Pembroke Dangler

06z gfs to progressive I think pushing the front through on Friday, that will likely correct west and south by the 12z fingers crossed! Otherwise a 6-12 hour snow to sleet then rain event before fizzling out and a ridge builds behind it!

06z gfs to progressive I think pushing the front through on Friday, that will likely correct west and south by the 12z fingers crossed! Otherwise a 6-12 hour snow to sleet then rain event before fizzling out and a ridge builds behind it!

Wet snow in Swansea north

Looking forward to Friday and Saturdays possible snow event I'd hazard a guess that due to the angle of the trough which disrupts on Friday most of the precip will fall as snow for all of wales and remain snow as it slides sse into France. Then we have Saturdays potential which if the trend continues with the jet slipping more se than east we could be on the verge of serious blizzards! BUT we need the trend to continue in the models tomorrow and then wales and most of the south west of the uk can join in the narnia landscape

Just had everything in last few minutes rain then hail then sleet then wet snow back to rain again now! Just north of Swansea

I thought we were already under the influence of it with the current Synoptics appearing and with the bbc weather guys saying that too! So if its still warming up in the strat we should feel the effects longer then maybe? Think the Atlantic will be siping some San miguels for a month if this is true

First post for me, but must have a say on how I think the gfs (and to a certain extent the ECM) are over playing a split jet to occur around the 72-96 hour mark (can't post charts on phone) surely the piece of jet shown to to go north of Iceland is going against the ssw affect, of reverse zonal winds around the periphery of the arctic circle, or has the ssw begun to subside and I'm missing something? Just my thoughts on the pattern emerging!!! I for one feel the plausible solution would be for a more powerful nw/se flow to the jet coming out of the eastern sea board hence undercutting potential around 120-144 to occur al a ukmo/gem and the ever more reliable CMA!! Just a thought from me!! Thanks