Costa Del Fal
-
Posts
9,448 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
1
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by Costa Del Fal
-
North/South West Midland divide now it seems. Sleet/Snow Wednesbury, Stafford etc in the north but here in the southern half the region, Stourbridge, Kidderminster, Worcester, Redditch etc, the drizzle fest continues.
-
Met office has light snow tomorrow now. Seems the front will die out over us so occasional flurries but nothing to interest me whatsoever.
-
And now London has robbed us of our snow! So unlucky here today. Enjoy though! -
Well done you lot! Robbed it off us but hope you enjoy it! Lol. Not cold at all here now compared to earlier. Back into the mild here in the SW portion of the country now.
-
No doubt my interest in the weather has plummeted recently. As I've got older, I've enjoyed summer more and more. Can't beat a warm summers day and BBQ. No matter what the British weather, always more doable and easier to please than winter. Plus thunderstorms are easier to achieve here too. Since 2007/8 we've always had 1 or 2 big storms a year here amongst the usual smaller ones.
-
The only good point is that I am not missing out by a few miles. Turning into a big margin. But this milder air will ruin next weeks chances now so a double blow overall. Shambolic attempt at winter. Can't wait for Scandinavia in a few weeks but for the uk, summer can't come quick enough.
-
Feels mild out there now compared to this morning. Roll on Spring and high pressure in April. Bound to happen. I swear our climate is becoming more bland. The saving grace is that I am off to Scandinavia on holiday in 3 weeks and going up to Swedish Lapland where it will be snow galore!!!
-
This front marks the end of the cold spell now really for me. Pathetic.
-
Sold off rain. And the worst thing is that this is brining on warmer air now so you can prettY much forget battle ground scenarios next week. Mild wins easy. i would seriously expect rain even in Leicester etc tonight now.
-
Rain here. Everything is so much further east. Looks like barely anything will reach here now.
-
Rubbish Euro 4 6z for the West Midlands region. Arpege is better though.
-
06z nmm and arome pushed the snow dividing like a little further west?
-
The ppn already seems further east than expected. Might even make parts of the east midlands marginal now. Game over for the W mids now though. Poor.
-
You should do well. As for here, victory snatched away last minute as usual.
-
Same GFS 6z really. Rain for the West Midlands now, maybe a little sleetiness now. Snow for east of Coventry approx. Blame it on my post last night. Had to go the opposite way! Just hope now casting brings some luck our way!
-
Sadly looks like rain west of Birmingham now. Will be down to now casting but not much hope for here IMO. And to me this dividing line also may play apart in any snow on Monday so that those who see rain tonight will probably just see rain Monday.
-
I feel sorry for you at the moment. I already feel what I wrote on the last page is completely out of date and irrelevant now. Haha. Here is that stone btw *passes it on**. Take good care of it though. It's the only tool (and stone!) available in the emergency forecasting kit. Lose it and we really are knackered.
-
Just in case anyone needed another dose of model confusion for tomorrow night, Netweather's own Hi-res model takes the ppn down into Wales only tomorrow evening from the Irish Sea and even here it is light so pretty much another option on the table. This table is so full of options now, there is no room to sit around it and enjoy it properly. Like a christmas dinner, I am now tired and exhausted from all of the different foods and have been overloaded!
-
North West England Weather Discussion 14/11/15 Onwards
Costa Del Fal replied to Liam J's topic in Regional
Just in case anyone needed another dose of model confusion for tomorrow night, Netweather's own Hi-res model takes the ppn down into Wales only tomorrow evening from the Irish Sea and even here it is light so pretty much another option on the table. This table is so full of options now, there is no room to sit around it and enjoy it properly. Like a christmas dinner, I am now tired and exhausted from all of the different foods and have been overloaded! -
Model output discussion pm 13/01/2016
Costa Del Fal replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just in case anyone needed another dose of model confusion for tomorrow night, Netweather's own 18z Hi-res model takes the ppn down into Wales only tomorrow evening from the Irish Sea and even here it is light so pretty much another option on the table. This table is so full of options now, there is no room to sit around it and enjoy it properly. Like a christmas dinner, I am now tired and exhausted from all of the different foods and have been overloaded! -
Brave. I for one cannot be ars*d. But that might partially be down tp the fact I have been up since 4.30am for work anyway! I have a rare whole weekend off. Will probably sleep through all of it anyway now with all this fatigue... haha.
-
Yep. And I bet the 00z's will offer not a lot more consensus if any. Right nowcasting event this one. I think one of the few things I feel I can say with some confidence is that most in NW England and a majority of the West/Central Midlands will see some form of ppn but how much I have no idea and where the rain/snow boundary lies, you may as well ask my dog. It's a dog's dinner that's for sure with a heap of cat food mixed in for added confusion. Lol.
-
Haha indeed. I am actually past the point of caring much right now. Just a pure pain in the backside. No doubt to add to it all, the radar will trick us all tomorrow night as well, ppn falling where it doesn't show and vice versa... lol.
-
Model output discussion pm 13/01/2016
Costa Del Fal replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Indeed, was just about to post the same. Am now tired of all the differences. A middle ground of the two is probably the safest bet but pure guesswork to be honest. No one has an absolute clue. Never have I had such low confidence in trying to make a forecast at what is now realistically an event less than 24hrs away...maybe or perhaps not....potentially... I have given up... possibly. Lol! -
Latest EURO 4 and Arpege/Arome look to be a shift east somewhat. Still my east of Stoke/Birmingham line still holds for snow imo. However plenty of models keeping it further west too. Perhaps best to expect a blend of the two maybe!!! Basically, I give up and have not a clue anymore....lol!
