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Everything posted by Cleeve Hill
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Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Cleeve Hill replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Often make the mistake of reading the MOD without looking at the charts. Just looked at the charts which look perfectly ok to me for below average temps and by next weekend signs of a troughs making in roads. Nothing wrong with that. There’s a lot of cold air around so lots to look forward too. There’s some longevity to this. -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Cleeve Hill replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes. If you following these storms during the hurricane season in the Caribbean, it is always the High Pressure ridges which direct the storms. The strength of the -NAO is steering this one South. -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Cleeve Hill replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Most of us should know by now, ECM rarely verifies beyond 168hours. Pretty much ignore anything after that particularly in the current unusual Synoptics. -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Cleeve Hill replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Lovely. Remember watching my Bristol City away to West Brom one Boxing Day years ago. Snow on the pitch, cleared the lines with a spade and an orange ball. Those were the days -
Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn
Cleeve Hill replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Autumn 2022 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Cleeve Hill replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
You can tell, times are a changing. Years ago most leaves were down by bonfire night and I can remember we used leaves to stuff the guy Fawkes. There’s no change to daylight hours so the delay in leaf fall has to be temperature. This year I would say most trees still have 50% of their leaves. So a late start to winter seems to be the norm in 21st century. -
Model Output Discussion - Early Summer and Beyond
Cleeve Hill replied to mushymanrob's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Anybody know what happened re todays forecast for Cheltenham? last night forecast was mainly dry. Clerk of the course decides to water and then from 10.00 am it started to rain and it’s still raining. v strange forecast -
Storm Eunice - 18th February
Cleeve Hill replied to Thunder and Lightning's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Wonder whether this has anything to do with the storm coming on shore and no Atlantic to fuel it, similar to tropical storms. -
Winter 2021-22 Chat, Moans and ramps thread
Cleeve Hill replied to damianslaw's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Lived in Antigua for 3 years. Shorts, T Shirts and flip flops and Air Conditioned office. Whats not to like about that ? Warm evenings and tropical breeze. I'll take that any day. -
Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into mid-January
Cleeve Hill replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into mid-January
Cleeve Hill replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes, definitely has a feel of winter’s past. -
Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into mid-January
Cleeve Hill replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Still -2 outside and frosty. We’ve had this most of the week. Proper winter weather and the outlook shows more of the same. Should be interesting mid winter model watching. Bring it on. -
Model output discussion - Christmas approaches
Cleeve Hill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
For everyone having a bit of a meltdown please remember these charts change every 6 hours and we are still over a week away from Christmas. Charts rarely verify 168 - 192 hours away. Plus, take a look at the METO update this afternoon. -
Model output discussion - Christmas approaches
Cleeve Hill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes, I see it’s just updated and a big upgrade from yesterday, incl ref to wintriness during Jan. Lovely jubbly -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
Cleeve Hill replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Edinburgh 3/1 Fav -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
Cleeve Hill replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is all that cold air in Scandi helping to promote a Scandi block ? -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
Cleeve Hill replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Haven’t seen a proper Scandi High for years. When would have been the last time I wonder? Scandi highs and undercutting lows are a winter dream. I recall in the early 80’s plenty of these in Bristol/Glos area and lots of snow days. -
Have people noticed that the temperatures around Bering Straits, Northen Scandinavia are significantly lower this year compared to recent years. -25 in lapland, Finland and a cold week ahead. Norway Sea Ice quoted today that the Svalbard sea ice 319,267Sq km, approx 10% greater than the 1991-2020 average. There is some deep cold developing up there compared to recent years which could have an impact of our weather when the synoptics fall into place which they appear to be doing.
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Hurricane season 2021
Cleeve Hill replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Surprised really, as we move into a LaNina. This usually means a lot of activity. The season runs until 30th Nov and expect there to be a couple more named storms.