Virtual Storm Chase 3

[Gorky]

Seems hit and miss to me. Buffering a lot. I could only get it to work in IE also and had to pause and start the stream a few times for it to go. I suspect it might just drop when they go out of phone coverage. - Sure enough it's just dropepd again.

Also, I meant Blaine county which is south of Fairview and not Kingfisher County. The storm shouldn't track much west of Fairview to be honest but not that many sunlight hours left so I need to move towards it rather than wait around!

[NL]

David Drummond of 'Dryline media' is live streaming now. He is a few miles west of Altus.

http://wx5tvs.com/content/view/65/83/

Was... he'll be back on later, had good views of convection initiating.

Edited March 30, 2008 by NL

[Paul Sherman]

Very Happy with my Target location of Altus today, and would already be on these Storms and just to the South of them as well, great South to North Highway between Altus and Woodward, I had a big hunch this is where the storms would fire.

Paul S

[Nick F]

Those two storm have popped pretty quickly over SW OK:

Have taken a screen grab of the livestreaming cookie, shows a tornado on one of the cells! Thanks for the link Nathan:

Edit: It aint live - early April fools joke!

Good chase target Paul and NL! Looks like these storms are forming along the dry line bulge/cold front intersection:

[NL]

Kicking off fast now. Wonder how long before tornado watches/warnings come in?

[Gorky]

Apparantly that stream I linked to is not showing live footage. Note the prerecorded graphic on the stream. Fooled me and obviously other people who posted it. I guess from the audio it was from Silverton last year.

Edit:

apparantly it was live, but went offline and is now playing prerecorded chases from last year.

Edited March 30, 2008 by Gorky

[Nick F]

Apparantly that stream I linked to is not showing live footage. Note the prerecorded graphic on the stream. Fooled me and obviously other people who posted it. I guess from the audio it was from Silverton last year.

Edit:

apparantly it was live, but went offline and is now playing prerecorded chases from last year.

Hehe, nice try - thought as much looking at the pre-recorded streaming bit, no tornado warnings as yet are the give away.

Nice satellite images of the growing anvils of the two storms shadowing the ground now:

These storms literally exploded into monsters from a cumulus field within an hour ... classic dryline bulge I think.

[Paul Sherman]

Tornado WATCH Issued for the Area in Question

[NL]

Watching Roger Hills (silverlining) live stream, he's right in the middle of a large hail storm,

must be those just north of Altus.

http://severestudios.com/livechase

[Paul Sherman]

4" Hailstones being reported as well :lol:

**New warning coming through on the Clinton Radio**

[Gorky]

David Drummond's cam looks to be the one to watch at the moment. Nice wall cloud forming. Only weak rotation at the moment though

Edit: Tornado forming....

Edit: False alarm... looked like something was going to touch down there...

Edited March 30, 2008 by Gorky

[Nick F]

TVS north of Granite :

Look at the hook on the SW side:

[Nick F]

4" Hailstones being reported as well :lol:

**New warning coming through on the Clinton Radio**

Tennis ball size hail and 75mph winds :lol:

Sounds like cells are likely to split - with the right movers likely to have the tornadoes, storms moving at a manageable speed though 10-20mph!

[Paul Sherman]

Tennis ball size hail and 75mph winds :lol:

Sounds like cells are likely to split - with the right movers likely to have the tornadoes, storms moving at a manageable speed though 10-20mph!

Some splitting already has been ongoing, the cell just south of Clinton split about 45 minutes ago, these storms are moving at late May rates

[NL]

Storms moving towards OK City looking dangerous no reports of touchdowns yet, but spotters are reporting rotation

and low wall clouds on both TW storms.

Power-flashes now being reported north of Gracemont

Edited March 31, 2008 by NL

[NL]

Both cells merged into one big cell with a large rain/hail core, spotters have confirmed brief touchdown, storm is now tracking NE and will probably clip the NE Oklahoma City.

[Nick F]

No tornado reports so far since I went to bed ... some nasty storms NNW of Oklahoma City up towards Medicine Lodge, KS atm though, TVS on storm near Enid, OK - storm has a kidney shape about it too. Another TVS on a more discrete cell near Kiowa:

MODERATE out for today - covering Ern OK, Wern AR, and far NE of TX:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

...MUCH OF CENTRAL/EASTERN OK AND TX INTO MO/SOUTHEAST KS AND THE

ARKLATEX VICINITY...

