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Iceaxecrampon

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Everything posted by Iceaxecrampon

  1. Iceaxecrampon
    The Langdale Pikes - nice..... http://www.lakelandcam.co.uk/ A wintry mix here in PR2 - No snow as such too coastal - time yet.
  2. Iceaxecrampon
    Yes the LP comes straight from Iceland but like you say not enough of a low for decent ppn.
  3. Iceaxecrampon
    So therefore FI isn't so FI in this instance? I like to think the majority dismiss forecasts 22 days away.
  4. Iceaxecrampon
    Good - means FI wont come off.
  5. Iceaxecrampon
    06z rolling out. Best chart at T144 - Low at 988mb Interesting :winky: Up to Ambleside tomorrow - Kirkstone Pass 1500asl - sledge in boot.
  6. Iceaxecrampon
    Still on for a week today. If we survive next Saturdays LP that is. :o Northern pipeline begins to open at last. Not exceptional cold but something festive for Ambleside at the weekend. We live in hope. Yes - This cold run was modelled 10 days or so ago for the beginning of December - still confident.
  7. Iceaxecrampon
    Gets better and better. Looking good all round for early December - confident.
  8. Iceaxecrampon
    No - your not alone - reasonably confident of an arctic blast maybe not seen down to sea level as yet.
  9. Iceaxecrampon
    Models were in agreement for a cold influx 10 days ago albeit progged for the 1st December - well happy with the output with some cold incursions showing - cant see what all the doom and gloom is about - we must remember last year was exceptional - erm and the one before that.... Meto has Cumbria freezing level at 700m with snow showers down to 500m for next week
  10. Iceaxecrampon
    What a night that was....! Thought that was this years till I saw the date.
  11. Iceaxecrampon
    1/12/11 Again as forecast last week.... Reload next weekend 3/12/11 looks good for Alba. A reasonably good 06z for coldies - Well mild out there today although the wind is getting up and taking the edge off. Will be interesting on the tops tomorrow.......
  12. Iceaxecrampon
    1st -2nd December again on the 00z....! Not sustained but Low pressure brings a reload on the 4th High pressure then pushing in from the west.....
  13. Iceaxecrampon
    18z rolling out. 528 down to Cumbria - this is almost getting reliable. Decidedly chilly tonight here when the wind rises wouldn't call it mild at all.
  14. Iceaxecrampon
    528 DAM line down to Oxfordshire on the 06z Pennines would do well out of this. Trend was always good for the beginning of December from runs I studied last week - here's hoping. Ian
  15. Iceaxecrampon
    All short lived - a taster of sorts - as the cold gets shoved away after midweek by a possible 998 low - but I am not looking at that chart too much
  16. Iceaxecrampon
    Nice - I will be out and about this weekend (above 200m) The fells (or me for that matter) aren't exactly in condition yet for anything silly but its a start. Although Monday to Wednesday look better..........
  17. Iceaxecrampon
    Still chopping and changing going on unsure about SNOW/BLIZZARDS on the 00Z Reliable hopefully for this weekend sleety mix but hopefully more consolidated ppn at higher altitudes. Quite a drop in the Cumbrian ensembles.
  18. Iceaxecrampon
    Well confident of a cold flow establishing next weekend - even in FI there has been a trend developing for late November - December. Get next weekends Atlantic barrage(s) out of the way to establish a more NW flow - not too cold and widespread ppn wide but enough for some wet snow on the tops. Cumbria ensembles GEFS mean in agreement and takes a sharp dip next weekend. I will be out next Sunday reporting on felltop conditions - heres hoping! Ian
  19. Iceaxecrampon
    Here we go again...! Winter back at 12z Same date.
  20. Iceaxecrampon
    00Z for early December. This morning. Same time yesterday. FI but still a trend.
  21. Iceaxecrampon
    The joys of FI Bonkers.
  22. Iceaxecrampon
    Although I remember 20th November '88 bringing early snowfall to the Lancashire fells (1600ft asl) I cant recall to well what the rest of the Winter was like though I take it 88-89 was generally poor in snowfall amounts.
  23. Iceaxecrampon
    Anyone for the Ben next Tuesday? http://hw.nwstatic.c.../uksnowrisk.png Ian
  24. Iceaxecrampon
    Agreed - my weather station (Mazda3) temp was at 6 degrees on the school run.
  25. Iceaxecrampon
    Today's runs that is Ooops....
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