johnwirral

Handy radar link from the Yorkshire thread http://www.meteociel.fr/observations-meteo/radar2.php?region=uk&mode=1

Looks similar to the GFS, rather than the ICON, snow on Thursday for SW heading north and east for Friday

Not really if you live in the east of the country then there will be frequent snow showers and opportunities for them to merge together, these don't deliver for my part of the world and the further west you go. While the longevity will be shorter much larger area of the country is forecast be the GFS to get the frontal snow and possibly extremely rare blizzards, which was originally only impacting the south, and areas further north will stay in the cold over the weekend or longer. I'd rather igo out with a bang than a wimper...

The GFS keeps up it's trend for Friday "correcting" the low and the snow northwards, while the ICON keeps it further south. The first is good for me (and much of the country) and the second is not, don't know much about the ICON and so far this season all the GFS snow events have been exaggerated for my location (nothing stuck). So which model is the best for accuracy, does anyone know, do we need to get Harry Hill to decide?

I think if you live by the Pennines the Easterly may be good, I'm not expecting much for my location unless we get the blizzard on Friday. Not bothered about longevity, you can't expect it to last long in March.

Wednesdays yellow warning has gone from a large part of the region, to be fair they have been crap so far this winter anyway

Nothing personal but one of my pet hates is the term "correction" it implies that it is correct for the low to move south but not north, when at this stage it's too early to tell. The GFS overdoes the precipitation, but can be good at spotting a breakdown, I seem to remember is was one of the first ones to spot the end of the 2010 cold spell, although I stand to be corrected.

As a scientist why you are using the term "correct" to indicate your favoured direction of travel for Thurs/Fridays low, models do not correct they are merely reacting to the input fed into them. I not sure I agree with your synopsis that due to unusual circumstances the models must be wrong , when there has been a clear trend for the low to push north over the last few runs. We won't know until nearer the time, so may be it can "correct" north,,,

Looks like the GFS continues to "correct" North again, with widespread blizzards effecting most of England, Ireland and Wales, while Scotland remains snowy in the easterly airstream. Right now its a question of how far North it goes on Friday based on the two extremes of the GFS and the ICON. I'm sick of seeing posts which use the word "correction" when the models move the blizzards towards their desired location, we won't know what is the correct outcome until Thursday and even then there could be surprises on the day. From reading some of the other posts as soon as the low moves North its game over, when this is likely to be a significant event for large areas of the county which ever way it moves...

I would take the mad Friday forecast from the GFS, doubt it will happen but it may be the only chance some of us in the West of the region may get for snow/blizzards based on past experience of shiterlies.

Mad Friday back on the 18z blizzards for most of the country, NE and Scotland staying in the cold for longer. What's not to like ends with a bang not a whimper, probably won't happen but I'd take it. Extended longevity of cold cannot be expected at this time of year...

I think they should remove the model thread and replace it with the South East regional discussion.... Steve Bore and others saying that GFS is better now that its got rid of the widespread heavy snow for the NW and Midlands...

Dandruff sticking on cars, grass and roofs, very close to the sea here.

Some hail and snowy stuff coming down sideways in the mild west

Couple of pics from West Kirby, the tides on its way out now, but some of the waves are still kicking up spray the height of the Lamposts. Round 2 high tide tomorrow 11:44 if its still blowing....

Trying to upload some photos not sure if it worked..

Big tide over the prom at West Kirby on the Wirral, any parked cars will be in trouble, New Brighton must be spectacular...

Snow shower right now on the cost del wirral, not sure if it will stick. So more coming for those further inland to the south. I can see the snow line on the welsh hills and its not down to sea level yet...

Saw a flash of lightening down the Dee estuary from West Kirby prom on the wirral

Gritters out on the M53 on the Wirral, may be they are expecting something

While everyone is moaning on, there's potential for snow on Saturday, keeps showing up on the gFs and look at the 528 line on the fax chart. It won't last but worth keeping an eye on.

Heavy low level snow on the GFS for Saturday, interesting for some even though it is transient.

Rain on the Costa del wirral

Radar now and for 10:30 ish

Tweet from Matt Hugo with maps looking good for parts of the NW, but not for me.. https://twitter.com/matthugo81/status/560883249678155776