[Model banter and emotions]

Gfs just looks completely wrong, the way it handles the low pressure. One for the shredder 

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 Mcconnor8 yes and its looking like they could appear again by the back-end of next weekend.

Maybe that gem run of bitter easterlies a few days ago was on the correct path.

They can even bring snow-fall and settling snow up to around mid-march,here.Remember March 2013 for example

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 TillySwhat non existent easterly from the last cold-spell.We had lying snow on the beach from it when the uppers went down to minus 10 on the monday

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

said few days ago the lows in these set-ups always trend South every day.The last cold spell in jan  the low ended up missing the uk completely remember,

[Model banter and emotions]

 Harsh Climate nothing new  in seeing blocked weather patterns with HLB once winter ends,been happenning on and off for decades.Same old story too little too late

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Not trending the right way, but everything is too far out, to be too overly concerned that the next cold spell is currently looking not particularly exciting at the moment. Hopefully things change for the better over the weekend. 

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Gem is amazing looks like 1947 with those bitter easterlies, so of course it won't verify as the colder runs never do. 

Turning colder is the only thing that seems certain after that, too far out for depth of cold and snow chances. 

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Any chance a cold spell won't downgrade when it's gets nearer, mild spells never do, do they

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

These lows always end further south in reality remember the last fiasco in January missed the uk completely and hit France instead

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Gfs was one of the mildest runs so obviously struggling with the set up in a week's time, some ensembles bring the colder air South quicker than the op. 

Lots to look forward to in a weeks time onwards.. 

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Ecm  00z ensembles were  trending colder breaching the minus 10 hpa mark previous runs hadn't breached it.

[North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)]

 danm  danm lmsgine the chaos here if we got  8 ft of snow so far this winter season

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

The high pressure to the South of the uk dominating the weather, some wild weather in Norway because of it. 

Turning very mild, another very mild opening to Feb incoming. 

Watch the heights to the South magically vanish though once march onwards arrives again....

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 damianslaw any reason why that is, regarding the 00z runs, Been happening for years. Excellent gfs run is this the signs of recovery just when the outlook for cold looked completely bust? 

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

  @TillyS curse of the majority of winters since late 80s,lol.

Looking forward to watching the pattern switch end of feb onwards.Look at the current model output and turn it upside down for how the weather patterns will look in Spring and probably parts of  summer too 

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

  @northwestsnow  I nearly threw up when I saw the runs this morning.The iberian/azores high looks like taking control.Watch it vanish without a trace once march arrives.

woeful outlook if your looking for cold and snow,great if you like mild though.

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

  @TURNED OUT NICE AGAIN well for some reason  end of February and March now seems the best  time when we have the chance of seeing a long fetch Easterly outbreak. End of Feb 2018 into March and March 2013 are good examples. 

Let's hope the models pick up on something in a few weeks. 

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Come back in 6 weeks and I think the models will start showing some fantastic HLB and Southerly tracking lows which will then verify. Same old story. 

[February 2024 C.E.T. and EWP contests]

every february is like a spring month now,with rarely ever any northerly or easterly outbreaks.

7.4c 121mm

[Moans, ramps and banter]

what a dreadful day .The fog is getting thicker as well.

[Model banter and emotions]

  @Kasim Awan nothing new there anymore then. 

Are you scrapping this winter now, your probably see some decent Snowfall when spring arrives at your altitude, such is the way of the seasons in the UK now. 

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

  @Chesil View 2028? 

[Model banter and emotions]

Let's just scrap this winter now, nothing to suggest deep cold is hitting the UK anytime season. No surprise  anymore. 

[Moans, ramps and banter]

Always warm records that go, how utterly depressing, given up in ever seeing prolonged cold in January again. 

Even the cold spell early in January has failed to give January a below average CET. 

I'm still in denial that I saw falling and lying snow here, even on the beach, and it stayed on the ground for 2 days,early in January. 

Wait  until winter ends and once again the perfect winter charts will appear on and off with robust Greenland  highs that don't just give away like a pansy to low pressure,exsctly how the cold-spell ended. 

Sick of seeing decent winter weather patters outside of winter

 

[January 2024 CET and E.W.P. forecast contests]

chance of a below average month gone again.Not a surprise anymore