-uksnow-
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Posts posted by -uksnow-
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If were thinking in terms of trends, then surely the trend in the output for atlantic LP's to die a slow death against a block to the east/covering Britain is not a bad one to be entering the autumnal and winter period with.
As all models are currently showing this, and with BFTP's 'stuck in a rut' theory, i think this is one positive to go off. Think how many times in the winter of 12/13 the block was modelled to be bulldosed, only to come to the event date and the backtrack had changed the forecast to trough disruption giving numerous snow events across Britain. This for me is a good starting block.
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Well this is a tasty Feb CFS anomaly:
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4
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Hi guys, i dont know as much about the storm side of things but was just wondering with such high amounts of cape and LI on wednesday - what is the chances of any storms going Supercellular?
Mid level convection kicking of nicely around here already - will be posting on twitter @ukstormlover if i see any decent action.
Temp 18.2
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BOOOM. Huge crack of thunder, like the sky was splittting in half!
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Never sure what thread i fit into but im about 7 miles East/NE of portsmouth - skies to my west are very dark, cant see and structure but it just looks like one big stormy mess. Thunder every 5 minutes or so here.
Quick question: are we likely to hit the (24 degrees i think?) temperature that will break the cap it 5000ft without the solar insolation? Given that some are reporting 17 degrees before 9 am.
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UKMO not quite as fast to build heights over Europe and clear the low to the NE, but its not half bad.
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Huge discrepencies between UKMO + GFS at T96
UKMO:
Has us in a slack N/NE'rly flow, perhaps some storms about? Also has two separate lows, one to the NE of scotland and one straddling in the mid atlantic
GFS:
Much deeper (965mb) low in the atlantic (now why doesnt that suprise me?) with low pressure hitting the UK and disrupting, followed by heights building over Europe by 120 with a southerly flow
pumping up some warmer uppers
lets see if UKMO agrees...somehow i think it wont, not by 120 at least..
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Currently light snow
Temp 3.5
DP -1.6
Apparant: -1.0
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Currently light snow
Temp 3.5
DP -1.6
Apparant: -1.0
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that would be handy for setting off storms in summer
that would be handy for setting off storms in summer.
that would be handy for setting off storms in summer.
that would be handy for setting off storms in summer.
that would be handy for setting off storms in summer.
I think we get the picture
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I linked both of them earlier but i think they got lost in the excitment, it did look very snowy earlier though.
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Subtle differences even by T60 on the GFS - as has been happening with all runs, more energy is being sent further south.
Stronger (more robust) heights/thickenss built ahead of the low.
06z
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White out conditions here in Godalming!
I jest not! (I fear some of you suspect me of ramping).
I beleive you! You only have to find a godalming webcam to see what its like!
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http://www.godalmingonline.com/webcams/church-street/
Another godalming webcam, its white!
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Some light snow flurries every now & then here. Bitterly cold out temp is 4.4C Dew Point -0.1C Min 2C.
Crazy the difference a few miles make, woke up at 8.30 too snow falling like a thick mist, soon stopped, flurries on and off all morning and now been snowing moderatly for the last hour. Nothing settling ofcourse, temp 2.0.
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Heaviest snow of the day here so far, 5/10 and medium flakes, not settling though. Temp 1.9, DP -2.1 and apparant -3.2
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The amount of spread on the synoptics at t96 of GEFS 06z is ridiculous, alot of options there.
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?ech=96&code=20&mode=0&carte=0
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Bloody snowing again! 3/10
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hahaha... is it worth me getting of the sofa to check to see if its snowing here...
Judging by the radar, no!
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V light snow falling here, the type that only us weather geeks would spot.
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It always snows in Horndean! It's 90m asl up there & nestled between Butser & Portsdown Hills
And i live in a Village 3 miles away from it in the countryside, mwhahahahahahahha
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https://twitter.com/ukstormlover
@Paul Ashford
I dont know how to paste images onto here but i've just tweeted the SE radar grab.
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Someone take some pictures?!
Winter 2013/2014 Forecasts/Hopes/Discussion Thread
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Yep - i picked him up several times last winter when he claimed he had just driven up to the peaks and witnessed 100 ft snow drifts, which then was lowered to 80ft and so on until he admitted they were 3ft tall..