Cheese Rice

I can't say I'm optimistic at my location but you never know.

Uppers are too mild, -5 850's have never cut it in a nw'ly. After around 6 am we bring in some colder uppers of -7. That can provide temporary accumulations of snow to high ground.

GFS toying with a snow event for high ground Tuesday, can't seem to make up its mind on the position of the low for now.

It's nots it's for the amber warning for rain. Reason for update Warning end time brought forward to 0600, with warning area adjusted, particularly a reduction in the eastward extent. Mention of possible snow as rain begins to clear.

Everyone seems to have missed this but the amber warning is a rain and snow warning. Rain associated with Storm Christoph will persist for the rest of Wednesday and into early Thursday, with some more intense rainfall possible before it clears. A further 20-30 mm is likely widely, with more than 60 mm over some higher ground areas - bringing totals since Tuesday into the range of 100 - 200 mm over some hills. Rain may temporarily turn to heavy, wet snow as it clears, leading to a cover of 1-4 cm in places, possibly more on high ground. Strong winds will accompany the rain at times and may add to travelling difficulties across higher and more exposed routes.

Everyone seems to have missed this but the amber warning is a rain and snow warning. Rain associated with Storm Christoph will persist for the rest of Wednesday and into early Thursday, with some more intense rainfall possible before it clears. A further 20-30 mm is likely widely, with more than 60 mm over some higher ground areas - bringing totals since Tuesday into the range of 100 - 200 mm over some hills. Rain may temporarily turn to heavy, wet snow as it clears, leading to a cover of 1-4 cm in places, possibly more on high ground. Strong winds will accompany the rain at times and may add to travelling difficulties across higher and more exposed routes.

Where do you Access the UKV?

The GFS almost puts Yorkshire back in the firing line in the rap round for snow, one to watch.

The next band is only supposed to be snow for an hour then rain. I do think there is a small chance for high ground it could remain as snow in places.

Although this doesn't apply to me I do remember the old met office rainfall radar that updated every 30 minutes. I actually preffered it when we had a lower Res radar, you couldn't tell if you missed a heavier echo. Back then it felt like everywhere was in on the fun.

Nothing to get excited about tonight unfortunately, snow to all levels briefly before retreating to 400-600m. Favoured location North York Moors which could hold on to snow throughout.

I think looking at all the depths (and taking into account how people exaggerate) low ground certainly got lucky, but as ever elevation around 150m+ was the sweet spot.

That's around 150m-200m asl so not far of the hills.

After all this time you live in Cookridge? That would be the fourth forumer in the same part of Leeds.

Yes some green echoes getting closer to our area, may see a few more cm's before the day is over.

Decided to spend lockdown in Leeds, I just knew London was going to be a flop. Currently snowing, we'll reach 20cm at this rate if it continues VID-20210114-WA0017~2.mp4

The snow on the table and chairs has now merged into one. Wouldn't be surprised if we end up with 20cm VID-20210114-WA0017~2.mp4

Doesn't want to let up. Parts of North Leeds are stuck under a heavier echo.

Yep will be clearing off soon.

Hard to say exact depth but could easily be 6 inches.

What height are you as I remember you saying your not on high ground anymore?

It is also true that the met office stick to their own high Res model, it is unusual generally speaking if they side with another model, this has at time been reflected in the fax charts. If you had access to the met office high Res model (which most likely is superior to other models) you would most likely stick to it's output as the Met Office do with good reason.

@Kasim Awan This is the data I was going with, you know as well as I do if it played out like Met Office own model it would have been alot closer to the warnings issued. You have a favoured short term model which happened to be closer to the mark this time.

The models were definitely wrong in the intensity of the precipitation. Euro4 is only just catching on, showing a much more pronounced band across Yorkshire and retaining its intensity till 3pm rather than 12. Moderate snow here, high ground definitely doing the best out of this. VID-20210114-WA0003.mp4

Hmmm, even with the latest data the meto model is still showing the freezing level around 200m. I could see a temporary wet covering potentially below 100m, but it would be very marginal and even if the ppn is heavy enough it would most likely alternate between rain, sleet and wet snow.