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SLEETY

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Everything posted by SLEETY

  1. So everyone looking for cold and snow stop doing this until about last week of Feb, watching the model outlook that is!! As it is after that date that the effects of the SSW will starting showing up in the models,thsts from that video from the Met and all the models they use. Didn't rule out another beast incoming could get interesting end of feb into March.
  2. I would like to see the average C.E.T for feb the past 10 years it must be way above average,and this month no different.Incredible.
  3. The 10 day trend met office forecast this week is going to be interesting viewing regarding the SSW, that's going to happen later this month.
  4. Looking like we are heading towards a repeat of march 1975, very mild February then it turned very cold with repeated heavy snow falls in March, we had two snowfalls here of several inches in March 1975.
  5. Well im so shocked to see feb heading very mild again. Probably means a very cold spring though to make up for it
  6. It rained nearly every day here from mid-december to mid-january,before drying out,so this dryer spell is very welcome. Looks like turning very much milder by end of week,but after that could become interesting.
  7. So your basically saying dont believe the gfs if its showing cold in the ensembles but believe it if its trending mild in the ensembles like it is now,and you are,how silly....
  8. yet a few days ago it was trending frigid in the ensembles.what a complete junk of a model,as mentioned before just chuck it in the Ocean
  9. i remember max temps of minus 3c in the day.What would be the headlines for that!
  10. Time to write off the chance of seeing any cold and snow for the remainder of the Winter. A poor winter for cold but not as bad as the last few Winters at least their was a bit of snow and plenty more frosts than I have seen in the winter for a while. But still way below what you should expect.Look out for sometime in Spring to develop the cold weather patterns when its too late .like a couple of years ago in April and May.
  11. Ecm was a tad on the mild side compared to the other runs in the ensemble pack, does it most the time so not surprised anymore.
  12. UKMO had us in mild West winds start of next week, so it also was miles out, gfs wasn't far out in the end
  13. Well the Met office didn't totally dismiss the American model did they, at the time they gave it a 15% chance that the gfs outcome was correct. But what do I know about anything. But if the model can never be correct in the time frame you mention then what's the point of it, might as well smash the computer into a billion pieces and throw it into the Ocean then. T
  14. Yes it's turning colder but no deep freeze, the UK can somehow miss out the cold whatever the direction its trying to come from, more than just frustrating it's getting now.
  15. What a massive disappointment again hopes were raised of a bitter Easterly invading the UK, should have known better than to believe the gfs had the correct solution. Surprised the Met gave it any credence at all. It's Woeful since the update and the whole computer should be dumped in the Atlantic Ocean and left to sink without trace. Give me an C give me an R give me an A give me an p what have you got the gfs computer model!
  16. Yes the bitterly cold weather that the gfs has been showing for several days with uppers approaching minus 15c isn't going to happen now is it. Easterly outbreaks rarely seen to come off for the UK, the bitter colder air seems heading to Turkey and Greece we just getting the scraps. Woeful again, but can't say I'm surprised, another poor Feb on the horizon if your looking for cold and snow.
  17. Yes we get the point that ECM has hopefully mucked it up and is going to follow the GFS
  18. But MET to office still suggesting it could happen, which means they can't be very confident of their own model and what the ECM is showing currently.
  19. But that was mostly early March, only the last couple of days in Feb were affected. It's Been years since we had a decent cold spell in feb, 2009 last decent even here. Utterly pathetic, let's hope the Euros have messed up big-time. If the 06 hour run is still showing similar, then surely the Euros will backtrack later. So very fascinating 06 hour run incoming soon.
  20. Hope gfs is correct or its another two weeks of winter gone with mild Atlantic gunk. The fact we haven't had a severe cold spell of weather in Feb for ages must give the gfs a bigger chance it has the pattern correct.
  21. If you want to see this easterly then you would need all models showing similar output I would think. The difference currently is pathetic!
  22. Almost the perfect Easterly now, amazing, if it came off. Next runs will make or break it I think..
  23. We had temps colder in the Dec cold spell with minus 4 uppers, so definitely be close or even below freezing if this run verifys.
  24. One or more models are going to watch their credibility going down the toilet by the end of this evening. That's the one thing you can be certain of
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