ANYWEATHER

I don't know how much faith you put in snow charts, but from my experience they will be doing great if there correct within the 12 hr timeframe

I'm afraid it's all hopecasting! The only really good super dooper winter charts are hanging off the T+384 timeframe. Nothing ,that exciting in the reliable and semi-reliable timeframe unless you like cold rain.....

Cold rain for most with this chart........

Yes ,that's right, almost always the most interesting synoptics are in the realms of a computers fantasy software, and virtually all of the time ,that's where it stays and never transpires! Just flicked through to day ten of gfs and ecm and even in that timescale of FI ,the synoptics are far from spectacular and bordering on average for the time of year!

Another Mole hill of cold coming up, the coldies are ramping up a mountain of cold ...

I wouldn’t call anyone doom merchants, The Synoptics on offer are frankly nothing noteworthy as regards cold, in fact nothing out of place for this time of year! Yes someone will get snow next week but it is still winter after all!

A very messy outlook, snow perhaps for a few ,rain for many. Can't see any exciting cold charts to be honest, would like the ecm to verify at day ten ,with high pressure over the uk, with frosts and sunshine by day......

Scetchey cold by the end of the week..? Or ten days....

Almost feels like Spring today, birdsong and sunshine

Most sensible post and level headed post I've read this morning! Remember the Snowmageddon / 1947/1963 , charts we were seeing not so many weeks ago ,of a Winter not to forget? Well most if it ,we have forgot ,with just normal wintertime synoptics, this so called cold spell of weather coming up in about a weeks time ,looks mediocre at best, with snow over the upland areas especially in the north. Sorry to be a bit negative with my post, but as I've seen umpteen times before ,models often over estimate forthcoming cold spell, and to be quite honest the model output for cold is very marginal for cold and longevity,just looking at normal February winter cold, the jigsaw pieces are not in the right place ,I'm afraid ,no blocking in the places what matter for cold to be notable in the UK. ...

Well ,that's a good job ,not really out of place in February

Well, better get the snow shovel out then, Whoops, It's already out ,from last time gfs predicted snow nearly ten days away....

BarnetBlizzard believe me it did go wrong lots of times in the 70s and 80s

But that chart would bring mild ,west or southwest winds from the Atlantic ,with the caveats of northern Britain getting anything wintry on the highest of ground....

As I said last night ,no blocking in the places what matters to get cold in the uk ,the ecm has nicely put up what would happen from day 10 to 11, in this mornings charts ,the Atlantic in full control ,sorry coldies but don't get sucked in about that there may be a very cold spell around the corner, because there is not Although ,day 10/11 charts are FI, the reliability of these charts become a little more accurate ,more or less when we have these kind of synoptics. ...

raz.org.rain probably get a really cold Spring, often the case when we get a sketchy winter like this.....

Ecm 12z, No blocking in place anywhere where it matters for winter cold prospects. There's only one way that day ten chart will go ,if it was correct!

The desperation on the mod thread ,showing ten day away snow charts. Those charts rarely come right 24 hrs away let alone 10 days....

More chance of it being 20c than that happening

Yes ,this winter promised so much ,and delivered very little to most ,but with a month left of meteorological winter still time to wind in the goods. Unfortunately, I think we can write off the next couple of weeks, so that brings us to mid-February Probably end up with a very cold spring which normally seems to happen with this situation. ...

Nothing is impossible with nature and weather ,when you think something is not possible it happens! Never say never, a lesson I've learned over the years

Such a high temperature that far north at this time of year ,would have to be the effects of the Foehn .........

Compressed air running down the lee side of hills and mountains warms up dramatically, for example, when using a pump to blow up your bike tyres ,the valve gets hot as the air is compressed, similar situation with the Fohn effect....

Would imagine the Fohn effect was working in overdrive today.....

As many are musing, little interest for coldies in the reliable , and even further ahead ,very sketchy outlook for coldies at best. 06z paints a rather potent northerly by day ten ,whilst its 00z output really shows none of it. Ecm paints the same tune at day ten with stubborn heights around Iberia , any major pattern change is not any time soon, patience ,and a lot of it is required ,cant see this pattern changing to at least mid-February at the earliest........