Eugene

13C is not warm for the midlands in almost late May, next week must be a heatwave if today is warm.

It feels colder out of the sun that is than the christmas period believe it or not especially at night, much colder dewpoints than christmas too, still this cold air is giving plenty of sunshine much more than NE'lys.

On the other hand, what a fantastic post this is, completely realistic and not just over what may happen a few months ahead. The warmer continental air will most likely give colder daytime maxs than the current polar air over the country due to rain and no sunshine on sunday and monday.

Is this a joke, we have enough problems forecasting a week away let alone forecasting a 2 month period thats over a month away to start, really you should take much less notice of those CFS charts they are as temperamental as the british weather.

Got down to 1C here, much colder rurally, could see a touch of frost on roofs, not common at all for this late in the year.

Very interesting stats roger, thats quite the rise in May 1996 from the 18th to the 31st just showing how much May warms up in the last few weeks, i expect the same this month, roger any chance you have the list of the top three coldest second half of Mays on record?

Todays high here was 13C recorded at 9 am, temps then dipped to 11C before rising to 12C in the afternoon, 7C currently, doesnt feel that cold at all to be honest. Yes in the SE you are always last to see cloud clearance from a northerly cold front, should be much clearer for you tomorrow with spells of lovely warm sunshine

Yes temps could get near the 0C mark tonight though i would think more rural areas due to urban warmth in May, tomorrow nights looks very cold for mid May again most likely rurally, also another cold plunge for tuesday so i am quite shocked at the positive posts today as anything warmer and settled is way into FI and very tenuous at best.

What a terrible day yesterday it was, no thundery showers at all just grey overcast skies with some light outbreaks of rain, nothing is more disappointing than warm plumes gone too far to our east and just leaving us on the boundary. Some cold nights expected the next few nights so some pleasant sleeping ahead unlike last night.

Glorious start to the day, much sunnier and less breezy than yesterdays horrible damp overcast day, should be some strong spells of sunshine today great for getting out in, nothing feels better than a strong sun on your face without worrying about grey leaden skies with gusty winds and outbreaks of nuisance light rain.

Don't agree at all, if you mean settled summer like warmth July, August and even September are miles better than May, you only have to look at the averages to see that and June is also the coolest summer month and prone to what is called the european monsoon and northerly blocking in recent years, September to me is showing trends of warming whilst June isnt.

Well i think it feels very warm today, much milder dewpoints today than the weekend when the dewpoints were so cold you could of worn gloves and not felt warm, no chance of wearing gloves today unless you are weird and like roasting hands

Really says something about how bad the weather has been when people say today is warm, it feels freezing with dewpoints of -2C, even though it stayed cloudy all night temps still got down to 3C which for May under overcast skies is very cold indeed, usually you need clear skies for 3C at night in May. I see the plume has gone for end of the week also, could be extremely wet mid week, i think the weather will remain cool either westerly or northerly for the rest of May with only brief HP ridges.

You sure you didn't get a spell of heavy rain around 4 pm to 8 pm yesterday? I'm not that far from solihull, also i am drier than you, you are about 15 to 20 miles northwest of me and the birmingham area gets more rain than mid warwickshire, so many times rain just misses here and the birmingham area gets it.

Yes HP in the north atlantic never really going away on this mornings runs, even the warm looking charts of this week didnt deliver much in the way of warm weather apart from one day here and a few days in parts of northern UK, last two days have been shocking for May, overcast and feeling very cool with no sun whatsoever.

I'm hoping JMA 12Z is correct which makes much less of LP from the southwest keeping the greenland high strong, hoping to see that LP system pushed southwards.

Only time i felt chilly indoors was on sunday, very cold day for late April. Cool and cloudy in places today but also some warmer spots too, temps of 17C localised though and cooling down pretty quickly through this evening, feels very chilly out in that gusty easterly wind now and very dark too.

Don't worry next week will fix that.

I love fresh air can't stand the artificial heat central heating gives, Yuck!

Yes could give some heavy pulses of rain in parts tonight into tomorrow morning, tomorrow looks like a cool damp day and a cold front moving southwards on friday. Very breezy here this evening and really dark for a May early evening.

The lovely cool dry pattern is now getting downgraded as moist atlantic air moves northwards pretty quickly now for monday onwards, just typical.

Yes the dewpoints were perishing in that cold spell, even in March especially the first half temps can be very cold under clear blue skies with a very cold surface flow. In early June with a direct arctic northerly max temps of around 11C/12C are possible in the hillier rural parts of the midlands but you need a very cold northerly with no modification which is very hard in June, June still has pockets of arctic air to our north which by July are gone so early June to me is the coldest possible from a northerly in the summer maybe until the end of August.

I really dont understand people having heating on in May or April for that matter, the sun is strong and easily warms up rooms. Todays electrical equipment warms up rooms too, ive found it too warm in my living room with a big screen plasma on, the sun makes it boiling in there too, have had fans on plenty of times.

Yes horrid week to come, warm easterlies very rarely deliver sunshine in early May BUT arctic airstreams can deliver much more sunshine than muggy airmasses in May,some showers around for convective fans around but also some places missing them with lovely spells of sunshine like a few weeks back and nice cold nights to sleep in, sounds great to me

I hope those arent the same long range charts UKMO used when they said we were in for a dry April, hope you arent pinning your hopes on them