kumquat

18z para sticking to the script

I don't post with sexist derogatory avatars but I'll always try to be fair with regions.

18Z para is keeping that vortex tight (our local group) . But a decent wedge @ 300 hrs Vortex IS proper smashed through the middle, though!

Apparently Ian F. is bringing out the "Special Charts" on the local news/weather tonight.

Can you stop spoiling the anticipation for those of us following the runs on Meteociel. Thanks!

Cheeky Channel Low

Parallel bringing snow down East coasts just over a week away. Good to follow the Murr evolution.

Yes Steve and better 850s following @ 180 hrs

Was good to see a decent chart for the New Year. Good Auld Pub Run! To 2019 and beyond! Cheers! Thanks to all for keeping me entertained and educated.

Bizarre influx of Thickness

Looks like this might be where the door finally opens.

Encouraging to see the low heights drop down through Scandi into Poland and higher heights pushing through Iceland at 240 on ECM. Sets up the balance of colder 850s into our favour beyond that timeframe if we're looking at any kind or reversal of the vortex where we want air coming from the East. It helps to have the more amplified pattern upstream coming into play, also. GFS is playing with similar scenarios but likes to perform a volte-face every other run. It's like picking the Christmas buffet cheese, Cheddar for all the family, brie for the exotic continentals and a bit of Stilton or Roquefort for the hard heads. A blend of all is a nice compromise but we still don't know which will be the overall winner. Interesting to see the 18z going very much the ECM way at 240

Who cares if it verifies? Just nice to see a decent chart after recent dross!

I'm BANKING on a Merry Christmas

regrading or regarding? Could be a crucial distinction in this context.

Quite nice out there tonight - cold wind, stars, intermittent with cloudy downpours. Ever changing.

Runge Kutta methods for simple fast / slow waves then add some meaty multi step integrations

Can we see some sst charts from Eastern Canada and the Eastern Seaboard? I honestly don't know where to look. Meteociel?

Quicksilver1989 didn't state any assumptions.

Stellas in the fridge!

If 2/3 of the country see snow falling Christmas Eve..Ding Dong Merrily!!

Good band?

1025 mb scandi hp 6hrs earlier on this run than last one

Agreed. Things at 6 days away still not sorted out. Scandi block could be more robust than some iterations are showing. UKMO 144 GFS 6z ECM 0Z 144 It's a fine line still and not irreversible at this stage. Await the 6Z para.

LMAO I don't know which thread you've been reading all seems pretty chill.