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SnOwFeSt

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Everything posted by SnOwFeSt

  1. There should be plenty of snow patches left in England. Was in the lakes the weekend before last and there was plenty of snow up scafell pike down to about 850m.
  2. Is anyone else wishing that they had seen a system like this in January/ February? The blizzards caused would rival the epic snowfalls seen in Sheffield/ south Yorkshire in December 2010!
  3. Does anyone have any predictions for this saturday in the Lakes? Planning on clambering up scafell pike this saturday, and wondering whether we will get soaked! Looks like showers to my untrained eye, which will probably result in longer spells in the mountains!
  4. Front now moving into the irish sea. Brutally cold temps and dew points. Looking forward to it arriving here about 2pm onwards!
  5. This is knife edge stuff, but i would expect upgrades as nowcasting kicks in. The latest outputs are showing the mild sector being mixed out so sub zero 850 air remains as the front passes through. With such deep surface cold, you'd fancy that would be sufficient to maintain snow. We'll find out tomorrow I guess! ps: what time is the front due to hit west yorkshire? I've heard it may be saturday afternoon/evening, but does anyone have a more accurate time when it will start. I am due to be driving on the motorway at about 5pm, so wondering whether it will be heavy then?
  6. Looks like you're on the edge of a streamer setting up in Oldham. Should give you a few hours of snow, at times heavier. Radar sequence is here
  7. I'm driving over the m62 (saddleworth moor) in a couple of hours and toward manchester etc. It has been raining here, but will no doubt be falling as snow on higher ground. Can anyone who's on higher ground/ near the snow area tell me if its sticking/ how the roads look etc. Cheers!
  8. Another storm looks progged for Tues, which seems to stick around for about 24 hours. This could create more havoc in scotland/ northern England. The Friday storm looks even more frightning. As much as I like storms, I hope it downgrades, as the storm last week would pale into insignificance if that came off!
  9. I was starting to get disappointed as the winds have been fairly gusty (but probably just below gale force) all morning, but not increased too much. However in the last 15-20 minutes things have really started to pep up – just had a very strong, lengthy gust here in east Leeds. Still bright/ broken cloud – I wonder if any rain will come in to make it even more interesting?
  10. With cold sst's around the UK and little end in sight for the blocked pattern (I just don't buy the model's "default FI mode" to bring the atlantic in at all), I can't see Jan being anywhere near average. However, some milder incursions should float around the top of any high pressure systems at time, bringing nearer average temps (like the beginning of last week) 1.6 is my punt
  11. Anomalies are looking very low now around the uk, particularly in the north sea. Don't think I've ever seen them this below average before! I'm no expert at this, but doesn't the anomaly chart indicate that the conditions are favourable for high pressure over greenland. I certainly can't see much of a jet stream forming with such a low differential between warm and cold water (i.e. negative anomaly in south, positive in north). Its almost like la nina water has spread into the atlantic through the panama canal lol!
  12. It is certainly possible that records will be broken. The high pressure that is developing over the snowfields in scotland will mean that clear calm conditions will prevail on Thursday night. Given that the max in Aviemore today was about -10, I rekon that there is a 30% chance that the record could be broken!
  13. Looks like you'll catch loads more snow tonight - probably another 5-6 inches looking at the Beeb forecast. Just hoping it slips a little further south!
  14. very cold start, brief milder interlude, then cold biting back as height rise again to the north CET - 2.8
  15. 28th November - Newcastle/ gateshead area as a northeasterly kicks in. I believe in Scotland the pressure will be too high to see the first showers, otherwise I would have gone for the granite city!
  16. 7.2 for me please - mild to start, cooler and settled toward the end.
  17. Coolish start, then a recovery - 16.2 for me
  18. I hope not - just realised I've got a 10.9 prediction. If it could just drop by 0.1 (not unrealistic, after adjustments) I'm onto a winner!
  19. 15.1 - warm start, cooler after
  20. Yes, you are quite right - I was referring to the earlier part of the run: showing uppers of -7 to -8 and quite an unstable looking airstream. I agree that this easterly looks like it could become a non-event. Models have consistently been putting this high further south on every run, and I can't see the trend reversing. Looks like crisp, sunny days and frosty nights will be the order of the day come thursday/ friday imo!
  21. uppers not looking as cold, as high is further south + incorporates some less cold air in the south. Still, would give snowfall to the north, though daytime temps would stay above freezing.
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