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Costa Del Fal

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Everything posted by Costa Del Fal

  1. Always the way. When it's cold enough the precipitation almost always is no where to be seen! Still at least many of us saw something yesterday. Really liking the look of some of the early spring charts on offer. Hope they hold. Just cannot beat that truly first proper pleasant/warm spell of the year.
  2. Sadly I just cannot trust the GFS against the Hi Res models in these set ups and at this short range.
  3. Met Office has removed our snow warning now here in the W Midlands, just northern parts of the region now. Has looked like a rain event for a while now for us. Low is too far north. May push a little sleet as the band wraps back round late on Friday but cannot see anything else occurring.
  4. Heavy sleet here about 6pm for a bit. Cheshire gap streamer on offer tonight?
  5. Snowing here and the flakes are massive! Easing off now though.
  6. Some sleet in a shower about 5am here but of course just rain now.
  7. Haha - the famous quote I shall now be remembered for. Time for bed now! Best of luck tomorrow all!
  8. Met office symbol forecast is all rain for here now tomorrow. Not a massive surprise though still not entirely discounting the odd sleetiness. Friday is downgrading more and more though imo to just rain. That low centre needs to come further south.
  9. Haha whoops! Hirlam!! Hirlam!! Flippin predictive text. Caught me out so many times! Lol.
  10. Didn't say that anyone was expecting snowmagedon. Just commenting on the showery hit and miss nature of things rather. You'll be ok up in sedgely. One of the best places in the area for snow because of your height so you needn't worry as long as the Ppn arrives! Lol. friday I'm not sure right now. By the way I urge caution on the girl am charts as they seem to over apply the snow hatch lines very liberally! They have been quite wrong in the past when other models were right for being much more conservative.
  11. Think some of you are getting ahead of yourselves a bit. Don't expect much of any settling snow away from high ground into. Besides this is mainly just showers. However best of luck! For most, just a snow shower will beat whatever has been seen over winter!
  12. Come on! Summer isn't that bad! Lol. Don't wish your life away! Best seasons of the year are now here.
  13. Again, I am not saying all we should have is Atlantic dominated weather. Unfortunately I don't have the time to cover every side to my posts to prevent this sort of thing so I apologise If I haven't made myself clear. Although I have been studying the UK climate/weather for more than long enough to know our climate is more complex than just the Atlantic being in control! I have seen plenty of wild variation. However it is the form horse by some margin. Some winters see it more than others. That is just the variable nature of things. Swings and roundabouts. Many of our 'average' snow days I reckon are from PM wintry showers from Atlantic lows though to be fair. I accept these wintry elements have been lacking this year but i remember quite a few evenings with wintry showers in the south west over the last couple of years. They do exist and will exist again in future. It's all about perception, expectation and experience. If one expects every single winter to have to have lying snow you will always be disappointed and disgruntled but if you have the context to know how much the Atlantic can be relentless you lower expectations/become less disappointed. I like to see it as taking the rough with the smooth. Good and bad periods come and go. They make up our averages. Average is really just a fine dot on a broad scale of possibilities and often we are leaning much more to one side. Science suggests a bulk of our colder winters has coincided with solar minimums. If correct, a bout of colder, snowier winters may not be too many years away again. All in all, far too complex for me to go into more detail at this time of the evening. lol
  14. I am certainly not denying our climate is changing. To be fair it always has changed, rather it's rate of change is increasing imo. I'm not saying climate change does not exist and I should have made that clearer. Yes the 2008-12 period was still part of an overall changing climate, again not denying that but what I am trying to get across is that spells of good and bad winters come and go and they have done for decades. There are plenty of very mild nearly snowless winters in our past and blocks of snowier ones come along too. It has happened before and will happen again in future. I just think that as the snow enthusiasts have been let down for a few winters in a row, it's added a bit of an overly pessimistic this is the end of winter altogether attitude. Things are always changing and I have no doubt climate change will as the name suggests continue to alter things down the line but as before, good and bad winters will follow.
  15. I'm not saying this winter has been normal because as we have seen records have been broken. However, I still think a large problem is the expectation of snow from weather enthusiasts here (understandable I may add) when the uk winter climate has never been renowned for that. People seem to expect the whole country to be under a blanket of snow for most of the season when it's so rare. The Gulf Stream and Atlantic will always put our chances down and it will always have taken good Synoptics in the past to deliver. Didn't see anyone complaining during 2008-12 period where we had good snowfalls? Was the climate rapidly changing then....? Only seems to be during the milder winters we say this. The default uk winter has always been mild and wet! Again I am not saying this winter has been normal as such but even the average days of snow falling for most of us isn't that great and no doubt the averages include days where just sleet showers fallen. Probably only takes 1 flake to fall. Anyway, they always say Easter has more chance of snow than Christmas and it looks like early March at least may give is the best chance possible to salvage something. However I'm not surpised March often delivers snow as the seas reach their coldest points and the polar vortex naturally begins to break up, inevitably allowing that bottled up cold air to finally leak to the mid latitudes. Often the case. best of luck for all those hoping for some snow this week. Saw feet of the stuff in Lapland a couple of weeks ago - dare I say it was bordering on too much! They were using tipper HGV's to take the snow away as there was no room left to pile it up!!!
  16. Good job that Spanish plumes are as rare as snow in recent years then! Last summer was ridiculously cool imo on the whole aside from that freak day of strong heat on the 1st July. Recent summers seem to have the heat stuck at around Calais and cannot come any further north! So frustrating but it seems high pressure can never really set up on the continental land mass during summer, allowing Atlantic lows to barrel through and thus veering winds west of south and just making everything 'meh'.
  17. To be fair the last couple of days seem to have had convection infill! Will drive me nuts if that is the theme of this year again! lol I think April will be sunniest, always guaranteed high pressure domination then watch the muck arrive in May again! haha
  18. Another beautiful morning though a cloudy afternoon. However that was forecast so no complaints. It is so pleasant in the sunshine at the moment. Smelling lots of freshly cut grass too. Hard to believe it is still February!
  19. I have never seen and felt things so springlike at this time of year! Ok temperatures aren't in the teens but the strength in the sun is really starting to feel noticeable now. Alex deakin emphasised this tonight. And with so many early daffodils and lots of trees here beginning to bud and the smell of freshly cut grass beginning to emerge, my spirits have really been lifted. Best 'cold' spell of the winter. More please. :).
  20. I have never seen and felt things so springlike at this time of year! Ok temperatures aren't in the teens but the strength in the sun is really starting to feel noticeable now. Alex deakin emphasised this tonight. And with so many early daffodils and lots of trees here beginning to bud and the smell of freshly cut grass beginning to emerge, my spirits have really been lifted. Best 'cold' spell of the winter. More please. :).
  21. Not really till about 6pm on a sunny day when it gets properly dark now. Birds were tweeting well into the late afternoon/evening here like it had been a long warm day in late spring/summer. Beautiful to see and hear nature reawaken.
  22. Thought it has been glorious in the sun today. It's strength really starting to show now. Lots of fresh growth in the woods and the birds tweeting till late. Could have easily been April! Felt like a real first early taste of Spring today!
  23. Thought it has been glorious in the sun today. It's strength really starting to show now. Lots of fresh growth in the woods and the birds tweeting till late. Could have easily been April!
  24. Very pleasant in the sun today! Quite glorious in fact even if it is only about 8c. that strengthening sun showing its hand now! it's like mid August where you feel the first real wane into autumn. Now 6 months later we have the opposite.
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