Eugene
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Posts posted by Eugene
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I've quite enjoyed this winter, mainly anticyclonic with a lack of rain and very mild weather, some stations have recorded higher than average night frosts.
Looking forward to Spring now with a mixture of pleasant warmth, night frosts, wintry showers and some early to mid Spring atlantic storms, Spring in the UK isn't one warm long season some on here think.
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9 hours ago, Turnedoutniceagain said:
Temps in the countryside were down to 6c last night !! Dew on my car at 5:45 and beautiful mist pockets in the low-lying fields on my way to work.
We're nearly there folks
Yes nights are definately getting cooler now, models were once showing toasty nighttime temps for mid week and widespread maxs early 30's C, downgraded to just your bog standard mid August warm spell, thats it now i feel for 30C+ outside the SE, here's to a cool Autumn and cold Winter, cold is so much easier to deal with even for those who don't like it.
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This has been a very humid Summer, the countryside is the most overgrown i've ever seen it, whats happened is Sub 546 dam airmasses never make it this far south, if you look at Summers in the past you could rely on some decent fresh spells not the downgraded ones us cool weather fans have had to suffer, can't wait for an end to this seemingly endless humidity, its really getting very tiring indeed.
On a side note next weeks heat has been massively downgraded esp at night, none of those silly 21C mins.
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Looking like many midlanders and southerners are going to miss out on any decent thunderstorms from a hot southerly plume, really makes this unbearable heat rather pointless, Summers are becoming more uneventful, lacking proper extreme swings from very cool spells to very hot thundery spells lasting more than 3 days and merging into one long humid cloudy nothingness.
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Some gloriously cool nights next week starting Monday night, a brief cool northwesterly 26th/27th before turning more unsettled, after last night Autumn can't come soon enough.
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I'm sick to death of this endless humidity, only a few fresh days so far this Summer, Iceland/Greenland have wonderfully pleasant Summers, not the cloudy humid rubbish we have to endure.
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Wow what a letdown this week is for anyone outside the SE, heat/thunderstorms non-existent now for tomorrow outside the SE, just horrible cloudy nothingness, MOD thread has Frosty mainly posting away, thats a big hint the models aren't showing anything out of the ordinary.
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Really hoping this week is the warmest spell here this Summer, max temps in the teens are much more comfortable for being out and about in, next week is going to feel heavenly to me and most other people.
Can't wait for Autumn and then the best season Winter, even the mildest Winters are alot cooler than this week.
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Yes a beautiful fresh day with excellent air quality, gone is that horrid clammy very poor quality air from the continent, some much needed rainfall for central areas in the week ahead with thankfully no sign of that unhealthy air, GFS very accurate with its temp predictions today, early teens maxs for many, lovely.
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16 hours ago, Singularity said:
I am certainly interested in seeing how high the temperatures turn out to be on Saturday versus the low teens maximums that GFS keeps putting out for that date.
Looks like a classic 'get away from me, old trough' situation going into the following week, as the residual lower heights to the northeast try their best to cling on. They must be warmed out and banished! They may facilitate height rises NE of the UK which could turn out nicely or unpleasantly depending on how the flow aligns and to what extent there continues to be a trough to the south of the high.
Puzzling comment as the May CET average max is only 16C so max temps a few degrees cooler are easily achievable in a cool northerly flow, looks much cooler by Saturday, upto 10C cooler, dewpoints much cooler too.
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18 hours ago, markyo said:
Certainly each to their own,for me walking in 12c is much more enjoyable than 22c. No way near as tired by the end thanks to the lower temp.
I think most people would agree with you markyo, 12C isn't cold and very pleasant to most people in strong sunshine.
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9 hours ago, damianslaw said:
Well the long awaited change to colder arctic airstream has set in, the coldest uppers are forecast for Tuesday/Wednesday, in the main though the outlook isn't too bad if you like fairly dry settled conditions, its no rain fest... There will be showers around more so in the north and east but as ever they are difficult to forecast, some places could get a wintry mix, others will stay dry more so the SW.
It does look like being quite a lengthy cold plunge, trough features could form out of nowhere and it is ripe territory for shortwave mesoscale disturbances - cyclonic conditions could develop as hinted at by some of this morning's models increasing the chance of notable wintry precipitation in places, low level snow can't be ruled out..
The main notable feature will be the cold minima, very cold for late April, some places could see a 5 day run of minima below 0 degrees a tough act to achieve in the depths of winter.
Longer term - no definitive signal of a change in overall pattern, a cool dissapointing start to May could be on the cards.
