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jimbo36

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Everything posted by jimbo36

  1. jimbo36
    -2.7C here now ? what snow risk? didn't think there was one, might be some for western parts of SE late tmoz
  2. jimbo36
    Been busy in the back garden
  3. jimbo36
    Pics from my back doors....mwaaaaahhhhhhh
  4. jimbo36
    It WAS a great snow event, just not for you, have 10 cm here and more in other parts of the country. What do you expect being on the coast? There is a moaners and whingers thread seperate to this one, so go and moan on there because no-one here is interested in your mood
  5. jimbo36
    3.5 to 4 inches so far just off Box Hill in Dorking
  6. jimbo36
    its snowing and the whingers are still whinging, unbelievable
  7. jimbo36
    depends if you want photos and tape measures or not, day/night
  8. jimbo36
    Morning Paul, working from home today, don't expect i'll get much done and not planning too either. -1C here at moment DP -4C, was +1.5C at 0400, so a decent drop since
  9. jimbo36
    NAE charts aren't they just forecasts?, what i posted was the live NW V6 radar, will try and download a proper copy
  10. jimbo36
    it hasn't stalled just moving very slowly, should be with you by lunchtime. Forward edge currently in a line from Hereford to Portsmouth, ignoring the anaprop ahead of it
  11. jimbo36
    there ya go mate, as you can see, very light with just a few moderate patches and already a backedge showingdamn, the uk outline wouldn't copy
  12. jimbo36
    intensity and longevity not looking that impressive. 5-7 cms at best over SE later today
  13. jimbo36
    Well that will be a first!!! Normally the local authorities and Highways Agencies are so useless, they let the country grind to a standstill, because the snow or ice has arrived at the wrong time of day
  14. jimbo36
    Perturbed?, as i went outside to see the snow, i ended up disappointed and swishing my tail.Who is this Anna Prop anyway, and where is the snow that the radar is showing over me?
  15. jimbo36
    Must be something wrong with the V6 Radar images, showing snow over Dorking now, went outside, and nothing .
  16. jimbo36
    Probably wasn't expected, as looked nothing an hour ago. Currently in a line from St Albans down to Worthing SNIZZLE INCOMING......EVERYBODY IN !!!!!!!!
  17. jimbo36
    Was -6.5C for me at 0700 when i walked the dog but i am out in the open surrounded by fields and woods, so normally similar to Charlwood
  18. jimbo36
    Being new to all this weather malarchy, what are my chances of seeing a tornado in amongst all this snow this Friday / Saturday.?
  19. jimbo36
    Yep looking like a slight pivital movement and currently moving in a SSW direction. Might be able to put a smile on that Stephanie in Sussex's miserable face. I'm running a course on how to read a precipitation radar tomorrow for anyone from Essex, maybe the tornado storm chasing weather god Paul Sherman may be interested
  20. jimbo36
    and the new thread that only garauntees snow. GFS still looking more marginal Monday for snow, but latest FAX & NAE look better. Guess things won't get resolved until T-2
  21. jimbo36
    Hi Nikki, Here is a link to a good video from Peter Gibbs that explains how stratospheric warming affects the polar vortex in laymans terms http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/20992173
  22. jimbo36
    I wouldn't worry about models beyond T72, too much chopping and changing for anything remotely reliable as Stuart explained yesterday below. Current strat warming quite exceptional rise in a short space of time. Models exhibiting shocking inter-run and intra run continuity, and that's just the ensemble means ! The only constants that stand out here when assessing the next 10-14 days: - troughing signal for Europe; - below average signal for Europe; - general signal for +ve height anomalies to our north and NE. Beyond that, don't bother attempting to place any value in model solutions, of any type. A good time to be able to put non-NWP assessment alongside the myriad of options here. With angular momentum increasing off the back of tropical convective waves in the Pacific, we should see the above general synoptic as the benchmark. The real developing story for me being the impending collapse of the polar vortex. We should be looking around day 9/10 for a complete cleaving in half across the Arctic with tropospheric response a few days later. A few GFS ensembles showing this. Still looking very likely that the second phase of cold will come out of the NE. Strong ensemble mean and teleconnective support for a deep trough to take up residence over Europe in the meantime, and also signal for low pressure in the Atlantic. ECM op not for me.
  23. jimbo36
    METO sticking with the cold and snowy theme for next week on their 1600 update, even though i read it at 1548
  24. jimbo36
    I feel there will be some disappointed and slightly peturbed horses by tomorrow. These current models won't verify due to UNIB PVA not coming on board. This weekend will be cool and drizzly before the Atlantic rushes back in on Monday.
  25. jimbo36
    Sorry Latitude but not one mention of SSW in Paul Shermans post that i can see. The models as he says correctly point to a cooler time from this weekend, but the real interest is the 2nd half of January. Nothing of any real interest for the coldy fans from the models just yet, but if it's a slight frost that floats your boat, then be my guest and jump up and down excitedly
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