ANYWEATHER

I think what some good folk on here are posting about poor summer synoptics in some ways is true if youre "assumption" on Summertime here in the UK is that of blue skies and hot sunshine! Of course that can happen, but the model output at the moment is far from that! The current synoptics are quite realisticly true summertime synoptics here in the uk, meaning some folks will bear the brunt of some bad weather while other folk somewhere else will see some very nice conditions with hot sunshine and wonder what the fuss is all about! It looks as though the jet stream will be riding right over the uk or even to the south of the uk in the reliable timeframe, so even though not perfect summer conditions its damn good weather for the gardens!!

Yep, Frosty totaly agree, for those who want a repeat of hot summer conditions of those few days a few weeks ago will be sorely disappointed, from the models at the moment! Of course not all areas will be rain ,rain .rain, and the best of the weather is often in southeast England with these setups but even here thundery rain cannot be ruled out. A lot of weather to talk about in the next few days but nothing of the "illusive Summer" :o

Whatever way you look at it the models have got there hands into some dirty washing...oh sorry weather!!! :lol: :o .......................... ................................ :wacko: :unsure: :excl:

Looks as though the low pressure is really starting to develop now just to the west of the uk. Impressive depth to that cloud or is it my eyes??

Looks as though heavy rain wiil be on the menu today for western and northwestern parts of the UK, with a lot of warm /moist air tied up with the fronts moving in. I expect some mountains of the west could get up to 2 inches of rain especially the more western facing slopes of the mountains. Not to much rain in the southeast of the uk[especially SE England] with those south and east of that red line only picking up a few mms of rain......

Cheers for that. I hope you did not mind me saying, although right up to this time next week the ecm and [gfs] show low pressure in charge? :lol:

Not be picky ,but where is the pressure of 1020mbs for central England for anywhere in the "reliable" time frame? Here is a chart for next week ,dominated by low pressure.....? :lol:

I think youre talking abour Cirro Stratus associated with that warm front coming in. Those clouds underneath that higher blanket of cloud is Cumulus with enough warmth from the ground at this time of year for those clouds to form in some slightly unstable air

Simply brilliant stuff....best funny stuff Ive seen on screen for ages! Thats a must to show for the bbq on the 26th.... Well Done ...Best wishes... and more like that to come [and some damn good storms as well!]

Absolutley Beautifull! Love clouds like that, but having a hard time to find anything like that around here!!

From the short to medium and long term, both gfs and ecm show low pressure in control . Of course medium and long term can change a fair bit, looks as though it will be wet and muggy short term especially in the SE of the uk, and it looks as though "shortwave troughs" will provide some thundery rain to all,and some warm muggy air in the south of the UK. All in All a proper "British Summer"!

Evening folks. Quick summery from me, is that the unsettled weather is here to stay for now, rather cool especially in the east in the next few days and then warming up somewhat,towards the weekend as warmer ,humid air moves in from the southwest for a time, but the weekend could well turn out to be wet/very wet in some areas.....UUMMMGGHH! :lol: :lol:

For the [VOEWS].... The month can be divided into three, a dry very warm start, more unsettled and cooler with thunderstorms ,and then increasingly warm but still thundery.! Of note is the Tuesday June2nd ...high of 27.6c [3rd warmest day of the month] but with high pressure over towards the ne of the uk it felt very pleasant, with very low humidities and 34% humidity was recorded that day, Another surpriZe was the rainfall [87.9mms recorded] compare that to the average of [64mms] Highest rec temp monday 29th [29.6c] Lowest rec temp [3.3c] Fri 12th Average months maximum temp 19.07c...recorded 20.17c Average months minimum temp 10.5c....recorded 10.5c

The kind folk that we are ,we will send you the left overs! :lol: :lol: :lol: Anyway im sure and hoping you will get something....Best of Luck..[i certainly could do with it!]

As always a hard one to call when forecasting thunderstorms but this is my main risk map for tomorrow [Thursday] A Waving front already in west giving torrential rain for some in that area as that front moves very slowly east it will dis-stabalize the very warm ,moist airmass over the bulk of the uk. Probably a fairly strong cap over the central and eastern areas [at first]as very warm moist air is sitting above lowlevel warmth and moisture. Another hot day over this risk area ,well into the eighties, so that strong surface heating should be more than adequate to force storms to form.....Plenty of cape available at that time of day as well so that is basically my risk area for now...perhaps im wrong?.....looking foreward to Nicks thoughts at some point along with others

Looks even better to me , that front will have developed a "wave " along it so basically it will be very slow moving towards the east so torrential rain for some and some perhaps severe storms breaking out ahead of that front over the Midlands and with decent cape and LI things really should go out with a bang..... :lol:

Currently 31.3c here in Evesham....will we make the magic 90f....

Looks as though the ingredients perhaps for some severe storms for the Midlands is possible later tomorrow evening..... I shall be scrutinizing the charts over the next 24/36 hrs :blink:

Interesting developments moving in to the English channel from Northern France, that storm is really exploding.....

When you put it like you have, it goes to show it was a cold winter...thanks Mr Data, Ian and his even larger teapot, PAH! I hope he puts these stats into his book!

Well done Nick.....IM JEALOUS.!! :wub: At least there is plenty of potential for storms and my area at the moment looks ok for the coming week.....My camera will be at the ready...Nice photos....

Ian, as I said last week, I respect your views but do not share this "inuendo" of christmas pudding. But, the worlds big enough for all kinds of views! But what about a modern day Summer, Autumn, Spring....? Peoples misconceptoin of Summers in this country from media hype etc is that summers will become hot and dry ,winters mild and wet, well thats not strictly true is it? The Summers of the last two years will prove that as well as the Winter just gone. Just look at the Summers of 1911 and 1912, two back to back Summers which were starkly different, 1911 was one of the hottest driest Summers of the 20th century, and 1912 was one of the coldest and wettest. There will always be variations in our weather in this country and there will always be some big surprizes for us too....

Just a note, Stuart Robinson is on Radio 4 is the next few moments on his storm chasing....

Yes...hopefully...! I give myself a dose of 80% disappointment on a day like this....and if the storms do occur im a happy little bunny!!

A quick look to the end of the week and the ecm shows more of a potent low moving in from the Atlantic of course its a long way off but "if" that does happen then perhaps a nice firework display considering the heat and humidity over the country by then! ......to the here and now, and lot of wind convergence ocer the southern half of the uk today. So convergence storms are certainly possible today and Ive highlighted in red where that possibility is..... [looks as though the sw midlands ,east/se wales across to central southern england and the se of England have a chance.