss the UK as a whole and some do but plenty don't.

Nothing for Scotland and Ireland then? I enjoy reading your posts and I'm sure many fellow folk north of the border do and the same across the Irish sea so perhaps you can include Scotland and Ireland in your thoughts?

I've always loved it and my happiest childhood memories involve snow. I think this is what brings us together on a forum like this - our years grow but the little kid inside us remains when the white stuff is falling.

I remember quite a few good snowfalls. I lived higher up than Strabane and a bit further inland and a northerly always delivered the goods. A northwesterly was also good.

I come from North Tyrone (Strabane area) how about you?

I've been in Dundee since 1999. Moved from Northern Ireland. 2010 is head and shoulders above anything I've experienced to date and is the yardstick of cold and snowy spells that I judge others against. I love hearing and reading about the famous winters in bygone years from 47 up to the 90's. Would have been amazing to have experienced them but with this cold and snowy spell looming I have a chance to experience something akin to those epic winters of the past.

Fingers crossed this spell kicks its ass..

Have many events bettered that other than 2010 I'm guessing?

Looking at the archives I would have thought that eastern Scotland would have been pummelled in 1991? Hope this upcoming event is one to remember!

A sift of the archives reveals that the last time Scotland had -15c uppers from an easterly was back in Feb 1991. I wasn't living here then so this will be something new if ECM and GFS around 120hrs are to be believed.

Even ol' misery-guts Arpege sneaks to the back of the line and says yes

Everyone relax, WMC Moscow says yessssss

It's the UKMO output at 120hrs.

@Man With Beard mentioned some ECM ensembles shifting the coldest temps towards Scotland - I wonder if this is similar to what the GFS op is showing around 168hrs.