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winterof79

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    Northwest Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards

    in Northwest Weather Discussion

    Posted

    From the mod thread from a london perspective and should have been in the moans.

    Just shows how regional bias rules in there.

    "I personally think we are a long way off cold.  Record mildness is possible early next week; 14C/15C in the south.  We have to be honest, the chase for this mediocre cold snap has been tiring and demoralising.  The experts on here as well as the Met Office got it badly wrong.  January’s CET will come in above average (maybe significantly so) to follow December’s exceptional mildness.  Can February save this winter from joining the scrapheap of poor winters?  At the moment, it’s mainly hope that is keeping me going."

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    Northwest Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards

    in Northwest Weather Discussion

    Posted

    6 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:

    A secondary streamer has now formed on the peripheral section of the trough which has more widespread potential than the streamer which has just occured. An additional 2-8cm is likely widely across Merseyside, Lancashire and Greater Manchester in the next 3 hours. A steady rise in dew points along the coast will take place in the coming hours. And wind speeds increase towards midday areas west of the M6 will see a rise to 1C dew point. Through the afternoon this will spread eastwards towards the 120m contour.

    During mid morning heavy and significant snowfall will affect Cumbria, 1-5cm widely away from the coast. This then extending into North Yorkshire and northern Lancashire where mixed precipitation is likely below 200m in the West and below 100m-150m over and to the East of the Pennines. Accumulations of 25-35cm are possible above 250m locally in these areas. A more widespread 10-15cm above 200m. 5-8cm between 100m-150m and 250m. This will be a confined streamer forming over central northern Lancashire and just to the north of Bradford. Little accumulation outside of it.

    A southwards shift of the front can be expected through the afternoon producing a period of moderate snow over the central southern Pennines 2-7cm widely. Perhaps 1-2cm down to 200m on the west and 100m on the east of the Pennine area. Temporary accumulations east of the m6 are possible but this is uncertain.

    Hopefully thats when i get my first proper fall of winter

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