Mark Burton

Hi TEITS, if you don't mind could you explain how we are going to get inches of snow tomorrow night from sleet and ice rain, because that is the NW forecast for our region, and as time progresses the ppn is gradually turning to rain in the projections. If this verifies there will be a lot of disappointed people here, and a very red faced BBC!! I want snow as much as everyone here, I will hope and believe it happens

Not so sure, Netweather gives SLEET for our area tomorrow night. The BBC says SNOW, so Netweather is acually isolated with this forecast for us. I think it will be a marginal situation - but according to this site we will be getting torrential sleet at 0C at 9pm tomorrow night. I believe that at that temp heavy ppn with be snow! Good luck, I would still charge the camera!!

I'm so close, yet so far here in St Ives for this Wash Streamer - I don't think it will make it here. Temps have risen slightly here tho, that's why I checked the radar! Looks like Peterborough only just in the firing line.

You have to love GFS, it's just loud, confident and WRONG. Look at last week, 2 weeks ago we were all getting exited with GFS's projected, upcoming countrywide heatwave due to start around the 23rd July. It never came, especially in the far East - we have had a reasonable week in some parts of the country. My point is, UKMO and ECM more or less nailed last week - GFS was the most inaccurate of the three. So I take it's future predictions with a pinch of salt!

Nice summary Blizzards - glad you have good weather where you are! I'm about as far East as you can get (Great Yarmouth) and it's not good. Thick grey cloud with occasional light drizzle and cool Temps. Hopefully our warm up begins tomorrow............. to 19C

You know, we were looking at charts almost identical to these, last week, for this week. Also, we were making the same comments " the warm up begins.........." So I for one won't believe it until it happens!

Thank you John for your forcast - very interesting. Well Backtrack, we ended up with clear skies and 18C in Great Yarmouth today - not a drop of rain as forcast (that came last night) and the forcast looks better with each run - so not the disaster I was dreading. I know there are quite alot of model watchers on holiday in this area this week. Maybe WE are raising the pressure - hopecasting :lol:

I like your positive spin on things Backtrack. Im in Great Yarmouth, and today is much better than expected, it rained last night - the rain is now retreating back into the continent and yes, the sun is coming out! IMO for us, the only way is up. :yahoo:

I've also noticed that GFS temps are often lower than the actual on the day, but in summer time I don't mind that at all I will be holidaying in Great Yarmouth next week (all sympathy votes accepted) so am watching the models very closely. I am expecting a very unseasonal day on Sunday, but am hoping for a slow improvement as each day progresses during the week. Any prolonged sunshine will boost Temps to a reasonable level. Looks like I have bombed on this years holiday destination - there's always next year!

If the Greeny High does persist, then I agree with you that it will be more of the same. I think this summer is proving a mixed bag for everyone - high temps/ storms/ cooler interludes, for me, very interesting - I've got no complaints.

My Son has just moved down to Buckinghamshire from Cumbria - he thinks he's in the South of France now!!

With the right airmass over us, it very quickly got up into the low 30's C on Monday - so it could happen again with the right set up. For me, I like the scenario that we are expecting for the weekend, Monday was too hot to work in - this summer could be SO much worse as many older members will testify to. I remember some complete washout holidays in the early 1970's, in the South - totally miserable.

Just seen the BBC Look East forcast, no snow at all mentioned, just rain.

At the end of the day, we are all weather nuts on here in one form or another. I have been since I was about 8 years old! Some of us read the models, others rely on the established forcasters to make an informed forcast, some even read the sky itself - we all have our different ways of doing things. This thread is about a forcasting faliure for a widespread snow event that was all rain on the day, not about people being childish in their reaction to it.

This was my own reaction the following day to this monumental non event on my regional thread. I don't see how anyone can justify the BBC or Met Offices forcast for that night.

So much for the big BBC snow event, talking about loud, confident and WRONG. I thought it might happen if Temps dropped away close to freezing last night - but they didn't, it was 2C at midnight here and just starting to rain. I have experienced so many of these BBC snow 'let downs', so I didn't expect snow last night! Net weather was spot on with the forcast, 2C and ice rain!!

Temps up to 3.8C in St Ives - I think we could see a wet snow event later if the PPN is heavy enough. My thinking is that we still have a dewpoint at -2.8 and air temps could fall close to freezing after dark....................that would do it!

Anyone wondering about my previous post regarding N Ireland should read this. That's why I want a thaw for them. This is from the Irish thread.

It's all so localised in our area, here in St Ives we only had a dusting yesterday - that replaced our previous dusting that had melted. So not really a white Christmas for us here, that's what we get for living in one of the driest places in the country :smiliz19:

I think if anyone or anything is being misleading it is the models themselves. No one can say that it is not going to warm up at this stage - look how the models keep flip flopping from mild to cold. It's no good getting agitated with forum members because their opinion differs from the snow hungry masses (myself included) everyone is entitled to their opinion - even if we don't like it For me I would like to see a warm up in the West, my daughter is in N Ireland and the situation there is dire - speaking last night she told me that it's like living in a deep freeze, no one can function properly. Weatherwise I just can't call it at the moment, but I know that when the Atlantic wants to make a return it will, and nothing will stop it - not even us!! Currently +2C here, warmest it's been for a week.

Have been watching this thread for a few days now, with much interest. In my experience of winters over the past 40 odd years, when deep cold makes an early appearence as it has - in fact twice, early on in the season, we don't usually see a fast return to cold weather. If I remember rightly, February and March are usually mild with the odd sleety/ snowy incursions - but they are short lived. My gut feeling is that we have seen the worst of the winter, and any future cold spells will be 'normal' short lived affairs - I hope to be proved wrong though! I am not a model watcher, but I enjoy reading your opinions and learning from your expertise.

lI agree, the snowband has been trying to get past Swindon in Wilts for hours now - to no avail. Snow is also getting lighter in Bristol now, I think going no where!

Looking at the radar around Swindon, this front has well and truly stalled.

We have a slight covering again in St. Ives after a light fall of snow for the last hour. Almost back to square one!!

Steady on guys, I know that we are all very dissapointed today, come the end of the day the weather will do what it likes and we just have to look on and enjoy, or not!!