when will the rain stop?

[Weather-history]

Wettest May-June-July periods for England and Wales

1789 349.1

1879 342.1

1828 329.5

1782 329.4

1797 323.8

1830 323.0

1766 319.0

2007 318.9

[SMU]

Wettest May-June-July periods for England and Wales

1789 349.1

1879 342.1

1828 329.5

1782 329.4

1797 323.8

1830 323.0

1766 319.0

2007 318.9

Maybe creeping into the top 5 by the end of the day.............

S

[tinybill]

Probably a shot at the wettest summer in the last 100 years as well. Anybody using pattern matching to try and predict this autumn and winter will be short of suitable years I think.

well if this summer is so wet god knows how wet or cold this winter going to be I.e. with most rivers already full we can expect problems in a large scale once our normal rain season kicks in

[grab my graupel]

Thanks for that Mr D.

Absolutely shocking statistics those.

[katzndogz]

hi all,

i dont wish to jinx things,but could mr data kindly put up the june,july and august rain records?

sorry if it has already been done elsewhere.

[Weather-history]

hi all,

i dont wish to jinx things,but could mr data kindly put up the june,july and august rain records?

sorry if it has already been done elsewhere.

409.7 1912

409.2 1879

396.3 1829

370.8 1860

362.2 1768

355.9 1828

351.2 1839

347.3 1775

345.7 1817

344.3 1848

Incidentially that 1912 record followed an exceptionally dry April (9.0mm)

[Stu_London]

Maybe creeping into the top 5 by the end of the day.............

S

Easily I would say

And the record itself will be toast long before the 31st

[kold weather]

Looking at todays rainfall I suspect we could well be ranked as high as 3rd by the end of tommorow if the GFS is correct, the slow moving warm front today must have given some areas reasonably high rainfall totals and also the convection that has occured will also lead to some fairly high totals in stations to the SE and so a rise in ranking looks very likely.

[Bobby]

Looking at todays rainfall I suspect we could well be ranked as high as 3rd by the end of tommorow if the GFS is correct, the slow moving warm front today must have given some areas reasonably high rainfall totals and also the convection that has occured will also lead to some fairly high totals in stations to the SE and so a rise in ranking looks very likely.

I think the record will be comfortably broken, there is rain showing all the way through the rest of this month.

[Weather-history]

Looking at the figures it looks as though we've had the wettest first half to a year (Jan-Jun) since 1937 despite the exceptionally dry April.

[Weather-history]

Wettest May-June-July periods for England and Wales

1789 349.1

1879 342.1

1828 329.5

1782 329.4

2007 325.2

Wettest June-July periods for England and Wales

1768 270.6

1839 267.8

1879 260.7

1828 257.1

1789 256.0

1829 247.0

1880 238.8

1936 237.5

1834 235.9

1875 235.5

1888 230.5

1816 229.9

1848 226.6

1779 225.9

1830 222.9

1872 222.9

1860 222.3

1777 220.5

1882 217.8

1912 216.8

1797 214.3

1817 211.8

1766 210.9

1853 209.5

1855 208.7

1802 208.3

1958 206.6

1861 205.3

1787 205.0

1775 204.7

2007 204.6

[Terminal Moraine]

Amazing how many of those occurred in the 1700s and 1800s, in fact there's only one year in that list ( 1958 ) in the last 50 years. One might almost be tempted to say we're breaking new ground in the 'modern climate'.

T.M

[kold weather]

Its actually fairly logical when you think about it, a cooler climate back in the 1700s and 1800s would have meant a southerly tracking jet stream is far more likely, what we are seeing now does seem to be rather unusual in terms of the recent climate.

We have a reasonable shot at getting to Number 1 in the MJJ combo and one more very wet day will probably be enough when you consider the next few days will be showery and add small totals on their own.

As for the J-J combo, top 20 is a certainty and more likely we will be in the top 10 and maybe higher then that.

