Eugene
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Posts posted by Eugene
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Friday easily best day of this horrid Summer, cool fresh air and some exciting heavy thundery hail showers in the afternoon followed by a lovely cool night. Now back to horrible humid nothingness all week, yuck.
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Please let this god awful summer be over, charts look promising from next wednesday but we've been here so many times only for heat to return after a few average days. The summer weather since early May has been almost continuous even 1976/1995 didn't start that early, this summer is truly one of a kind, hope i never see one like it again, who wants to live in a furnace.
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12 minutes ago, DAVID SNOW said:
Nice 12z GFS run, no heat wave.
Not nice enough i'm afraid, moderation of heat yes but still a predominantly muggy atlantic TM pattern, yuck, roll on Autumn and not the pseudo Autumn some people say will start next week.
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19 hours ago, Sky Full said:
I am fortunate that I am able to spend much of my time outside which leaves me with a very positive view of long spells of warm/hot summery weather - I am not badly affected by it. However, today I had to visit an office in Haverfordwest - a relatively modern building but typically for this area not fitted with AC. The place was pretty much like a greenhouse with large windows only able to open 50% of their area at most, and no possibility of allowing a through draft due to the design of the individual offices. I have huge sympathy for people working in these sorts of environments everywhere in the country, for factory workers, and those in old fashioned buildings not designed for hot weather. This is not a new problem and I remember some occasions in the past where people I have worked with tried to use employment law to close businesses when temperatures exceeded legal maximums. It's like severe snow closing rail lines and causing chaos on the roads - we are not set up for weather extremes and when they happen some people inevitably suffer. However, try to enjoy the hot weather while it lasts - we could see four weeks of rain in August.... You never know!
Well said, i think most on here who love this heat have cushy Air Conned office jobs, i feel sorry for those who don't, must be an absolute nightmare for them in this heat. Luckily nights have been unusually cool compared to most hot spells in the UK. Unfortunately looks to change, roll on winter, only have to put extra layers on to feel comfortable, there isn't much you can do in this heat, even portable air con units struggle in this heat.
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At long last a change to a more interesting fresher changeable pattern, ECMWF 12Z showing impressive atlantic cold pooling out west/northwest for second half of June. Things could get very chilly indeed esp at night if we tap into some of that and hopefully alot more clear blue sunny skies than these god-awful humid cloudy northeasterlies.
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What an absolute nightmare this endless humidity is and it's only May, no end in sight and not much sign of fresher weather. Something is seriously wrong with our climate, continious continental heat is not normal in July let alone in May. On course for record growth in the countryside beating even previous Summers, never seen it this overgrown in May. Of course by Winter the atlantic will wake up and we'll get fleeting blink or you'll miss it continental affairs like the past late winter/early spring period. Global warming is accelerating at an alarming rate. @karyo i know willl share my concerns.
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49 minutes ago, Frosty. said:
The latest model output shows our weather very soon becoming more changeable / unsettled and significantly cooler, however, all that basically means is a return to how it should be in late april but it will just feel much better compared to what most of us have been suffering from this week..i.e..mid to high 20's celsius down to low to mid teens c!
Good analysis Frosty. ??
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21 hours ago, markyo said:
Thankfully cooler today and for the foreseeable,yesterday was just a reminder of how uncomfortable heat can be.
Couldn't agree more, been a very pleasant past 6 months upto Wednesday then 3 sleepless nights with a horrid reminder of how uncomfortable high humidity can be, thankfully this kind of heat is very rare for the midlands this early and isn't usually reached until mid June onwards.
May can be the last pleasant month until October, hopefully a northerly dominated May is on the cards. ??
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The series of boring summers continue, no thundery showers at all, just like i predicted a tedious humid nothingness with no temperature swings, it seems fresh summer weather is now almost impossible to achieve for longer than a day or two in southern britain now.
Don't check the model output anymore as they're useless beyond 3 to 5 days, if any lovely fresh weather is forecasted you can be sure it'll be downgraded and another tedious hot dry period appears, can someone private message me please when autumn is here, i cant be bothered to check anymore, thanks.
