Australia severe weather 2006/7 season

[Tim]

Seem to be some nasty storms just inland around the NSW coast today

[Supercell Hunters]

Yes of course it is, very dangerous supercell hit NW of Orange with have winds over 100km/hr gusts and 3cm hail! Awesome footage on tv!

So hot again today with on extreme heavy shower scored 5mm today around 12pm.

[Supercell Hunters]

Nice cyclone may come to our region next week by this model!

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/...!!step/

Gonna be disaster!

[Soaring Hawk]

Keep up the good work - facinating reading your posts. Have family in NSW so I'm always interested.

[Supercell Hunters]

And also this too!!!

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

New South Wales

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

NSW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

for LARGE HAILSTONES, VERY HEAVY RAINFALL and FLASH FLOODING

For people in the

Central West Slopes,

Northern Tablelands and parts of the

Northwest Plains,

Northwest Slopes,

Northern Rivers,

Mid North Coast,

Hunter,

Central Tablelands and

South West Slopes Forecast Districts.

Issued at 4:23 PM Sunday, 25 February 2007.

Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce large hailstones, very heavy rainfall and flash flooding in the warning area over the next several hours.

Major locations within the warning area include Grafton, Armidale, Orange, Tamworth, Gunnedah and Parkes.

[Supercell Hunters]

Now it time for perfect landfall as the EC, BOM, WZ breaking weather, METWVM and also NOGAPS predicted this cyclone may or will hit our coastline by next early week!!!

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/...!!step/

Looks like total disaster ever faced SE QLD and NE NSW for 50 years! It got in right time when la nina comes and MJO phrase 4! The weather charts on WZ and BOM also showing this cyclone nearing coast where i am! Now this is time for us! Drought breaking rain for SE QLD!

[Supercell Hunters]

A CYCLONE forming off Queensland is threatening to cause some serious damage between the Whitsundays and Fraser Island.

A low pressure system was today 650km northeast of Mackay and was expected to form into tropical cyclone Odette overnight, Bureau of Meteorology forecaster Peter Otto said.

He said it was then expected to form into a severe cyclone - category three or above - by the weekend.

"Track prediction is always difficult with cyclones but at this stage it's expected to head towards the Whitsunday coast then head down south to the Fraser coast eventually, so it could cause quite a few problems as it does so," he said.

"It should be a big system too, compared to other events we've had recently."

Earlier this month Cyclone Nelson - the first cyclone of the season - crossed north Queensland's Gulf of Carpentaria coast but caused little damage before dissipating.

Strong winds, big swells and flooding of low-lying coastal areas is expected and residents are being told to prepare.

Northern Territory residents were also put on alert, with the bureau warning a low pressure zone moving towards the coast could turn into a cyclone by Friday.

The low is responsible for the Top End's recent heavy rainfall.

In the 24 hours to 9am yesterday, Darwin received widespread downpours, with 83mm at the Botanic Gardens, 74mm at Darwin airport, 60mm at Marrara and 43mm at Royal Darwin Hospital.

Odette forming tonight, turning to chaos through the week as gales and floods will hit the coast between Whitsundays and Coffs Harbour. This cyclone may be the strongest one in south of 25 degrees south line. This cyclone IS LIKELY to affect the coast, possible landfall and also the affection of serious damage to occur.

[Supercell Hunters]

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF

METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 0618 UTC 28 February 2007

GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA

SITUATION

At 280530UTC, a vigorous monsoon trough extends through the northern Coral Sea

with several embedded lows. Main low with central pressure 998 hPa was centred

within 60 nautical miles of 16.2S 153.0E, and is almost stationary. The low

should develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours.

AREA AFFECTED

Within 150 nautical miles of a line from 13.5S 149.0E to 162.2S 153.0E to 16.0S

160.0E.

FORECAST

W/NW winds 25/35 knots north of the line, and SE/E winds 25/35 knots south of

the line. Clockwise winds should increase to 35/40 knots within 120 nautical

miles of the main low in the next 12 to 24 hours. Seas rising to very rough.

Moderate to heavy NW and SE swells developing.

Forecast Position at 281800UTC 16.5S 151.0E Central Pressure 993hPa.

Forecast Position at 010600UTC 16.8S 150.5E Central Pressure 988hPa.

[Supercell Hunters]

Very severe storms coming from our west that indicates massive squall line ever seen so far this season! Over 100cgs record in 5mins period! Lightning active storms pushing into NR area tonight, with massive rainband with storms. I would say get around 20mm tonight if we are lucky!

Other thing, the chance of the future TC Odette may have impact on our coastline on next Tuesday/Wednesday at category 4 landfall. This may be strongest cyclone ever so far south than ever.