[Weather-history]

Wettest May-June-July periods for England and Wales

1789 349.1

1879 342.1

2007 330.7

Wettest June-July periods for England and Wales

1768 270.6

1839 267.8

1879 260.7

1828 257.1

1789 256.0

1829 247.0

1880 238.8

1936 237.5

1834 235.9

1875 235.5

1888 230.5

1816 229.9

1848 226.6

1779 225.9

1830 222.9

1872 222.9

1860 222.3

1777 220.5

1882 217.8

1912 216.8

1797 214.3

1817 211.8

1766 210.9

2007 210.1

[noggin]

Wettest May-June-July periods for England and Wales

1789 349.1

1879 342.1

2007 330.7

This is getting quite exciting, isn't it!

Will we or won't we beat the all-time record?

I reckon we'll smash it by a mile. (not literally of course....it hasn't been quite that wet!)

Please, Mr data, keep issuing the daily updates.

[snowray]

Wettest May-June-July periods for England and Wales

1789 349.1

1879 342.1

2007 330.7

Wettest June-July periods for England and Wales

1768 270.6

1839 267.8

1879 260.7

1828 257.1

1789 256.0

1829 247.0

1880 238.8

1936 237.5

1834 235.9

1875 235.5

1888 230.5

1816 229.9

1848 226.6

1779 225.9

1830 222.9

1872 222.9

1860 222.3

1777 220.5

1882 217.8

1912 216.8

1797 214.3

1817 211.8

1766 210.9

2007 210.1

Wont take much more rainfall to get into the top ten here as well!

[tinybill]

Wont take much more rainfall to get into the top ten here as well!

looking at the outlook i,e,2 weeks cant se no change still plenty of rain to come just what we need !!!!

[Weather-history]

Wettest May-June-July periods for England and Wales

1789 349.1

1879 342.1

2007 335.3

Wettest June-July periods for England and Wales

1768 270.6

1839 267.8

1879 260.7

1828 257.1

1789 256.0

1829 247.0

1880 238.8

1936 237.5

1834 235.9

1875 235.5

1888 230.5

1816 229.9

1848 226.6

1779 225.9

1830 222.9

1872 222.9

1860 222.3

1777 220.5

1882 217.8

1912 216.8

2007 214.7

[The PIT]

Well we've had 21 days that we had something fall from the sky be it measurable or not which is quite a run. Another wet month but nowhere near a sbad as June which would very hard to match and very unlikely.

[Weather-history]

Well we've had 21 days that we had something fall from the sky be it measurable or not which is quite a run. Another wet month but nowhere near a sbad as June which would very hard to match and very unlikely.

Very wet Julys have been pretty scarce recently. There have been only 8 Julys above 80mm since 1961. In the 45 year period before 1961, there were 22.

[Weather-history]

This is not great, if it is not overcooked.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...t_warnings.html

[Somerset Squall]

Well bar a brief shower on Monday evening, the rain has stopped ( ) since Sunday. Don't think it'll last though, I may have a dry day today and tommorrow but Friday looks wet, and yes, I saw that warning Mr.D and agree that it certainly would not be good if it turns out correct.

[snowray]

Well bar a brief shower on Monday evening, the rain has stopped ( ) since Sunday. Don't think it'll last though, I may have a dry day today and tommorrow but Friday looks wet, and yes, I saw that warning Mr.D and agree that it certainly would not be good if it turns out correct.

If that were to come off I would imagine that all of the above records would be most likely broken since there is yet more rain on the cards for next week!

[Stu_London]

This is not great, if it is not overcooked.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...t_warnings.html

That would probably send us towards 100mm for the month.

May to July record is nailed on and the June and July combined total would be in reach too if is anything like 30mm + over 2 days.

[DR Hosking]

looks like plenty of rain then, given the fact that were only just over half way through the month it looks like the May, June, July record is certainly attainable, and may be breached by some way.