shaky
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Everything posted by shaky
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Sorry let me rephrase that i meant to say the ukmo global model that runs out to 144 hours!!!seems to out do the ecm and gfs quite often even at short range!!!whats the ukv showing for tonight with that potential snowfall for the south east?
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The question is why is the ukmo outperforming the mighty gfs and ecm at such a short time frame in regards to these channel lows?i personally think ecm will join ukmo this evening with gfs joining in as well!lets see!!
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Gone south since then!!
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Is the low there on the gfs but just slightly flatter or is it not there what so ever!!?
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At least it keeps us snow enthusiasts interested!!gfs and ukmo are cold for pretty much the rest of next week with cold and snow chances!!
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Hi nick does the gfs look same as this mornings run with low pressures diving south east like ukmo did between 120 and 144 hours or has it moved towards the flatter 00z ecm?
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Any interest on the icon 12z?
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Gfs 06z still plenty of opportunities for snow over the next 10 days!!ecm might join the party later!you can see it has joined the ukmo and gfs earlier in the run up to 120 hours but then implodes later on!!think it might be playing catch up!!
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Looks like euro4 could have been on the money here all this time!!euro4 was getting kinda slated last night for going crazy and showing snow for this morning but it wasn't as mad was it now!!
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Woooaahh didnt expect that!!was there a few days ago but i thought got dropped since!!
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Is ukmo looking good?
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Turning to snow over wales!!
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It could literally be a 50 mile wide slither of snow on the northern end of this band!!could be a jackpot for some even if that means only a few cms!
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That band of precipitation is further north than predicted!!
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How was the gfs 18z!!same as 12z or further south again?
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Defo looks further north and east!!!no signs of stopping or pivoting!!if it carries on the way it is the 18z gfs from last night come come true!!that gave 7 to 8 cms of snow widely across the midlands!!dew point is -2 and temp 1 degrees currently!
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Hmmm so if the band is already further north compared to where it should be shouldnt that mean the low is slightly further north as well then?
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It looks further north already compared to euro4?!!!
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How far north does the snow get on ecm?
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Yeh temps didnt get any higher than 5 degrees here today!!!no showers though!!!
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Spot on matt!!gona be interesting how things develop between now and 12am!
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Maybe its those heavier showers you mentioned which is why the met office put out those warning earlier?
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Yeh most parts of the midlands looking good!!northern extent seems to be around derby nottingham for the moderate precipitation on gfs!! By the way outer band of precipitation hitting ireland already!!!
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Brilliant update for us midlanders then!!funny that we gona get hit by heavier snow in form of showers but gfs showing the snowfall from the main low hitting us!!who is gone be correct!!
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Yeh most parts of the midlands looking good!!northern extent seems to be around derby nottingham for the moderate precipitation on gfs!!