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY

-------------- -------- -------- --------

00UTC 01.03.2007 15.5S 151.1E WEAK

12UTC 01.03.2007 15.7S 151.6E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

00UTC 02.03.2007 16.6S 152.2E WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 02.03.2007 16.1S 149.9E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

00UTC 03.03.2007 16.1S 152.2E WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 03.03.2007 17.1S 152.4E WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 04.03.2007 17.1S 151.6E WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 04.03.2007 16.9S 151.0E MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 05.03.2007 16.8S 149.9E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE

12UTC 05.03.2007 17.0S 150.4E MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 06.03.2007 17.5S 150.5E STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 06.03.2007 18.1S 151.7E MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 07.03.2007 19.0S 153.2E MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY

Weatherzone weather charts showing this cyclone may hit our region by the dates. Lets see this may puts up. Alot of rumours have been occured because forecaster have been saying this cyclone may be like TC Larry last year. This cyclone may hit the two cities of Brisbane and Gold Coast! And also our region of Northern Rivers!

[Andy Bown]

Very severe storms coming from our west that indicates massive squall line

ever seen so far this season! Over 100cgs record in 5mins period!

And I was reasonably (and rarely) scared late last summer when I saw about

8 to 10 cgs a minute over a 5/10 minute period!

[Supercell Hunters]

Yeah last night was painful!!! Monsoonal rain at 27mm, blowing gale forces winds and massive lightning cgs galore! Massive anvil crawlers and i saw L shaped cgs!!!!

Finally TC warning is out:

PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1

Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane

Issued at 4:26pm on Friday the 2nd of March 2007

A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for coastal and island communities between Ayr

and St Lawrence, including the Whitsunday Islands.

At 3:00 pm EST a Tropical Low, with central pressure 996 hectopascals, was

centred near latitude 16.7 south and longitude 151.1 east which is 440

kilometres north northeast of Hayman Is and 535 kilometres north northeast of

Mackay.

The low is currently near stationary, and is expected to remain slow moving in

the next 48 hours. The TROPICAL LOW is expected to intensify into a TROPICAL

CYCLONE by Saturday night. GALES could develop on the coast and Islands between

Ayr and St. Lawrence later on Sunday as the system intensifies.

Details of Tropical Low, for 3:00 pm EST

Central Pressure : 996 hectopascals

Location of Centre : within 40 kilometres of

: latitude 16.7 degrees south

: longitude 151.1 degrees east

: which is 440 kilometres north northeast of Hayman Is

: and 535 kilometres north northeast of Mackay

Recent Movement : near stationary

Maximum wind gusts : 85 kilometres per hour and slowly INTENSIFYING

People between Ayr and St. Lawrence should consider what action they will need

to take if the cyclone threat increases. If you are unsure about the actions to

be taken, information is available from your local government or local State

Emergency Service.

[Supercell Hunters]

TC Odette formed already!! Weather here now is getting weirder and stranger. Temps, dewpoints, humidity and wind gusts going nuts!!!

[Supercell Hunters]

STW is out!

http://mirror.bom.gov.au/products/IDR282.loop.shtml

Nice squall line developing in front of marked change! Going wild there now!

[Supercell Hunters]

Heavy storms developing now and getting strong change tonight and tomorrow with gale forces winds and flash flooding. Looking so nasty in my SW atm with large lightning bolts. Winds up to 110km/hr mark in places out of those storms with hail stones up to golf balls.

Tomorrow weather

Scattered showers with thunderstorms, fresh to strong and squally in thunderstorms. Mostly SE winds.

[Supercell Hunters]

Nice flooding rain here today, went over 2inches:) Winds have died down this arvo and i rekcon theres another change on Friday night when scattered supercells comes.

[biddie]

would be really good to recieve some pictures from time to time ! keep up the good work

[Supercell Hunters]

Very intense severe cells coming from our west, winds up to 100km/hr and golf ball sized hailstones from the cell in our west which is coming to our direction! Nasty looking outside atm

PS: Look at port Hedland radar!!! The eye of TC George going towards the coast!

[Supercell Hunters]

Whoa!!!!! http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDW60285.shtml

This is so intense for same area for again as TC Jacob approaches where the George's landfall.

Anyways we had 78mm of rain last night from series of severe thunderstorms, photos soon be online. :unsure:

[Paul Sherman]

would be really good to recieve some pictures from time to time ! keep up the good work

Ditto

All this Severe Weather and hardly any Photos from 13 Pages, Surely you have Cameras in Auz ???

Paul S

[Supercell Hunters]

Hey here the storm report from Thursday 8th March 07.

First storm approaching.

Severe microbursts at Wollongbar!!

Massive storm front with awesome ground fog consider with heavy moisture!

Here the weather report link: http://supercellhunters.myfreeforum.org/ab...4073a881d1c74bc

Cheers!

[Stuart]

Nice pics

[angela lynne]

great pics

[Supercell Hunters]

Cheers all. Marble Bar, Western Australia, broke the world's highest temperature.

Mean Temperature: 40.3C

Highest Temperature: 53.4C

Longest period of over 45C days: 210 days.

[Supercell Hunters]

Today max was 30C, it still so warm after dark thought!!! Now it's 24C at 9pm, very warm evening. Tomorrow is 33C, hot day before late showers. The mins going higher through the week.

[Supercell Hunters]

Very hot and humid today, max was 31C. Light rain persisted today. 7mm from this morning

Cheers