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Everything posted by SLEETY
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
SLEETY replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
People seem to have forget that. The ECM showed a big Scandi High right out to the end of its run a couple of days ago, now the complete opposite, its all over the place, ukmo also looked promising now its switched to mild junk. At least the gfs has been consistent, let's hope not consistently wrong! -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
SLEETY replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
yes but when springs arrives the cold weather patterns suddenly appear,so dont expect March to feel any warmer than the pathetic attempt of winter that jan and feb have now become. Incredible contrast between usa and europe temperature wise at the moment,how pathetic we can never get a cold anamoly like they can. Its colder in LAS vegas for example,how pathetic is that. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
SLEETY replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We have seen more snow in march here since 2010 then any of the so-called winter months,how pathetic is that. Looking like could be the same this year. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
SLEETY replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
no surprise feb not looking like any cold weather arriving. really poor outlook for cold again. -
February 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
SLEETY replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
6.9c 68 mm. Another write-off for February regarding cold and snow.The endless crud of Jan and Feb as winter months continues just regard them as spring month in temperature! -
Model Output Discussion - New Year and Beyond
SLEETY replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This High pressure needs to either back further West to allow a Northerly to develop or just clear off all together, all its going to do is bring mild Atlantic gunk over the top of the high and into the uk with its current orientation. Really frustrating and eating up precious Wintertime. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
SLEETY replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Don't take the Met long range forecasts as gospel they never forecasted the severity of the cold spell in Dec That caught them out , and hopefully the bitterly cold weather when it arrives, after January of course, will catch them out again. -
Model Output Discussion - New Year and Beyond
SLEETY replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's been a lost winter month for 35 years!! , doesn't mean we can't get a severe spell this winter, and even March has delivered the last couple of decades. Watch out for changes in the model output in a couple of weeks as another pitiful January nears it's end. -
Model Output Discussion - New Year and Beyond
SLEETY replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A common theme in the winter for most of Europe, with these persistent High pressure belts over Europe dominating the scene for decades, hence the lack of snow in the Alps. And January looking like a write off for snow and cold. If these high pressure belts could shift North of the UK then we would be talking how cold Europe was in the winter instead. Not going to happen is it!! -
January 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
SLEETY replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Difference is Roger,although their were mild January's going back to the 1700s and 1800s their were also bitterly cold January's at the same time,or at least bitterly cold spells in them. Since the late 80s its been nothing but warm January's bar a tiny few in 35 years being below the CET. Utterly pathetic how January is now, and this month is going to be above average too!! -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
SLEETY replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
last chance saloon redgarding deep cold air affecting uk,next 24 hours will have the answer Mild air normally wins out in UK so I predicting Arctic high not winning out. What an utter crud climate the UK has in the winter months,complete rubbish .Hate it. -
Model Output Discussion - New Year and Beyond
SLEETY replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
hopefully the models have underesimated the strength of the block,and it can build further west. going to have to happen next 24 hours though or its probably game over. the position of the uk on the worlds map,means we are normally fighting a (losing) battle in getting Arctic highs to build back west enough to effect uk. same problem all the time.So frustrating.!!!!!! Might as well sign out of model watching for at least two weeks,you just know the milder air will win out. -
Model Output Discussion - Christmas week and beyond
SLEETY replied to nick sussex's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not sure why anyone is surprised by January anymore. It's a repeatable pattern in January over many decades now, with low pressure to the North and High pressure to the South. With high pressure to the South moving further North at times to turn it very mild over most of Europe. -
Model Output Discussion - Christmas week and beyond
SLEETY replied to nick sussex's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
How about January shifting into something cold for a change,at least ECM was hinting at something colder with it trying to develop a Scandi high.Long way off but at least we have a straw to cling too for now. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
SLEETY replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Hate januray now either its zonal dross or mild and cloudy with winds from the South,never from the East or North for snow and cold is it.Rubbish month -
Model Output Discussion - Christmas week and beyond
SLEETY replied to nick sussex's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Trouble is with January rarely being a winter month for 30 plus years, you need to some evidence that is going to show the UK turning very much colder later in this winter. Really hoping the signs of the strong warming higher up is the evidence we need. If it is correct then don't rule out another big Easterly like in 20 13 and 2018 but hopefully earlier in the actual winter, and not Spring!! -
Model Output Discussion - Christmas week and beyond
SLEETY replied to nick sussex's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Exactly, just shows you again as we head into January, that as far as the UK is concerned it should not be classed as a winter month as the temperatures are more spring like year after year. Nothing in the model output indicates any change for at least two weeks. We have to hope the warming high up will effect Europe hopefully tail end of January, otherwise just mild weather will be dominating throughout the month. So utterly predictable!!! -
if i had known after the big freeze up of 87 we would rarely get much snow after,then I would have moved to Tomintoul! Growing up as a kid in the late 70s to late 80s I thought how great that it snows so much every year.What did I know!
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Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
SLEETY replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
we currently pay 200 a month for both in a 2 bed bungalow and thats before we increased the usage when the cold weather hit. Your talking rubbish if your only paying 100 a month for both gas and electric then both must be off most the time. Why dont you actually explain how you get that figure,because its bull.... -
Model Output Discussion - Christmas week and beyond
SLEETY replied to nick sussex's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Amazing how the UK misses out on the cold again in this afternoons gfs run. Most of Europe will be going into the Freezer with severe cold, but UK stays mild. Yes it won't verify but the trend of UK never going cold is tiresome. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
SLEETY replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Typical, just read it, looking like another snowless, crud of a January. Not surprising the warm up in January and February since 1987 has been ridiculous, over the whole of Europe. The French met office for example mention how crazy the warmth in their country has been since the late 80s. -
January 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
SLEETY replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Another mild January is coming 6.3 85mm Like to see how much January and February have warmed since the late 80s,must be an incredible difference since then for UK and Europe. -
Model Output Discussion - Christmas week and beyond
SLEETY replied to nick sussex's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Surely not another mild January looming. Miles away again from any cold weather as January starts soon. Incredible consistency in January being mild, year after year. I'll give it that