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Nice UKMO 12Z showing much cooler air by thursday, hopefully this ghastly weather is the last this summer, everyone is sick to death of this heat, last winter was tons more pleasureable, a repeat for next winter will do me just fine.
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Really liking the look of the models with a fresher regime taking over from Saturday, it'll be nice to get things done outside in a fresh westerly breeze, its summer tomorrow and uppers will never be that cold from now on esp after mid June, some doom mongers whenever they see LP think it means rain all day and cold temps, temps still very useable and not a washout, the warm sectors are what brings high rainfall totals more than cool air.
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Sick to death of this high humidity, you would think looking at the weather today as its damp and overcast it wouldn't be too bad but no its the most unpleasantly humid day of this spell, this island has to have the most unpleasant warmth of any country on such a high latitude, dry heat is miles more comfortable.
The fresher weather can't come soon enough.
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Lets not forget @Tamarasaid we might have to see two to three weeks of disappointing weather before we see a marked improvement.
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4 minutes ago, CreweCold said:
You have to say, the 12z GFS looks like 2007 on steroids.
Means nothing this early on though. Still suspect we'll see an improvement in the modelling as summer proper approaches.
Yes a long way away and an extreme of what could happen but the building blocks for some disappointing weather in late May start this weekend with stalling LP and HP building to our north, looks pretty cool from this friday.
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GFS 12Z not what you want to see over the late May bank holiday weekend that's for sure, northerly winds and LP from the SW engaging that very cool air with single figure max's in northern uk.
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37 minutes ago, 40*C said:
The most recent poor summer was last year. By the 2nd week of July it was looking like a total write off, not a single 25C in sight until that sudden one hot day. Things then improved for the SE and a most parts had a decent August
Down here in the south midlands it was a very humid summer almost throughout, the countryside was more overgrown than ever, this summer could beat even last summers high humidity/growth.
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Ummm very interestingly Gavin P's best analogue for this Summer is 1957's which had a very good first half followed by a poor second half, a summer of two halves, i think this summer will be similar but the halves could be reversed.
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On 13/05/2017 at 12:16, Gael_Force said:
It doesn't show much signal for precipitation but it didn't in the previous very wet summers. I remember Gavin Partridge saying, in a video, these small patches of trapped low pressure were very difficult for the long range models to pick up. Supposedly a low solar signal and low ice pattern ... we have both at the moment.
Great post, exactly long range models as well as ensembles for just 10 days ahead find it difficult to pick up small scale features for the UK, there is an over reliance of basing expectations on long range models for our small patch of the northern hemisphere.
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Not much change on the models for the upcoming week, tuesday looks the warmest day with 23C/24C possible in the SE, cooler/unsettled further northwest though, thereafter a cooling trend with temps back into the teens with scattered showers though with a risk of a pulse of heavy rain moving into Central/SE England on Wednesday afternoon.
Next weekend onwards we have the ominous looking slow moving/stalling low pressure system, high pressure to our northwest/northeast pattern, a pattern very hard to get out of.
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3 hours ago, Mokidugway said:
A repeat of 2012 is unlikely imo
Summer 2007 Poor, Summer 2012 Poor, Summer 2017....??? You get the picture.
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GFS 12Z only showing highs of 16C/17C for tuesday in the midlands with a band of heavy rain moving in, this tropical air is just bringing in lots of damp cloudy weather, roll on the fresher clearer conditions later next week.
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Heatwave next week?...... Not if UKMO 12Z wants anything to do with it.
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Not much sign of anything that much above average temp wise on GFS 12Z, looks like the fine pleasant weather is slowly going to be eroded in the upcoming week with damp southwesterly weather moving in next weekend, let's hope the past weeks glorious cool easterly can make a return after a brief blip next weekend.
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18 hours ago, Wildswimmer Pete said:
You need to re-read my post correctly: "Meanwhile I hope the forecasts for next week is correct with possibly 20C mid-week". Mid-week not mid-20s.
Whatever Pete, you're still gonna struggle big time to see 20C mid week anyway.
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What would you like to see in autumn 2018
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
The coldest Autumn on record followed by the coldest Winter on record, thats my dream, reality will be the complete opposite of course.