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Everything posted by dave48
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Convective / Storm Discussion - 30th March 2014 onwards
dave48 replied to Jane Louise's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
There is a cluster of cells forming in Lyme Bay at the moment already showing some strong precip values. -
Convective / Storm Discussion - 27th January 2014 onwards
dave48 replied to Jane Louise's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
A relatively nice setup for the time of year, certainly could be a cracker a bit later in the season. Met Office modelling precip moving up from the channel to the UK overnight, labelling it as 'scattered and occasionally thundery showers move north during the early hours'. Likewise between Monday and Thursday they mention the possibility of 'heavy and thundery showers/bands of rain' The models seem pretty undecided as usual on who/what/where/when. -
Happy new year everyone! I was just hit by the south west storm, can confirm some impressive lightning and plenty of thunder too. Most impressive was the hail, the best I have ever seen, which for many won't be that impressive but for wiltshire, not bad. Great start to 2014! Pictures below.
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"Rendez-Vous in Tornado Alley" Series 2 (French webseries)
dave48 replied to ChroChaoChris's topic in Storm Chase USA
Really enjoyed what I have seen so far. Thank you for posting it on here! Starting to think about next years storm season now... -
Convective / Storm Discussion - 4th October onwards 2013
dave48 replied to Jane Louise's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Can confirm strong looking CB's too my south now. Showing clearly on radar, just need the sun to go down now... -
Convective / Storm Discussion - 4th October onwards 2013
dave48 replied to Jane Louise's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Would agree with you Panayiotis that tomorrow's potential looks excellent. A nice unstable airmass spreads over the UK. Further to that, tops to good levels, this is especially true for the time of year. The key bit here is the sheared enviroment with the jet spreading over the UK. Helicity further indicating the potential for cells to become well organised and potentially supercellular. All in all tomorrow will be a good day for storm watching, with the potential for some decent storms. -
Convective / Storm Discussion - 4th October onwards 2013
dave48 replied to Jane Louise's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Torrential rain and pea sized hail observed here over the last hour. No thunder yet though. Have been caught in this streamer but skies clearing now. -
Convective / Storm Discussion - 4th October onwards 2013
dave48 replied to Jane Louise's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Have to admit I was caught out by the big storms we had here at the start of the month so will be keeping a closer eye on this. As has already been mentioned, the paramaters are good, especially for so late in the season. This has been a decent year for 'plume type' set ups. It must be about 4 that I saw over in Tunbridge Wells before I moved back over here. 3 of those produced decent storms. -
Convective / Storm Discussion - 4th October onwards 2013
dave48 replied to Jane Louise's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
A bit late and not the best video but just one I caught as the storm approached on Thursday night. It was certainly very electrically active. It was a fantastic hour and the best storm I have seen for years. -
Convective / Storm Discussion - 8th September onwards 2013
dave48 replied to Jane Louise's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Great, great storm! The best lightning display for years, I counted over 20 flashes in just one minute at the height of it. Watched the anvil coming up from the south west and then loud booming thunder and even a close cg as it went through. The odd flash now. -
Convective / Storm Discussion - 8th September onwards 2013
dave48 replied to Jane Louise's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Frequent blue lightning to my south west, anvil lighting up several times a minute. -
Convective / Storm Discussion - 31st July onwards 2013
dave48 replied to Jane Louise's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Hoping for a direct hit in the next 20 minutes. Storms looking good. -
Convective / Storm Discussion - 28th July onwards 2013
dave48 replied to Jane Louise's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
We haven't had too many 'sunshine and heavy showers' type days this year, especially here in Kent. Easy to forecast at least compared to 'plume type' setups. Would expect these showers to get more electrically active over the next few hours. Great day for chasing across Wales, SW and Midlands...Some good pictures to come I hope from those spotting or chasing. I think this does a decent job of summing up coverage. -
Convective / Storm Discussion - 27th July 2013
dave48 replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Flash, bang, that makes it 2! -
Convective / Storm Discussion - 27th July 2013
dave48 replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Lots of rain here, 10-15 rumbles and 1 flash of lightning. -
Convective / Storm Discussion - 27th July 2013
dave48 replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
One deep boom here, no lightning seen. -
Convective / Storm Discussion - 27th July 2013
dave48 replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Hoping that will progress due north! -
Convective / Storm Discussion - 27th July 2013
dave48 replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
http://www.keraunos.org/ Upgraded forecast for extreme storms for NE France, first I have seen from them, think you are in a good spot mate to catch the edge. -
Convective / Storm Discussion - 27th July 2013
dave48 replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Heavy Echos across the channel now showing sferic returns. -
Convective / Storm Discussion - 27th July 2013
dave48 replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Developments across NW France and Biscay looking good. Will be interesting to see how this unfolds. Storms leaving France being dubbed an MCC, haven't seen one of those in France since 2010. -
Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 23rd July 2013 onwards
dave48 replied to Jane Louise's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Certainly some decent echos in the channel. -
Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 23rd July 2013 onwards
dave48 replied to Jane Louise's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I know this is the UK convective discussion but important to see that things to our south are going as planned, radar may be of interest to some. Looking nice.