[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Yes Sheikhy

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 Lukesluckybunch chill bud its just as the system encroaches from s/w

and its one run.Please analyse every 12hours for a more accurate comparison 

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 bluearmy Yes blue further north initially

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Back edge snow Tuesday still on the table

 

 

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Strat in big trouble (Today and Mid Feb)

PV split

Moyenne trying to split too

Happy days.

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 Harsh Climate

Thursday 06Z

ECM

Arpege

GFS

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 IDO "Treated with caution" yes,disregarded as per your original post ..no

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 Battleground Snow

Ignore at ones peril

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 Mike Poole

"Think we’re going to see some fascinating evolutions in FI over the next few days before the models converge on which one is actually going to happen, but all the signs now are that we have a real chance of nailing a proper cold spell."

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 Allseasons-Si

Make of that what you will

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

The probability of winds from a Northerly/ Easterly quadrant increases as the PV is destroyed late winter and in to Early spring i feel

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 TillyS

240+? The North of England maybe further south has the first hit of cold midweek then the fun starts.

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Hold your horses  Op going a bit early but control joining party around 10th

Trends....

[Moans, ramps and banter]

Shame the mod thread has become an emotional nightmare.

Horrific this disastrous that.

I actually don't think posters can read in to model output other than the latest set.

Shame as it used to be a good place.

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

  @Mike Poole can you let NW know before he becomes a statistic.

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

The trend is your friend and there's definitely one showing

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

  @Lukesluckybunch at last the NWP starting to prog the relocation of the PV to a very favourable spot come mid Feb and the Met may bring forward the timescale in their extended

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

  @feb1991blizzard Cheers Feb didn't read back enough

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

  @feb1991blizzardSome record breaking cold late Feb you said last night with some -10 flat liners where is this as i don't see any evidence 

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Going in the right direction i feel

 

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Shannon has entered the room

[Model Output Discussion - Cold spell ending - what next?]

48 minutes ago, carinthian said:

Morning the models moving towards a Scandinavian High is place for the months end. All the upper pressure flow projects indicate that. The early building blocks will start next weekend. Regarding depth of cold, predictions of 850mb temp values are not possible at this stage. Getting the right development for an Easterly flow in place is the important aspect and then the cold will follow and possibly deepen once established..

C

[Model Output Discussion - Cold spell ending - what next?]

Trend? #Teits