jellybaby1969
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
jellybaby1969 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That's over 2 weeks away ! -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
jellybaby1969 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The issue many have is that each day we are looking at day 10 .....never day 5 6 7 or 8 for winter to return. We are now looking probably beyond next weekend and then as we go into the new week we will be looking at mid month for anything resembling a wintery scene. Yes I appreciate posters can only attach charts for what the output shows . . However it just shows how incorrect they are if everyday there is a reset to day 10...it seems every day is a day 10. -
-1c this morning. Going a bit off topic....just because our winter except early December has been a bore fest. The USA is again in the grips of winter...everyone in California will see snow whether it's falling snow or visible on the mountains at the same time southern and southr eastern states will see Temps exceed 90f ...even Washington DC ....will see 80f . Now that's what I call exciting weather
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Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
jellybaby1969 replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I am going to give up on this winter. Apart from a pre Xmas cold spell...it's been crud ...as we go into March despite SSW n a few who look on the brighter side...I feel another let down. UK just doesn't cut the mustard with cold. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
jellybaby1969 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Luke you should read your post....models do not have a handle on the effect of SSW..until we get some consistency and cross model agreement then we can think about winter woolies or t shirts n shorts. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
jellybaby1969 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Its probably took a day or 2 to come up with this update.... and although we NOW have a significant chance of a colder outlook, they probably couldn't be bothered re writing the long range forecast -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
jellybaby1969 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What do you actually expect ? We are an island in the Atlantic ..we don't have a huge land mass. Extreme winter conditions are very rare..meanwhile -50s in Siberia are probably not. We are looking beyond day 10 for a real pattern change.... -
It was pretty snow free here in coastal Ayrshire. ..plenty of snow to the north south and east of here. Over a foot of level snow in Lanarkshire and most of Glasgow with drifts of several feet !
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Model Output Discussion - New Year and Beyond
jellybaby1969 replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Clearly shows HP in charge for the UK and the usually snowy plunge into Greece Balkans