Great summary, i think May will be disappointing with milder moister air giving localised flooding, at least up until friday its looking better with colder drier air, this impressive Greenland high setup could be the best we have until next Spring, as we all know those unsettled SW'lys are alot more common Nov to March than in April/May when they are at their weakest.
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Really looking forward to the lovely Arctic air next week, good weather to be out and about in, even though this week has been fresh and not warm, colder weather is always welcome.
A real lack of any warmth this Spring, sorry but 13C/14C max's 4C mins widely isn't warm when the days are as long as August, this would be a cold spell then.
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22 minutes ago, Singularity said:
We've been hard pressed to get the 850's below -5*C across such a large area around the UK in the depth of the past few winters!
Simply incredible, and not great if you have a week off in the final week like my old man does! I fear some (unusually) grumpy conversations may be on their way.
Looks great, nice clear Arctic air and crisp clear skies, will feel lovely in the strong sun, still puzzles me why such charts are frowned upon in April but not January, its not Summer yet then i might understand it, people still want southerlies in October.
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GFS 12Z showing maxs (4C to 6C) widely on Saturday, colder than most max's last December, wouldn't be surprised to see some wintriness on higher ground.
Quite a turn around from the warmth it was showing just a few days ago.
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Well Done the GEM model which never wanted to turn it warmer and drier next weekend, GFS/UKMO 00Z have come on board to a cool unsettled weekend with slack low pressure and cool uppers, looks like a Northerly Blocking April with slow moving low pressure systems over england and temps slightly below average.
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On 03/04/2016 at 10:31 PM, conor123 said:
Shocking weekend after the initial forecast, washout yesterday morning, sun didn't break through till after 4 and then grey grey grey today.
Yeah shocking after all the hype, no warmth at all, charts for foreseeable are shocking too, with a massive greenland high forming and the risk of fronts stalling over the midlands, tired of this cool cloudy spring, the meadow near me is still flooded with more rain to come.
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7 hours ago, Milhouse said:
It now looks like an increasingly mild, albeit increasingly unsettled outlook for the next 5/6 days. We will have a light southerly for a time raising temperatures into the very mild category but during next week winds will turn to a cooler showery northwesterly direction.
On into FI the GEFS mean is indicating chances of an easterly with pressure lowest over southern England. Potentially a warm direction at this time of year, though still unsettled.
LOL, yeah for a day, by April max temps around 12C aren't into the very mild category, actually warmer uppers and cloud cover feel cooler than cooler uppers and sunshine, that ensemble mean chart doesn't show a warm easterly as you say, the following days after the 12th show cooler 850's, easterlies aren't a great wind direction in April.
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4 hours ago, jpro747 said:
Just had a massive downgrade on the GFS, yesterday showing max of 19c, now gone back to single digits and rain
You should've taken notice of the ECM runs, never wanting any of that warmth and being very consistent in keeping it cooler, lots seem to rave over ECM's accuracy in Winter yet magically ignore it in Spring/Summer.
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1 hour ago, ANYWEATHER said:
Good Evening All. Apart from some milder interludes over the next ten days the weather stays predominantly unsettled and with a good few colder shots , resulting in some lovely April showers!
Yes very pleasing charts ANYWEATHER, i really enjoy a cool fresh feel, today was lovely in the sun, seems the models are confused over the T+72 hrs to T+96 hrs timeframe with warm SE'lys to cooler SW'lys, its interesting to see ECM OP runs never showing this warmer outlook for this weekend, that continues with tonights ECM 12Z.
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6 hours ago, Milhouse said:
Some unseasonably warm temperaures getting tantasingly close to the UK on the GFS 12z. Just goes to show what the better ECM would be capable of delivering.
Average temps and rainfall?
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LOL, As soon as that miserable two week high pressure cell has moved away and we have low pressure in charge we have managed to record our warmest and sunniest day here.
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18 hours ago, Paul said:
Yep, much like Nick was blogging about recently
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=news;storyid=7227;sess=
Our blocking high is a thing of the past very soon though unfortunately!
Back to things like rain totals in the coming days..
All its brought for many is horrid stagnant dull days, another dull day today, it'll be nice to see the sun again between rain bands, alot more interesting for active weather fans too.
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I would like to congratulate the UK Met Office on an accurate forecast since the weekend of March 12th/13th, another dullfest here today and feeling chilly, they were spot on with this cloudy chilly anticyclonic theme for many areas, max temps have only been 10C/11C here on the few sunnier days and lower on the many overcast days.
North West England Regional Weather Discussion
in Regional
Posted
Yes same here, i hate the clammy feel they bring at least PM airstreams bring alot more interesting weather, more brightness, better cloudscapes and pleasant fresh feel to the weather, thankfully SW'ly's become less likely the further into Spring you get.