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snowbunting

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Everything posted by snowbunting

  1. This potential Nly outbreak in early Nov is nothing out of the normal. We used to have these cold snaps mid autumn time alot in the 80s and 90s. Indeed it would be interesting to see the similarities in the synoptics between now and autumn ( mid oct ish) 1998 and ( nov 1st) 2001. Where we had several nly outbreaks filter down in the north of scotland.
  2. Has the blue blob of the North atlantic moved a little further West?
  3. Models having fun and games with this ex tropical storm. Looks like force 10 possibly 11. Track switches position Cornwall, South Coast. Western Ireland. NW Scotland. Sunday/Monday could be interesting.
  4. Just a Tad, 17 days of snow falling, winter refused to go away, it was after a pretty disappointing winter 05/06.
  5. Liking the fact that both ECM and GFS are suggesting some form of a Nly around the 22nd /23rd of the Month. I get a feeling that the GFS is playing up the atlantic again. What comes of this warming of the stratosphere, awaits to be seen, A repeat performance of 2006 surely cannot be ruled out?
  6. Not for me. This has been a cool calm and quite dry sunny winter up here. The easterly has coincided with the long weekend. Perfect.
  7. Not sure if this will constitute a SSW event but as greywolf has suggested before the last warming event obliterates the polar vortex. Not sure of the ramifications yet. I suspect a repeat of 2013... . No early warmth though no storms either with late lambing snow possible.
  8. Thanku! An easterly flip must be imminant. The GFS is picking up Nly outbreaks now. Repeat and Rinse of 2006 perhaps. Todays weather. Long may it last!
  9. It seems to be the pattern of things last few Springs. A cold March is a dry sunny March for us in the western isles. So I wont grumble.
  10. Agreed. Peoples attitudes to resources need to change too. We are not living in a sustainable manner. But that is by the by and for another forum. There is little doubt that the what hapoens in the stratosphere permiates down through the troposphere and eventually oceans.
  11. The QBO in its westerly phase looks like it has in the past taken some persuading to flip if the graph that Nouska is anything to go by. Not sure what is west and what colour is East. But both can be stubborn to let go of the reins.
  12. I can see the high pressure to the north evolvong sending down a very potent nly blast +240hrs.
  13. The ECM cant even get D7-D14 right. Nope reckon blocking in some form or another in charge rest of Feb.
  14. Thats one monster of a block. Dry and cold and sunny for us in the Western Isle for a long time. March will be interesting.
  15. Long range that looks a monster area of High pressure in the Atlantic. Anyone for an early spring?
  16. Agreed. Was looking at the charts, I think a scandi high bringing a brief easterly then settling into high pressure centred over the North of the UK would not be unreasonable, if following the ECM. Repeat 2013?
  17. When you see powerful atlantic storms turning westwards again. You must think... hang on?
  18. Oh Gray Wolf. The possibility of summer for the western isles!!
  19. Good find Knocker! What if a wavy jetsream became so wavy that it suddenly and abruptly dissapated?
  20. Wow.. where did that warming come from? That appeared out of slight warming. Given the timescale it has made an appearance at. Little wonder the models are chopping and changing.
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