April C.E.T

[reef]

Hadley:

http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Yesterday came in at 10.3C.

[Gavin P]

Thanks very much.

[The PIT]

Well as the cool spell is still being downgraded CET could keep on rising after this weekend albeit at a slower rate. Big damage will over this weekend though.

[West is Best]

Well as the cool spell is still being downgraded CET could keep on rising after this weekend albeit at a slower rate. Big damage will over this weekend though.

Yes indeed, back really to how it was looking 10 days ago so I still think we're heading into the 8's most likely. Two big rises today and tomorrow should see it push up close to 8, and then it may well continue nudging upward.

However, very touch and go for my steak bet with Charlotte at 8.3C!

[Snowly does it]

Yes indeed, back really to how it was looking 10 days ago so I still think we're heading into the 8's most likely. Two big rises today and tomorrow should see it push up close to 8, and then it may well continue nudging upward.

However, very touch and go for my steak bet with Charlotte at 8.3C!

Well, 7.5 to the 25th on Manley, probably 7.6 on Hadley when it updates with five days to go....

10 per day to reach 8, 11.8 to reach 8.3, 12.1 to get the round up to 8.4 and win your steak.....unlikely but you will get a reasonable start today and tomorrow

I think 8 or 8.1 from here

[kold weather]

Upto 7.5C according to Philip and we will obviously see another decent rise today as well, looking at a 13-14C type day, could well be upto 7.7-7.8C by tomorrow.

To reach 8.2C if we are at 7.8C by tommrow (I'll take the higher figure to be on the safe side) going to need 10.8C per a day. Sunday should reach that and even Monday could but looking a long shot for Tuesday and Wednesday to be honest...so 8.3C looking pretty unlikely to be honest, not impossble but very much right on the upper margins of what is possible looking at the models.

[J10]

Quite a few people bet around the 8.0c mark, so there will be quite a few close options.

[Lettucing Gutted]

What are the chances of the CET finishing below 8C?

[reef]

Hadley came in at just 10.6C yesterday, meaning the current mean up to the 25th is 7.5C - a rise of 0.1C.

http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Today will probably see a rise to 7.7C, but the remaining days look cooler, so we could just land on 7.9C or 8.0C.

[summer blizzard]

In regards to the cold spell for the remainder of the month, the ensembles have shown a significant downgrade, so i would be suprised if the CET falls by more than 0.2C from its height to the end of the month, with this in mind, 7.5C to 7.9C looks the likely finishing point, so another slightly below average month.

[reef]

Hadley has updated to include yesterday, which came in at 13.2C.

http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

The running average is now 7.8C (7.76C to be exact). Today should see another large increase as temperatures are well in excess of what was predicted by both the GFS and BBC in many areas.

On one side of the coin its nice to see some warmth. Its a huge shame that we are now looking likely to miss out on another (albeit marginally) below average month.

[Snowly does it]

Hadley has updated to include yesterday, which came in at 13.2C.

http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

The running average is now 7.8C (7.76C to be exact). Today should see another large increase as temperatures are well in excess of what was predicted by both the GFS and BBC in many areas.

On one side of the coin its nice to see some warmth. Its a huge shame that we are now looking likely to miss out on another (albeit marginally) below average month.

Doubt it, today will probably put us at 8 - then Monday through Wednesday see a net drop of probably 0.1 I'd say - so a finishing figure of 7.9 now looks likely, adjustments not included. I think barring a dramatic revision, my 8.3 upper limit and steak are now safe.

[Snowyowl9]

The milder/warmer air is taking more time to move in the SE.

A temp range of 12c in manchester same here infact or just below now to 19c east anglia, 12c in luton airport 14c at heathrow airport.

It will be cooler from tomorrow.

Edited April 27, 2008 by Snowyowl9

[West is Best]

then Monday through Wednesday see a net drop

Your steak may be safe! However, I'm unconvinced that the CET will fall after today.

[The PIT]

Well temps up 16C and still rising. Not much in the way of sun though. Looking at min values the GFS is producing I suspected they'll be low unless the skies clear overnight. Considering low pressure is going to be nearby skies could well remain fairly cloud keeping the values up. I guess it's wait and see what actually turns up.

[Gavin P]

Tuesday is looking like a cold and wet day, with overcast skies and persistent rain. Could just see a 0.1c drop on Tuesday, I think. The rest of the time looks quite showery, so that'll be average temps. My guess is 7.9 or 8.0 will be the finish.

[The PIT]

Tuesday is looking like a cold and wet day, with overcast skies and persistent rain. Could just see a 0.1c drop on Tuesday, I think. The rest of the time looks quite showery, so that'll be average temps. My guess is 7.9 or 8.0 will be the finish.

Not really low teens for us according to the GFS just plain average and not cold. Although it has a cooler area to the SW which again is in the CET area. I doubt it'll have much impact by then though. 8c to 8.2C landing zone unless some cold nights turn up which aren't forecast by the way.

[Snowyowl9]

Looks cold tomorrow night now with a good frost on GFS but especially in Ireland.

Still 1c would help bring it down more in the CET zone if it comes to that.

[Stu_London]

7.9 looks nailed on to me.

7.8 the only other possibility

[Duncan McAlister]

7.9 looks nailed on to me.

7.8 the only other possibility

Good chance of me getting the first 'spot on' guess then

This month also means January is the only mild blip, in an otherwise close-to-average 12-month run.

[kold weather]

Yep probably going to be either 8 or 7.9C IMO, tommorow looks above average right now, probably going to be another day where the mean comes in above 10C, though it may end up coming a little below that. Tuesday and Wednesday look likely to come in below but much does depend on how well the cloud cover holds temps up overnight.

I would like a 7.9C as I've been way off the pace thus far and would be a good back to form punt hopeful after a bad winter period.

Edited April 27, 2008 by kold weather

[Gavin P]

Average maxima in Coventry now is 15c;

http://bws.users.netlink.co.uk/ (this is presumably around the late April average for the whole CET zone?)

So maximums of 10-11c as GFS is predicting for Tueday under the persistent rain,

http://www.wetter-zentrale.de/pics/Rtavn5417.png

would be cold for the time of year.

Edited April 27, 2008 by Gavin P

[Snowyowl9]

So maximums of 10-11c as GFS is predicting for Tueday under the persistent rain

would be cold for the time of year.

Could even be cooler than that with a more chillier east flow under rain as it shows 8/9c further west.

Anyway the following day looks just as cool with lp well in charge over us.

http://91.121.93.17/pics/Rtavn7817.png

Mins are expected to get down to 5c tonight it is cooler than last night thats certain 7.4c here now and clear.

[damianslaw]

Good chance of me getting the first 'spot on' guess then

This month also means January is the only mild blip, in an otherwise close-to-average 12-month run.

Yes another near average CET looks likely, continuing the run of near CET values over the past 12 years exception of course January. Pity because I thought we had a real chance this month of recording our fist substantially below average CET month since Dec 2001. Not to be, although I'd be interested to see what the mid march-mid april CET figure was, this must have come out as quite a bit below average.

[Snowyowl9]

Not to be, although I'd be interested to see what the mid march-mid april CET figure was, this must have come out as quite a bit below average.

Yes I would like to know that but I may have an idea it may of been the coldest mid-march to mid-april since 1996, Mr data would know though.

CET is now on 8.0c.