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August CET


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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    Well after the dissapointment of June and July in terms of summer weather, i expect an improvement during August, so 16.7C, 0.5C above average is my prediction.

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    Posted
  • Location: G.Manchester
  • Location: G.Manchester
    17th of the month - a new record?

    I think so, the earliest before was about the 20th from which the record holder was SB, so in effect he's broken his own record, set by himself.

    Initially and not finally I'm going for -2.1c 18.3c below average. Summer will average coldest on record at about 9.3c.

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    Posted
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: warm, humid, thundery. Winter: mild, stormy, some snow.
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral

    No real respite in the cold summer we've endured (outside of London)

    15.7C

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    Posted
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells, Kent
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells, Kent

    15.5C is an early punt that may be chopped and changed until the last minute

    I also predict that summer blizzard will open the September CET thread on the 18th August

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    Posted
  • Location: Doncaster 50 m asl
  • Location: Doncaster 50 m asl

    I see no link between the current lack of sun spots and the current lack of summer.

    15.8*C

    Glad the thread has been opened early this month; school holidays start today and there is no internet access where my holiday will be taken.

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    Posted
  • Location: W. Northants
  • Location: W. Northants

    A horrible month. Frequent southerly tracking lows with lots of northern blocking. A good chance of local flooding in the south. The final week becomes warm and sunny as high pressure builds in lifting temperatures into the mid 20's, but that won't be enough to rescue a poor month and a poor summer.

    CET: 14.9 Rainfall: 210% Sunshine: 90%

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    Posted
  • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: bright & frosty/snowy; summer: hot and sunny.
  • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland

    16.0C for me please.

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    Posted
  • Location: Saddleworth, Oldham , 175m asl
  • Weather Preferences: warm and sunny, thunderstorms, frost, fog, snow, windstorms
  • Location: Saddleworth, Oldham , 175m asl

    After my last guess which was way out, I'll go for nearer to average: 16.5°C

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    Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, convective precipitation, snow, thunderstorms, "episodic" months.
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire

    My earlier hunch was for August to be warm and sunny after the cool cloudy July (though I didn't expect July to be quite as dull or wet as it's been so far!)

    Thus my early punt is 17.4

    This is based only on a hunch though and I have a feeling I'll end up revising that downwards nearer the time.

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    Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.

    August similar to this month. I'll go for 15.6ºC.

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    I am going to go with 15.9c.

    Another below average summer month. If it is the case then we may well be looking at getting back to pre 90's summers. Now all we need is the Winters to do the same.

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    Posted
  • Location: Paignton, Devon
  • Location: Paignton, Devon

    I think a very warm, but frequently thundery August could be on the cards, with a possible hot or even very hot spell during the 1st week.

    my early punt will be 17.1c

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    Posted
  • Location: Putney, SW London. A miserable 14m asl....but nevertheless the lucky recipient of c 20cm of snow in 12 hours 1-2 Feb 2009!
  • Location: Putney, SW London. A miserable 14m asl....but nevertheless the lucky recipient of c 20cm of snow in 12 hours 1-2 Feb 2009!

    My pointlessly-detailed CET mean stats for August:

    1971-2000 - 16.2

    1961-1990 - 15.8

    10 yr running mean - 16.60; Adjusted 10 yr (excl highest 1 & lowest 1) - 16.53

    20 yr running mean - 16.67; Adjusted 20 yr (excl highest 2 & lowest 2) - 16.55

    30 yr running mean - 16.33; Adjusted 30 yr (excl highest 3 & lowest 3) - 16.28

    The three hottest Augusts of the last 30 yrs were all in the second half of that period

    The three coldest Augusts of the last 30 yrs were all in the first half of that period (well almost - one was 14/15 years ago!)

    CETs below 14.0 have always been rare, coming on av about once every 30 yrs (though there was a near 50 yr gaps 1737-85):

    the last was 1986, then 1956, then 1922

    CETs below 15.0 are generally quite common, but the last one we had was in 1993, 15 years ago. Such warmer runs are not unusual either, however, and happened regularly in the 18th Century.

    The coldest CET av for Aug in the record was 1912 at 12.9

    The hottest CET av for Aug in the record was 1995 at 19.2

    And my guess for the month is 16.4oC

    Ossie

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    Posted
  • Location: Raunds, E Northants
  • Weather Preferences: Snow in winter, sun in summer, easy really!!
  • Location: Raunds, E Northants

    17.5 CET for me please

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    I'll pop in with 16.3C. Warmest month of the summer.

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    14.2C: Snowmaiden

    14.5C: Richard Dx7

    14.9C: Gavin P

    15.5C: Stu_London

    15.6C: Chionomaniac

    15.7C: Stephen Prudence

    15.8C: Snowsure

    15.8C: Kold Weather

    15.9C: Steve B

    16C: Polar Gael

    16.3C: The Pit

    16.4C: Osmposm

    16.5C: James M

    16.7C: Summer Blizzard

    17.1C: Devon-Nelly

    17.1C: Memories of 63

    17.4C: Thundery Wintry Showers

    17.5C: Sunlover

    17.7C: Mike W

    18.9C: Optimus Prime

    I'm leaving my prediction as 16.7C for the moment, however i am seriouly considering lowering my prediction in a few days, possibly as low as 15.2C.

    Quite a few people have opened the thread earlier than the 17th, i believe the earliest was the 15th.

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    Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

    A provisional 15.4C for me thanks

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