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Number 23

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  1. Number 23
    Hmm took root in the EA thread and noticed the Home Counties in the title this one! A foot in both camps so to speak!
  2. Number 23
    Yeah, it's all going fast here since it was such a thin covering. Shed roof dry as a bone now, mainly grass and flower beds in the shade retaining what fell. Pathway in the garden is saturated. I'm awaiting a greater shower intensity and frequency later to retain any coverage.
  3. Number 23
    Light snow here again now. Fun, isn't it? Beefing up on the radar as well. Will I get anything done today... working from home is a blessing and a curse.
  4. Number 23
    You still think there's scope for that, BA? Maybe it's the old rose-tinted glasses overegging the severity of winters gone by! It just feels a bit 'wrong' at the moment - maybe it's the lateness of the season and length of the days making it feel more Spring-like than it actually is. Not temp wise but psychologically at least.
  5. Number 23
    As mentioned perhaps this afternoon into tonight will get things going. Still, fun watching it fall but I still feel an inch widely is about right, maybe two here and there. The parallels wth '91 and '87 earlier last week when the severity looked much more prolonged and widespread has probably raised expectations a bit too high for our region. We'll get nowhere close to that so probably best to just chill and enjoy what we get!
  6. Number 23
    Drip, drip, drip.
  7. Number 23
    Yeah I only caught a minute or two of that but was mental while it lasted. Not much accumulation though. Just goes to show why you can't forecast snow totals for specific locations in these setups!
  8. Number 23
    6z GFS looks like it's nudged the warm encroachment south a bit for Saturday as well? Only one run but one to watch.
  9. Number 23
    Yes I noticed that here. Perhaps the strength of the sun having a bearing? Think we could struggle to get a covering on the roads during the day as the showers aren't prolonged enough at the moment to compensate? Anyway looks like I misjudged the speed of the approaching showers, as another heavy burst pushed in now. Bigger flakes than the first pulse. Came down sideways for a bit!
  10. Number 23
    Yes we get a similar situation here where we're just a smidge too far North to catch the beefy train of shower activity they get just down the road along the estuary, although admittedly we can get glancing blows. Still a lot of fun to be had over the next 48 hours.
  11. Number 23
    Yep, about a cm on my garden table. Clear skies for the next hour or so I think, From the radar looks like that rash of showers which just pushed through are going to be followed by a more localised period of shower activity for at least the next hour or two. Still, if we cop a few more like that over the course of today I'd guess an inch or so by close of business today. Met warnings for my neck of the woods look to be about right for accumulations at this early stage.
  12. Number 23
    You're too far N to get in on the real heavy stuff over the next day or two, but you're in with a shout of some showers pushing in I'd say.
  13. Number 23
    Well it huffed and puffed and now brilliant sunshine. I'm slightly too far north for the big action but still expect a cm or two from today.
  14. Number 23
    Yep big shower here and becoming blustery. Could get near a cm or so if it lasts for longer than twenty minutes. Total cloud cover again.
  15. Number 23
    Looks like shower activity starting to pep up on the radar? You're under the same blob as me can see it rolling in as I type.
  16. Number 23
    Had a very slight dusting here in Chelmsford. Cloud has fragmented somewhat over the last 20 minutes and what has fallen is so powdery it's floating about in the breeze. haven't seen snow this powdery in a fair while, almost like cotton wool! Edit just been out for a vape and I can confirm it is cold enough for snow lol. Turned my coffee cold and the cat has sacked off his morning patrol.
  17. Number 23
    Please delete
  18. Number 23
    I think it's difficult to not be disappointed having seen this morning's output. I was hoping for Southerly corrections to start appearing widely by now. For all the incredible runs we've seen, this looks like being a short sharp shock for the South rather than something to rival the classic cold spells. Still time for change of course. I think we still have until Wed to get in the game again, and some locations will still see big totals, but for my location and many others it doesn't look like something I'll be discussing for years to come, which is what I was anticipating. Still, impressive to see at this time of year regardless, and been incredibly fun and informative watching it all unfold on the models. 5cms plus in March with this level of cold is not an everyday event.
  19. Number 23
    Good news tonight for those outside of the favoured areas. Let's hope we can hold on to the colder air. I'm keeping a close eye on the potential blizzard. Everyone is still in the game for heavy snow.
  20. Number 23
    Great news guys good luck! As I alluded to earlier in the week, my location perfectly sums up the local variability in snow distribution in these conditions. Literally just outside the amber zone! 20 miles South of me probably getting hammered. It will be a frustrating time for some on here but I'm just happy for those who missed out in December.
  21. Number 23
    lol at my location... wasn't expecting much if anything tonight tbh
  22. Number 23
    Had a little chuckle to myself in the shop just now. "They say it's turning colder next week" "Well they say that just to cover themselves" What? It's brass monkeys here already! This with the minus 12 850's on our doorstep! Also not convinced the potential breakdown for the South is correctly modelled yet either. In fact if it were showing a perfect scenario right now I'd probably be more suspicious, as 100 to 200 miles isn't much at this range regardless of how well supported the output may be. No science behind that mind, just gut feeling. Lots to enjoy until then though.
  23. Number 23
    The cat found a spot in the sun this morning and came in feeling toasty. Shows the power returning for Spring, which is why I'm not bothered if the cold spell ends after a week.
  24. Number 23
    No rose tinted glasses here, it may well end up that way. However, if I had a gun to my head, I'd take my lead from what we've seen in the past. GFS absolutely has form for overdoing lows. That's not even up for debate and by the sounds of it this northerly track doesn't even have firm ensemble support, although I haven't checked myself this was from a credible source in the MOD. Secondly, where we've had entrenched cold in the past breakdowns have always appeared and been pushed back nearer the time. It's one thing to say if the gfs is right most of the South will get rain. That's correct. But IMHO it remains the outsider.
  25. Number 23
    Ironically I'm encouraged by the track of the low at this range on gfs. If it was much further South today I'd be expecting it to end up missing us completely!
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