jtay

Understood. That's all we can do. Keep up the good work.

Sure I saw IF say earlier (in the MOD) that the raw outputs would be modified for Saturday and his forecast at 6:50pm seemed to reflect this. More snow in the mix further South and earlier in the day. I'd up that part of the summary to Good chance Sat afternoon and evening.

Pleasantly surprised with Susan Powell's forecast for Sat/Sun there. Still showing the South Coast as rain, but the snowline was further south than perhaps expected and therefore the trend is in the right direction.

Saturday into Sunday was always going to be borderline and it still is, with the position of the transitional low being paramount. As Ian F alluded to earlier this week, next Monday onwards is where the excitement may lie and sure enough, even the GFS is now hinting as this. Heard that plenty of times and as it turned out, snow was the more likely outcome.

Well Gary didn't end up on the Christmas table, but he does now seem to be losing the plot. He's spent this morning in the back garden, putting out the vibe to two male blackbirds. Most of the time, the blackbirds were locked in an airbourne battle, which didn't seem to bother him. Here they are having a rest and possibly a laugh at poor Gary's expense.

Good luck with that.

Meanwhile, back in the real world, the Hampshire Avon flood warnings have been removed south of Salisbury this morning. The warning has been in place since Dec 24th. Still got undesirable river views, however, so another reason to hope that the 06z has just gone off on one.

It's never nailed on at this range, I'm afraid. We're at T+96 and the position of the transition low will be crucial only for the weekend's excitment, but not for next week's cold. Don't get hung up on Sat/Sun down here, everything comes to she who waits.

A third-rate newspaper.

Alas, the same caveat should be applied to the ECM. You'll never pick out a snow event from a week away in the South of England. Let's get the cold in first (which is on it's way), then we'll worry about the snow.

Perhaps there ought to be an 'ignored members' leaderboard, with the weekly top 5 being banned for a while.

I was planning to plough through the MOD at half-time. Should I not bother?

I don't think he said anything. You've just been told he said it. (But whoever said it is still right). They didn't. See Coast's post above. If they had been aware of them, which they weren't, it would have blown the whole premise out of the water, so best swept under they carpet; much as creationists do now. Because the human race is full of idiots.

Yes, they prove that some folk will believe anything if you spin enough nonsense.

Like Portsmouth then? Existence, evolution, creation (though not in the biblical sense), et al would be your fight against Entropy. Do nothing and that's what you'll get. A bit of effort, energy, a fault and things start to happen. Rest assured it'll win in the end, but at least we're in the fight and punching; for the next few billions years at least.

Just a note to set your generic digital recording devices for next Monday at 10pm. http://www.channel4....ies-1/episode-2 "In a journey that takes him through visually stunning locations across the world, Richard Dawkins builds a powerful argument for facing up to the scientific truth about life and death - however hard that might be." I sense a heated debate in the offing. Hurray! Ha... Scratch that. It's on More4, but I can't change the title now.

The die was cast as soon as Mark Thompson was referred to as an Astrologer. ~18:22mins in, if you want to avoid his bit and just watch The Nolans. In fairness, I thought PC came across quite well, keeping the ranting to a minimum, but he's reverted to type this morning on Twitter with ... "Piers trashes CO2 warmists on ITV AlanT show Oct3" Bless him.

So it is. No idea how that switched to -1. Cheers

Hello Paul, It looks to me like the forum timing is an hour out. It's running on UTC at the moment. John

Blimey, that is a posh bird. Has he got a mate? I do worry about our Gary. It has been mentioned. Just weighing up whether being chased out of the village would be worth the look on the Mother-in-laws face. Tough call.

We had a Peacock move into our village two or three months ago. He doesn't have a name as yet, so we'll call him Gary for the sake of argument. Here he is in the front garden... He lives in a conker tree up the lane and seems quite happy with his lot. We're not on a main road and he's not in my earshot at night, so his prospects should be pretty good. The question is, will Gary be alright through the winter? He's eating the contents of our flower beds at the moment, but I guess we'll have to start feeding him when the real cold sets in. I'm guessing corn would be his food of choice, but I'm happy to take advice if anyone has any peacock experience.

Thunder, lightning and heavy rain currently rolling through here, just south of Salisbury.

or perhaps... 'You can't have Mass without me; you shouldn't bother to have Mass with me!' The seminar can be followed here from 8am BST tomorrow morning --> http://webcast.web.cern.ch/webcast/

Yep, first few flashes and rumbles moving across the Hants, Wilts and Dorset border at the moment.

Incoming... 5 miles south of Salisbury.