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August CET


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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
Posted

Well after the dissapointment of June and July in terms of summer weather, i expect an improvement during August, so 16.7C, 0.5C above average is my prediction.

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Posted
  • Location: G.Manchester
  • Location: G.Manchester
Posted
17th of the month - a new record?

I think so, the earliest before was about the 20th from which the record holder was SB, so in effect he's broken his own record, set by himself.

Initially and not finally I'm going for -2.1c 18.3c below average. Summer will average coldest on record at about 9.3c.

Posted
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: warm, humid, thundery. Winter: mild, stormy, some snow.
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
Posted

No real respite in the cold summer we've endured (outside of London)

15.7C

Posted
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells, Kent
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells, Kent
Posted

15.5C is an early punt that may be chopped and changed until the last minute

I also predict that summer blizzard will open the September CET thread on the 18th August

Posted
  • Location: Doncaster 50 m asl
  • Location: Doncaster 50 m asl
Posted

I see no link between the current lack of sun spots and the current lack of summer.

15.8*C

Glad the thread has been opened early this month; school holidays start today and there is no internet access where my holiday will be taken.

Posted
  • Location: W. Northants
  • Location: W. Northants
Posted

A horrible month. Frequent southerly tracking lows with lots of northern blocking. A good chance of local flooding in the south. The final week becomes warm and sunny as high pressure builds in lifting temperatures into the mid 20's, but that won't be enough to rescue a poor month and a poor summer.

CET: 14.9 Rainfall: 210% Sunshine: 90%

Posted
  • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: bright & frosty/snowy; summer: hot and sunny.
  • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland
Posted

16.0C for me please.

Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
Posted

Hard to see any real change in the current set-up, looks pretty well established so will have to go along with the general idea of close to average, lets say 15.8C

Posted
  • Location: G.Manchester
  • Location: G.Manchester
Posted

Looks like the weather may become more blocked into August and the run of cool Augusts will eventually end, for that reason I'm going for;

18.9c equal to 1997.

Guest Mike W
Posted

17.7, even though higher than this more likely.

Posted
  • Location: Saddleworth, Oldham , 175m asl
  • Weather Preferences: warm and sunny, thunderstorms, frost, fog, snow, windstorms
  • Location: Saddleworth, Oldham , 175m asl
Posted

After my last guess which was way out, I'll go for nearer to average: 16.5°C

Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, convective precipitation, snow, thunderstorms, "episodic" months.
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
Posted

My earlier hunch was for August to be warm and sunny after the cool cloudy July (though I didn't expect July to be quite as dull or wet as it's been so far!)

Thus my early punt is 17.4

This is based only on a hunch though and I have a feeling I'll end up revising that downwards nearer the time.

Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton
Posted

August similar to this month. I'll go for 15.6ºC.

Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
Posted

I am going to go with 15.9c.

Another below average summer month. If it is the case then we may well be looking at getting back to pre 90's summers. Now all we need is the Winters to do the same.

Posted
  • Location: Paignton, Devon
  • Location: Paignton, Devon
Posted

I think a very warm, but frequently thundery August could be on the cards, with a possible hot or even very hot spell during the 1st week.

my early punt will be 17.1c

Posted
  • Location: Putney, SW London. A miserable 14m asl....but nevertheless the lucky recipient of c 20cm of snow in 12 hours 1-2 Feb 2009!
  • Location: Putney, SW London. A miserable 14m asl....but nevertheless the lucky recipient of c 20cm of snow in 12 hours 1-2 Feb 2009!
Posted

My pointlessly-detailed CET mean stats for August:

1971-2000 - 16.2

1961-1990 - 15.8

10 yr running mean - 16.60; Adjusted 10 yr (excl highest 1 & lowest 1) - 16.53

20 yr running mean - 16.67; Adjusted 20 yr (excl highest 2 & lowest 2) - 16.55

30 yr running mean - 16.33; Adjusted 30 yr (excl highest 3 & lowest 3) - 16.28

The three hottest Augusts of the last 30 yrs were all in the second half of that period

The three coldest Augusts of the last 30 yrs were all in the first half of that period (well almost - one was 14/15 years ago!)

CETs below 14.0 have always been rare, coming on av about once every 30 yrs (though there was a near 50 yr gaps 1737-85):

the last was 1986, then 1956, then 1922

CETs below 15.0 are generally quite common, but the last one we had was in 1993, 15 years ago. Such warmer runs are not unusual either, however, and happened regularly in the 18th Century.

The coldest CET av for Aug in the record was 1912 at 12.9

The hottest CET av for Aug in the record was 1995 at 19.2

And my guess for the month is 16.4oC

Ossie

Posted
  • Location: Raunds, N Northants
  • Weather Preferences: Snow in winter, sun in summer, easy really!!
  • Location: Raunds, N Northants
Posted

17.5 CET for me please

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

I'll pop in with 16.3C. Warmest month of the summer.

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
Posted

14.2C: Snowmaiden

14.5C: Richard Dx7

14.9C: Gavin P

15.5C: Stu_London

15.6C: Chionomaniac

15.7C: Stephen Prudence

15.8C: Snowsure

15.8C: Kold Weather

15.9C: Steve B

16C: Polar Gael

16.3C: The Pit

16.4C: Osmposm

16.5C: James M

16.7C: Summer Blizzard

17.1C: Devon-Nelly

17.1C: Memories of 63

17.4C: Thundery Wintry Showers

17.5C: Sunlover

17.7C: Mike W

18.9C: Optimus Prime

I'm leaving my prediction as 16.7C for the moment, however i am seriouly considering lowering my prediction in a few days, possibly as low as 15.2C.

Quite a few people have opened the thread earlier than the 17th, i believe the earliest was the 15th.

Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
Posted

A provisional 15.4C for me thanks

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