keithlucky
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Posts posted by keithlucky
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On 18/12/2023 at 17:54, northwestsnow said:
I think there is an element of truth to the last sentence ..
Sadly.
Stratospheric Warming event in underway, with zonal wind reversal in the northern hemisphere likely to occur around the 6th of January .
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Merry Xmas all!! Snowy JANUARY to come
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12 minutes ago, snefnug said:
Is that a whoop or a groan?
Depends on your point of view should see big turn around in weather ,can be pretty cold January.
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On 17/12/2023 at 19:09, snefnug said:
There must be some very tiptoe-y family members when the thingy-z’s and ENS rollout as groans or whoops heard from Madmod Dad’s/Taid’s direction…..
Strong stratospheric warming underway should see down dwelling leading to zonal wind reversal in the new year.
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China leader declares national emergency coldest weather ever recorded (not a mention on any news channels)https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/china-cold-wave-in-photos-emergency-in-china-as-temperatures-hit-lowest-levels-ever-101702811864294.html
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On 15/12/2023 at 19:32, keithlucky said:
Maybe not ,the six people who stand to win 1million each for a snow for xmas ,excitement must be building!!!
White xmas back on,OH no it isn't Oh yes it is .heavy wintery showers xmas eve moving south with a cold North/North easterly Wind. .Gfs Ukmo in agreement.
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22 minutes ago, Sky Full said:
Someone’s going to have Christmas with snow on the ground, at least, according to the GFS this morning….
……but it won’t be me!
It's could be worse,The potential millionaires need one snow flake to fall on met office,on 25th.
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10 hours ago, Sky Full said:
However…..the GFS now suggests that we’re going to be stuck on the warm side of a powerful Jet Stream for at least a week which means relentless Atlantic westerlies…..
This jet really needs to move south if we’re going to get any snow in December.
Maybe not ,the six people who stand to win 1million each for a snow for xmas ,excitement must be building!!!
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5 hours ago, Sky Full said:
White Christmas? It’s not impossible…..
If I see it on Netweather, I believe it! Keep those fingers and toes crossed for a north-easterly all the way from Scandinavia.
️️
Medium term outlook from Met Office looks promising still long long way to go.
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On 08/12/2023 at 22:02, keithlucky said:
Merry Xmas.Wales UK to be smashed by snow and ice before Xmas.DREAM On!!!
Dream on, no mother in law xmas day !
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Record cold weather across Russia-61c recorded across much of the Russia
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Merry Xmas.Wales UK to be smashed by snow and ice before Xmas.DREAM On!!!
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Heavy sleet in Clydach close no cigar.
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21 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:
Warning out for mid Wales northwards, still time for it to move southwards though.
Expect more snow than that ,anywhere in Wales with the first batch of heavier bursts.
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On 30/11/2023 at 18:56, keithlucky said:
Nice to see a temporary covering of snow Saturday night
Nice change snow chart looks correct! Wintry showers becoming heavy overnight ,good covering of snow over higher ground ,Interesting night window ahead.
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38 minutes ago, bluearmy said:
Cms
Ali just showing off because he's got altitude.
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1 hour ago, keithlucky said:
Nice to see a temporary covering of snow Saturday night
Latest fax very interesting High pressure putting up A fight while Low pressure tries to push milder air from the west,
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Nice to see a temporary covering of snow Saturday night
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21 hours ago, Marcus_surfer said:
Nice cold dry and mostly sunny week coming up. Enjoy it while it lasts before the return of the Atlantic slop!
Not really interesting to see what type of precipation falls out of the sky come Friday as wind direction switches to a Northerly.
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8 hours ago, Wetterfrosch said:
At least I have the consolation of hopefully seeing snow on the mountains around me as I too normally go empty handed down here in the valley in a default setting.
Best chance for a covering of snow Thursday Friday ,Especially as a streamer set up.
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Thursday still looking good for snow ,just hope It doesn't adjust south as happened on previous occasions .Streamer setting up heavy snow showers up over fairly warm Irish sea on Friday bitterly cold weekend with biting cold N easterly wind.
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2 hours ago, Jackfrost said:
It does seem early in the season to be talking about a potential significant snowfall event, but the models are showing (and forecasters are increasingly saying) what they are!
Some caveats do apply, not least the fact that countless times we've been burnt much later in the season in similar set-ups and with SSTs lower than they currently are, but, in our favour, things are quite synoptically different this month compared to previous years. Also, inland south and mid Wales tend to benefit more than the rest of southern Britain in these low-bumping-against-cold scenarios.
An interesting week ahead.
I just seen the forecaste for the week ahead, cold week ahead but sitting on the fence on were precipation will fall,but mentioned a few times low lying snow in the south ,so met on board with snow potential.
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1 hour ago, Sky Full said:
Unbelievably, these are ‘snow depth’ charts for Thursday afternoon….
GFS. GEM
I was not expecting to see charts like this in November. However, even at only four days away, predictions like this must be taken with a shovel full of salt. Other outcomes are still very possible but it looks like a cold start to December and that’s pretty much nailed on.
Yes a upgrade on GFs heavy snow Thursday especially high ground in South Wales. Looks like a stalling front pivoting over Wales,Weather never boring!!
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49 minutes ago, keithlucky said:
Mild blip tommorow as colder air pushes south,Thursday looks interesting as a front pushes in from west outbreaks of sleet/snow,into the weekend a cold northerly with wintery shows pushes down from the North.
Next weekend cold building across the UK
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Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards
in Wales / Cymru weather discussion
Posted
Big stratospheric warming underway, should have more persific details by end of week Down dwelling underway.