South West England Cold Spell Discussion

[leon]

your just gonna have to watch teh radar mate.

The ppn keeps dying out and starting again. so the only real way to tell i sjust watch

True...it was just to talk a bit and get some opinions around...

[anvilhead]

eeyup. I just looked at the radar That lot heading west looks like its intensifying doesnt it ? - can anyone give a quick summary of whats forecast pls ?

[BARRY]

Tis raining here still, 2 mile up the road it's snowing

[gloucesterlad]

Do you guys think this band of ppn on reading now is gonna reach us...? From here not sure it is snow thou...?

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

Leon

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

The 8 pm Thames streamer departing Chelmsford will stop at Luton for refueling. Estimated time of arrival for Cheltenham and Gloucester stations approx 22.30. Further fuel may be taken on board in the Cotswolds.

John in Quedgeley, Gloucester

Edited January 10, 2010 by gloucesterlad

[Thermohaline Conveyor]

Please see above for the latest possibility on the snowfall event on Tuesday into Wednesday. Note the tracking of the low is still uncertain, therefore the precise locations remain moderate signal at best in those areas outlined 4. I'll be releasing another one tomorrow at some point.

Note a signal for snowfall primarily to higher ground across parts of Devon - also for areas in and around Bristol wrapping around the M4 corridor W quadrant into parts of E Gloucestershire into areas South of Birmingham and generally West of the main City. Those in 4 with the highest signal for disruption based on latest guidance is Gloucestershire, Worcestershire, Herefordshire and Shropshire including much of Central and North Wales.

Although the latest models indicate a risk for other parts of the North West and into parts of Hampshire this signal is relatively weak at present. Note there is scope for the areas East of the Dartmoor area currently assigned a 1 to attain 2 or 3 subject to the next few NAE and GFS guidance releases.

[Lynxus]

Regardsing tues/weds.

Unless some colder air gets its ass here over the next few days i cant see it being snow here.

yes i suppose with heavier PPn it may increase chances but considering it was mostly rain today until around 5ish.....

Just hope this easterly brings some colder air with it over the next day or so.

Edited January 10, 2010 by Lynxus

[anvilhead]

I can see that precip pepping up for this area - gfs shows moderate 700mb vv at 9pm over this area - by midnight theres no lift (IMBY Cirencester) so then we'd be looking for orographic lift to kick off showers only imo, but we'll see - i'd imagine this paramaters not so acurate on a global model like the gfs anyway..

[snowlight robbery]

Sounds a grand idea!!! I'm in!!!

And in the summer we could go the other way and bring the outsiders back in lol

[Duane S.]

Who fancies going in with a new business venture with me?, We could buy some 4x4's and nip Dorset folk across every neighbouring county on snow viewing tours!

Cracking idea. I'll do the commentary.

Yar, legend aaas it that beyond the borders of Daaarset there lies a land where the children spend their days building men from a peculiar white powdery substance that falls from the heavens. Come aboard me hearties! And let us go to a place where life stands still and the air is filled with the sounds of laughter and fun from dawn till dusk!

OK, I've gone a bit 'piratey' for some reason but you get the gist...

Souvenirs snowballs, £1.50 each?

Edited January 10, 2010 by s4lancia

[snow go zone]

And in the summer we could go the other way and bring the outsiders back in lol

And ship them up to the Square and Compass! Seems to be lots of fellow cider drinkers on this site! I havn't been looking at weather updates - whats it saying now?

[Paul T]

Eyes down for the 18z - lets see more south easterly winds for Tues, with the low sinking slightly further south please.

Has anyone seen this radar, its very good:

Nice radar

Edited January 10, 2010 by Paul T

[Dartmoor_Matt]

Still got snow falling here... thats 19 hours of snowfall... albeit the mostly light stuff but promising non the less, its also rather chilly out still! -1.9C and winds at 6mph from the NE.

[Duane S.]

NAE coming out now. Interesting to see its take at +48

[kumquat]

Some real pepping up along south Wales coast in the last hour

[dogs32]

I can see that precip pepping up for this area - gfs shows moderate 700mb vv at 9pm over this area - by midnight theres no lift (IMBY Cirencester) so then we'd be looking for orographic lift to kick off showers only imo, but we'll see - i'd imagine this paramaters not so acurate on a global model like the gfs anyway..

yes there is some pepping up already, maybe even more once it hits the Cotsworld hills

Edited January 10, 2010 by dogs32

[Schmac]

Eyes down for the 18z - lets see more south easterly winds for Tues, with the low sinking slightly further south please.

