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Radiating Dendrite

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Everything posted by Radiating Dendrite

  1. Radiating Dendrite
    Didn't really notice any wind here, just a lot of rain. Temperatures are now dropping nicely, already down to 5c (could be the warmest we see now for a good few weeks).
  2. Radiating Dendrite
    About as reliable as an umbrella with a hole in it. Nice to look at though.
  3. Radiating Dendrite
    Uppers to high?
  4. Radiating Dendrite
    Are you the Irish Terrier? A little more optism would not go a miss. I know it is good to not get carried away, but we are not looking at a 2015 or 1989 nightmare scenario here. The models and cold spells in particular usually end up being a bit of a compromise, but at least we are not looking at dusting the BBQ off.
  5. Radiating Dendrite
    Looking like being a fantastic run. Initially cold and cyclonic (could be a lot of snow for some places). Then we get a griceland high > Omega Block, similar to recent mean charts, with a cold NE looking likely to set up past +300. Yum yum
  6. Radiating Dendrite
    This has massive implications for the weather we end up experiencing here, so this is more than relevent.
  7. Radiating Dendrite
    At least we are looking at polishing some gold rather than a turd. Hopefully we will see upgrades in our favour.
  8. Radiating Dendrite
    East Asian Mountain Torque event - puts more pressure on the Vortex. Just giving it another good kicking whilst it's on the ropes. After last year, it deserves it!
  9. Radiating Dendrite
    We shall see. I am expecting to see snowfall in many places away from the coast, even if it is transitory in nature.
  10. Radiating Dendrite
    We are well aware of your thoughts @terrier I am not sure you need to keep repeating yourself. I do not think people are expecting some kind of 87" repeat, we are just happy to see some seasonal charts showing and the chance of possible lowland snowfall in the UK at times, something we cannot call until much closer to the time. I would rather have a ticket for the raffle and I feel we have that.
  11. Radiating Dendrite
    Think @terrier may disagree!
  12. Radiating Dendrite
    Tough one for them! Mutant Covid EU Shutdown Day After Tomorrow Winter Which will they go for! Great to see the colder 850s, totally expected as 9 times out of 10 that is always the way with the models.
  13. Radiating Dendrite
    Hopefully the Russian high will stop this eastern progress though?
  14. Radiating Dendrite
    What does history tell us?? 1. Things tend to move further east as we get closer to reliable. 2. Uppers tend to upgrade as we get closer to reliable. Given these.....expect the trough centred over the Eastern end of the North Sea and -10c uppers being pulled into the flow.
  15. Radiating Dendrite
    From memory we had uppers of around -2/3 on the 4th. These are a few degrees cooler with much lower heights.
  16. Radiating Dendrite
    The cold has not made it to the reliable yet though, so it has not downgraded as it has only existed in fantasy land. When models disagree we usually see a blended solution. Mid Atlantic High and a North westerly is what I am expecting for the first course. Snow for prone areas of Scotland and North Western England, not not overly cold.....4-5c maxes during the day and some frost at night (depending on wind strength).
  17. Radiating Dendrite
    I think the comparison was only to show the different state of the Northern Hemisphere this year compared to last (which was a mild winter). I am not sure he was trying to disprove climate change, more the notion that the Northern Hemisphere is not cold, it is, just in the wrong places for us to currently benefit.
  18. Radiating Dendrite
    The lack of cold pooling is just a symptom of the synoptics we have seen over the recent month though. There are certainly some very cold areas in the Northern Hemisphere, areas of Siberia are touching -40c 850s. This can also quickly change as well, more especially now we are into 'proper' winter.
  19. Radiating Dendrite
    I would not say so in the winter. More unusual in summer given the narrower 850 range that we tend to see.
  20. Radiating Dendrite
    Think he is a glass half empty type of chap
  21. Radiating Dendrite
    What are these charts showing?
  22. Radiating Dendrite
    Got the 850s chart for that last one? That is a thing of pure beauty!
  23. Radiating Dendrite
    If the high collapses over us, then that meto update will be on point. I expect a toppler, I don't think any model has been going all out with the blocking. The ECM usually over amplifies, so the fact this is showing not much more than a Mid Atlantic Ridge is telling.
  24. Radiating Dendrite
    This is a very optimistic post for you @terrier
  25. Radiating Dendrite
    It looks a more robust high though, with ridging into S. Greenland on the latest chart. The earlier two look more like topplers to me.
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