AS THE UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL

STATES...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY AFTERNOON

ACROSS EASTERN OK/NORTHEAST TX INTO FAR SOUTHEAST KS/SOUTHWEST MO.

QUASI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY AMIDST 50 KT WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY

MID LEVEL FLOW...ORIENTED LARGELY NORMAL TO THE EXPECTED DRYLINE

POSITION FROM EAST CENTRAL OK INTO NORTH TX. WITH WIDESPREAD MIDDLE

TO UPPER 60S F DEWPOINTS...STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MODERATE

TO STRONG INSTABILITY WITH 1500-3000 J/KG MLCAPE SHOULD SUPPORT A

FAIRLY WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF LARGE HAIL /SOME SIGNIFICANT/. A FEW

TORNADOES APPEAR LIKELY AS WELL ACROSS EASTERN OK/NORTHEAST TX AND

THE ADJACENT ARKLATEX VICINITY...OWING TO A RELATIVELY MOIST

BOUNDARY LAYER AND CURVED LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS...LIKELY TO BE AIDED

BY BACKING LOW LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF A SECONDARY SURFACE LOW PROGGED

TO DEVELOP NEAR THE RED RIVER DURING THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.

Think I will target Ada, OK for later today. Its SE of OK City and NE of Ardmore.

EDIT: Tornado warning for Nern OK, includes Vance Air Force Base and Enid:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK

158 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

GARFIELD COUNTY IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 230 AM CDT

* AT 158 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR VANCE

AIR FORCE BASE...MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BRECKENRIDGE...ENID...FAIRMONT...

GARBER...HUNTER...VANCE AIR FORCE BASE AND WAUKOMIS.

TAKE COVER NOW. LEAVE MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES. IF POSSIBLE...MOVE

TO A BASEMENT OR STORM SHELTER. OTHERWISE MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM OR

HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND OUTSIDE

WALLS.

TORNADOES ARE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT BECAUSE THEY ARE HARD TO

SEE. TAKE COVER NOW. IF A BASEMENT IS NOT AVAILABLE...MOVE TO AN

INTERIOR ROOM OR HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. LEAVE MOBILE HOMES AND

VEHICLES FOR REINFORCED SHELTER. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3636 9746 3626 9795 3631 9799 3660 9770

3659 9768

TIME...MOT...LOC 0658Z 239DEG 18KT 3633 9787

Also Nern OK City earlier:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK

132 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

SOUTHWESTERN LOGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...

NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 200 AM CDT

* AT 132 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 8 MILES WEST

OF EDMOND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS

WILL ALSO OCCUR.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE CEDAR VALLEY...GUTHRIE...NAVINA...

NORTHERN EDMOND...NORTHERN OKLAHOMA CITY AND SEWARD.

A TORNADO MAY FORM AT ANYTIME. TAKE COVER NOW. ABANDON MOBILE HOMES

AND VEHICLES. IF POSSIBLE... MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR STORM SHELTER.

OTHERWISE... MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM OR HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR.

STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

TORNADOES ARE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT BECAUSE THEY ARE HARD TO

SEE. TAKE COVER NOW. IF A BASEMENT IS NOT AVAILABLE...MOVE TO AN

INTERIOR ROOM OR HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. LEAVE MOBILE HOMES AND

VEHICLES FOR REINFORCED SHELTER. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3599 9740 3574 9726 3554 9766 3574 9768

3575 9767 3581 9768

TIME...MOT...LOC 0632Z 231DEG 32KT 3571 9759

2am in the morning there now, not nice to hearing tornado sirens in the dark I'm sure ...

[Hilton]

Good day of chasing. We sat on a hill just north of Clinton and watched the first storms (eventually) go up to the south west. Then drove south and in and around the 2 cells that split south of Clinton - saw some good hail/wall cloud/inflow around Corn. Got caught on the edge of a hail core by golfball+ hail which was a surprise!Then headed south to Rocky and caught our second supercell just before sunset; it developed a tornado warning just after dark (when our weather radio had died which meant we got a bit too close to the centre than intended). Got back to Whetherford as the big cell was arriving so dashed home to beat the tornado warnings back to OKC.

