keithlucky
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Posts posted by keithlucky
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Snow line moving south as expected were snow may fall is hard to predict with east Wales favoured a.t.m.Looks like winter going to go out with a bang with all of UK seeing snow over the next 3 weeks,pretty snowy outlook all the way to 2nd week of March as per Met Office outlook
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Looks like cold weather will win out according to the Met
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Coilspring Yes large amount of snow Thursday especially Friday as cold air to the North meets warm air to the South.
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High pressure builds to the north around the 10th of February
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Winter returns around February 10th
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16 minutes ago, Pembroke Dangler said:
been keeping an eye on this trough moving south east out of NI I wonder if it can keep intensity for tonight could head our way fingers crossed
Was mentioned that possible streamer to form N Wales .to have a covering by morning.
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59 minutes ago, keithlucky said:
All we can do is radar watch.At least there showers around so we need luck!
Streamer forming over Irish Sea can it make progress eastwards?
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12 minutes ago, Harveyslugger said:
I'm confused that radar can't be right.its not a NW wind and no other radar or model shows those showers come from the NW at 7pm
All we can do is radar watch.At least there showers around so we need luck!
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48 minutes ago, keithlucky said:
A slight change in wind direction at 4am May move more inland allow more of Wales to hopefully see a dusting.
Showers start moving east before that according to 3 hrs radar.
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38 minutes ago, SnowStorm(Jamie) said:
The west and south west look fairly well placed for some snow showers tonight some of which will be heavy as shown on the latest ICON:
AROME also showing some intense showers:
I'll be a bit to far east here in Swansea, maybe Llanelli will cop the odd snow shower.
A slight change in wind direction at 4am May move more inland allow more of Wales to hopefully see a dusting.
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How do I clear cache there no reply so I cannot post on forum.
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32 minutes ago, keithlucky said:
Edge of seat situation showers pushing south. Front slowly pushing North 50 miles to go .
Well this is getting silly slightly further North.
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9 minutes ago, Marcus_surfer said:
Won't make it far probably fizzle out
Edge of seat situation showers pushing south. Front slowly pushing North 50 miles to go .
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8 minutes ago, keithlucky said:
Never seen this general snow moving back North ,never seen correction North before @Bonkers
No sign of this of fax,but LP moves south front from the North .
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Never seen this general snow moving back North ,never seen correction North before @Bonkers
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First signs of snow showers tommorow night.
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1 hour ago, Jayfromcardiff said:
I agree only mentions West Wales.
We see many times showers merge to give longer spells of snow ,as streamer develops.-8 uppers encorages development of showers
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1 minute ago, bradymk said:
The low pressure from the south west does look unlikely now in to affect Wales (disruptively anyway). The MetO have it most likely affecting far southern England in their video with the more northern track affecting Wales less likely. Since the video earlier the model output bar GFS, has also trended it further south but time for it to change.
I do understand the frustration about the models looking mainly dry for inland areas. However, it looks like a really decent dangler setting up Monday.
A direct northerly at first so likely affecting Pembrokeshire / West Carmarthenshire Monday daytime. Monday morning will likely be sleet / wintry showers on low ground but the arctic air arrives for the afternoon and evening. UKV shows the showers turning to snow by around 3pm Monday.
Later Monday into Tuesday it turns more North Westerly, liking changing the line of showers and bringing a streamer overnight through parts of Ceredigion, Carmarthenshire down into the Swansea area instead. The north westerly bringing frequent heavy showers for north Wales too on the UKV overnight Monday.
Dangler Mon Aft - snow showers Pembrokeshire / Carmarthenshire
Monday Night - snow showers more widespread as winds go more NW
I think we’ll have more chances later in the week too, but the models are changing so much, so probably best to revisit end of the week in a few days
Yes we could get widespread covering in Wales.
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32 minutes ago, Marcus_surfer said:
I can tell why people are not happy in the mad thread, it looks likely now that the low will push into france and skirt the far south of the uk next week, thereafter it does at this stage, look likely that winds will turn more southerly by next weekend in the south but this is changing every hour
With strat warming nobody knows what happening let's concentrate in what's happening the next 3 to5 days. Let's see if we can get some snow!
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3 minutes ago, snefnug said:
Wut? Just been on YouTube Met and it’s the same and dated today, so could @WINTRY WALES explain please?
It is today,it shows shower activity moving south so more organised snow showers Sunday Monday morning. IF front from the South can get further north, interact with showers from the North we could see increased snow.Intesting radar watching ahead! Enjoy. Wintry Wales they have computers information which we haven't got access to plus the most important experience.
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Still blood y confusion maybe snow from the south,But more promising it showers moving down Sunday Monday possible streamer setting up ,as previously shown on fax chart ,figures cross for a Pembroke DANGLER .Cold North wind setting up.
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2 hours ago, Missdolly said:
I'm staying away from the mad thread , it's ridiculously childish . The models are all over the place also , you'd think with all of today's technology it would be giving out accurate reports!
Think we need to go back to early 80s style forecasting with the magnetic symbols
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Anyway let's just see at least it's cold , hopefully we'll get the snow next week , Wales has a different system , we get rain even when it's not forecast
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Patience is a vitue we just need the rub of the green Precipation increases next week and temperatures are dropping, slowly does it ,Snow is on the way!No sign of long term warm up 7 to 10 days ahead.
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3 hours ago, keithlucky said:
Ain't over until its over.
Snow line smack on SWales for Thursday
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Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards
in Wales / Cymru weather discussion
Posted
andymusic Snow line moving south again .50 miles further south .Looks like a slush fest for S Wales.Could see another south correction which will help !