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Backtrack

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Everything posted by Backtrack

  1. Still snowing heavily here @ 0.3C. We have 2 inches on all surfaces with more still on the grass pictures to follow!
  2. You're not mate, you're JUST on the edge of PPN
  3. So you wouldn't take a trough or low pressure development in the Irish Sea?
  4. Look at the GFS, the uppers at the minute are no lower than about -2C, warmer in some areas, frontal snow really is amazing, so much better than showers.
  5. You're just a tad too far north maybe tomorrow as the wind veers NW'erly?
  6. Funny enough, it was only yesterday when I was browsing the 18Z thinking that the PPN would not turn to snow until around 21:00 at the earliest, it started at around 5pm ish instead! If this sticks around until midnight, the 10-15cm the Met Office say is a possibility will come off!
  7. Dew point is now into the minus figures, so the snow is no longer wet, it's turning into the proper stuff.
  8. Wish the band was further south, it's gonna go here shortly! Pivot damn you!
  9. I can see snow :p :p :p 0.6C now!
  10. The high-resolution GFS(P) model has the precipitation sticking around until midnight for many, I pray to god some energy is injected across that backward flank before it moves over! Back-build damn you!
  11. Precipitation really is moving through so quickly, this will only last another hour, what a shame!
  12. It probably will of turned to snow up there some time ago! Smaller flakes now, but the smaller flakes are always better! 1.2C now, when it hits 0.0C, I'll be happy. COME ON
  13. 1.6C now and the heaviest snow I have seen since 2010! Edit: Now 1.4C!
  14. Flakes the size of golf balls falling, temp dropping, covering on all surfaces! PPN looks like it's gonna move through fast though? Worried about that unless it backbuilds.
  15. Good news for all! And yes! Massive flakes now, you need the intensity to kick it off! Sticking on cars!
  16. Proper snow now! 2.8C, well, 80% snow, still not proper. It's coming!
  17. One VERY interesting note currently is that the winds have veered SE'erly, we could begin to start dragging in colder surface temperatures from further south, no influence from the Irish Sea and the colder uppers are well on the way. Tell you what guys, it's looking bloody good.
  18. 3.1C and heavy sleet. Need this colder air to start undercutting asap before the precip dies.
  19. It's still 20hrs away though and highly volatile and open to correction, could still go 100 miles southwards, extreme uncertainty still over at the Met Office, probably the reason why their warning area covers such a vast space.
  20. Kayro would complain that he was too far North if he lived in the North Pole
  21. Luckily mate, the 18Z has shifted the front Northwards, a lovely last minute correction for us NW'eners! We also see some more energy on that northern flank, giving off some heavier precipitation for a time before it eventually does move away. So I would say your location is also looking rather snowy! The 18Z GFS(P) has wintry showers around much of the region too on the 27th, all in all a wintry picture painted! And if we do miss the snow, we won't miss the frosts with temperatures looking likely to drop to -3/-4C for many, a tad lower over snowfields and countrysides! Manchester is in that white, it's not too far north haha! Google map it!
  22. -5C by the time the bulk of the precip arrives around 9, lasts until around midnight for most, perhaps a little longer before moving SE. Thing is with this type of setup, we don't need especially cold uppers. The lower the pressure, the more room we have for those upper temps, same applies with the dam, this is a low pressure system/front, not showers
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