More of the same tomorrow

Edited March 31, 2008 by Hilton

[Nick F]

Thanks for your account and pics Hilton, looks like you picked a great target ... as for my target

New Tornado warning for central OK, baseball size hail too:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK

243 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CENTRAL LOGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...

SOUTHWESTERN PAYNE COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 330 AM CDT

* AT 243 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 3 MILES NORTH OF

LANGSTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. VERY LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE

OF BASEBALLS IS ALSO LIKELY.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE COYLE...AND LANGSTON.

TAKE COVER NOW. LEAVE MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES. IF POSSIBLE...MOVE

TO A BASEMENT OR STORM SHELTER. OTHERWISE MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM OR

HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND OUTSIDE

WALLS.

LAT...LON 3577 9741 3592 9752 3613 9721 3605 9702

TIME...MOT...LOC 0743Z 230DEG 30KT 3600 9725

$$

[Gorky]

My target wasn't that great in the end. I chose to play the triple point but missed it completely as the low moved through a fair bit south of where I expected. I know a lot of people were playing the Dryline Bulge and conveniently ended up right on the triple point instead. I nailed the overnight Tor threat in Enid at least As for today, I really haven't been able to look too deeply into the setup yet to see where I'd want to cahse. A few days back the warm front was looking like an interesting play up into central IL, but it isn't being seen to have the most significant tornado chances today so I do not know what happened with that. I assume that they suspect cloud cover will keep temps and instability down. As it is I'll play the obvious area I guess. I'll park myself north of the Red River, probably somewhere around the Atoka area. I really wouldn't want to cahse much east of there due to terrain!

[Paul Sherman]

Moderate Risk today and fully justified with what the Models are showing, like yesterday Dryline Bulge evident along with Triple Point, RUC Breaks out Convective Precip at about 20z, so about 5 hours worth of Daylight Chasing on offer, only downside is poor Chase Country!! Cape Values as high as 2500 Jules, most Chasers will be in the Ardmore to Tulsa areas, and I would set up today in Henrietta on I40, This gives good South to North and East to west road options.

Lets hope there is some Chasing for us when we get out there, as after today the next 3 days look like good Chase Set Ups again. Looking a bit Ridgy for the Weekend though.

Paul S

[NL]

Looking busy again tonight, at least its progged to initiate earlier than yesterday..My starting point Madill, Marshall County OK.

[NL]

Tornado Sig Missouri (Misery) LoL..

[kold weather]

Well in the end I weren't too far away from the action, in real life close enough to hunt the storms down.

Anyway once again plenty to suggest some action tonight with the action kicking off a little earlier than yesterday. Some impressive cape values should be evident about now generally between 1500-2500 which should ensure some explosive convection will take place. Dry air spreading in from the west like yesterday into OK, a little further east so the dryline will also be a little further east than yesterday and will continue to push eastward as the day goes on, though as of the 12z soundings it was still east of OK city.

My only concern with reagrds to tornado threat is the low level jet does ease off to the east as we head into the eveing hours and weakens a little so the risk will probably transfer into the states to the east of OK by probably 03-05Z I'd guess. Best chance of a tornado in OK where most chasers will no doubt set-up will IMO be between 19-01Z where the low level jet is still pretty strong and in the area of high cape along with the approaching dryline, it all seems prime to me for some severe storms.

anyway now back to the here and now. Got a line of pretty intense storms spreading in a line from OK City up to the NE section of OK state. I'd place myself at Muskogee...I'm guessing given the fairly high humidty in place this will probably be HP supercells.

[Nick F]

Looks a right old grungefest NE of OK City up into Missouri, alot of heavy squall line rain and t-storms along the cold front lying SW to NE across Oklahoma and Missouri, some clearence over south central OK - and some cumulus field development - so hopefully we should see some tail-end supercells fire up before midnight our time in this area.

- Oklahoma vis satellite.

To me it looks mostly a cold front squall line event today over OK, the dryline looks to move east further south over TX.