Has anyone seen this radar, its very good:

Nice radar

It would be even nicer if it showed some ppn around Trowbridge!!

Had didly-squat all day!

[Paul T]

Dartmoor (matt)

The GFS has been obsessed over the last few days with giving this little ppn to Devon from midnight tonight

09:00 Mon

all day...

18:00 Mon

Strange one, but if it happend, Dartmoor would get anouth few inches?!

It is never far away from where the ppn actually is....

[theprophecyman]

It would be even nicer if it showed some ppn around Trowbridge!!

Had didly-squat all day!

Might get something later on (not much though I guess) - some PPN just entering Basingstoke on our heading

[jazzy]

I am feeling sad tonight, after waiting for years we finally got a 1-2 cm covering last week and after continuous light rain from 5pm it has all been washed away,

I am trying not to moan as I do appreciate how lucky we were to see any snow and the peeps that have seen nothing have all my sympathy.

However I am still sad.

The temp has risen to a balmy 3.2 and dew point is -0.8. Can anyone tell me if the temp is likely to drop or is this a foreboding sign for Tuesday?

[Paul T]

I am feeling sad tonight, after waiting for years we finally got a 1-2 cm covering last week and after continuous light rain from 5pm it has all been washed away,

I am trying not to moan as I do appreciate how lucky we were to see any snow and the peeps that have seen nothing have all my sympathy.

However I am still sad.

The temp has risen to a balmy 3.2 and dew point is -0.8. Can anyone tell me if the temp is likely to drop or is this a foreboding sign for Tuesday?

The temps are only going one way (up) the chances of snow for tuesday for us is close to zero in my view.

South West Devon? newton? noss? wembury?

[Dartmoor_Matt]

Dartmoor (matt)

The GFS has been obsessed over the last few days with giving this little ppn to Devon from midnight tonight

09:00 Mon

all day...

18:00 Mon

Strange one, but if it happend, Dartmoor would get anouth few inches?!

It is never far away from where the ppn actually is....

Thats pretty interesting, the BBC did show a patch of snow over Dartmoor for tomorrow, albeit pretty faint... we shall see hehe.

Be good to wake up to another few inches of snow.

Edit: I think we will see lower temps tomorrow.

Edited January 10, 2010 by Dartmoor_Matt

[Thermohaline Conveyor]

Please see above for the latest possibility on the snowfall event on Tuesday into Wednesday. Note the tracking of the low is still uncertain, therefore the precise locations remain moderate signal at best in those areas outlined 4. I'll be releasing another one tomorrow at some point.

Note a signal for snowfall primarily to higher ground across parts of Devon - also for areas in and around Bristol wrapping around the M4 corridor W quadrant into parts of E Gloucestershire into areas South of Birmingham and generally West of the main City. Those in 4 with the highest signal for disruption based on latest guidance is Gloucestershire, Worcestershire, Herefordshire and Shropshire including much of Central and North Wales.

Although the latest models indicate a risk for other parts of the North West and into parts of Hampshire this signal is relatively weak at present. Note there is scope for the areas East of the Dartmoor area currently assigned a 1 to attain 2 or 3 subject to the next few NAE and GFS guidance releases.

18Z follows the same pattern, in fact closer to the above outlined risk

Edited January 10, 2010 by Thermohaline Conveyor

[snowlight robbery]

Cracking idea. I'll do the commentary.

Yar, legend aaas it that beyond the borders of Daaarset there lies a land where the children spend their days building men from a peculiar white powdery substance that falls from the heavens. Come aboard me hearties! And let us go to a place where life stands still and the air is filled with the sounds of laughter and fun from dawn till dusk!

OK, I've gone a bit 'piratey' for some reason but you get the gist...

Souvenirs snowballs, £1.50 each?

We may laugh but just think the way we are going in years to come we could be telling our Grandchildren about the great winter of Dorset in 2010 when we had a huge 1cm of snow, if that S4 is yours by the way nice car but better leave that to another forum!

[Schmac]

Might get something later on (not much though I guess) - some PPN just entering Basingstoke on our heading

I'll keep an eye out for it then!... Cheers!...

Hope I'm not in the wrong spot (again!) for the Tuesday/Wednesday event...

[dogs32]

looks like a pepped up band of precip heading towards you Pat.

yes Sam was correct,it must be under 10 miles from me mate.

Just checked outside for flake's but nothing at present.