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Convective Potential - June 13Th >>>>

Paul Sherman
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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted

looking like se england storms sunday late into monday at this stage yahoo.gif central southern 1st tho i think..

alto as said things change...timing, cape and stuff.. cant get excited ? why not..

could break out storms a head of the front anyway so 2 chances..

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r6 steve Newbie

r6 steve

Posted
  • Location: Gosport,Hampshire
  • Location: Gosport,Hampshire
Posted

I know its early days and anything can happen yet, but van anyone please tell me what is the current threat to the solent area like?

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Jane Louise Aficionado

Jane Louise

Posted
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms :D
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos
Posted (edited)

I have learnt my lesson. I won't get to excited yet lol. Will wait to see the forecast at the weekend.

Edited by Jane Louise
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Paul Maestro

Paul

Posted
  • Location: Aviemore
  • Location: Aviemore
Posted

Just for fun of course as it's way too early at this stage, but you can't have a run which produces a cape chart like this and not post it up!

post-2-12773113101799_thumb.png

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A.J Maestro

A.J

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
Posted

Just for fun of course as it's way too early at this stage, but you can't have a run which produces a cape chart like this and not post it up!

post-2-12773113101799_thumb.png

It would be rude not too....lol.....Just checked my local forecast on NW Extra.....1632j/kg with a LI of -6C at 1900hrs, now that's eye-candy for storm lovers!....watch it go and down like a yo-yo over the next 72 hours :nonono:

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r6 steve Newbie

r6 steve

Posted
  • Location: Gosport,Hampshire
  • Location: Gosport,Hampshire
Posted

i hope them cape values nudge slightly to the south east im just on the edge of that finger on the southern end to the east.mmmm

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Evening thunder Experienced

Evening thunder

Posted
  • Location: East Devon
  • Location: East Devon
Posted

You didn't have a choice with the exam, but you do have a choice with the prom!!

That's true! although it's a choice I'd rather not have to make.. Hopefully they will do there usual avoiding me trick (will probably hit me now!) Or if i'm lucky anything that does happen will happen on Sunday instead. But I wish everyone else good luck on any day or night.

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dogs32 Aficionado

dogs32

Posted
  • Location: south London
  • Location: south London
Posted (edited)

Just for fun of course as it's way too early at this stage, but you can't have a run which produces a cape chart like this and not post it up!

post-2-12773113101799_thumb.png

lol..bulls eye..BBC where are you lol..

its bound to get down graded...but just maybe not :yahoo:

mmmmmmm bbc weather not saying anything on storms for sunday yetcc_confused.gif

lol..sorry STU are region is :yahoo:

Edited by dogs32
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twister2005 Rookie

twister2005

Posted
  • Location: Cheltenham, gloucestershire
  • Location: Cheltenham, gloucestershire
Posted

Good evening all, looking good for sunday, not seen the latest forcast what did it say for our area Dogs ?:yahoo:

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dogs32 Aficionado

dogs32

Posted
  • Location: south London
  • Location: south London
Posted (edited)

Good evening all, looking good for sunday, not seen the latest forcast what did it say for our area Dogs ?:yahoo:

I cant remember the exact words...but something like a possability for Storms for us later Sunday ...Its going to go off with a revenge for the lack of Storms over the last two yrs..party time ahead.

Night storms wohay....better get my laptop sorted with a dongle...going chasing for Anvil crawlers :yahoo:

Edited by dogs32
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dogs32 Aficionado

dogs32

Posted
  • Location: south London
  • Location: south London
Posted

Awesome news :crazy: love night storms happy days:yahoo:

the way I look at it is that for some its been a dreadfull 2 yrs for storms!!!

It cant go on for ever it never does....

So one of these risk's is going to be a massive eruption :yahoo:

Its logical its got to happen sooner or later :yahoo:

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03jtrickey Apprentice

03jtrickey

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough, Cambridgeshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and snow
  • Location: Peterborough, Cambridgeshire
Posted

LI of -6 and 2,400J CAPE on Sunday???!!!!

This will be my reward for the past month of A levels :-) (Just two to go)

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gpspete Rookie

gpspete

Posted
  • Location: Bicester Oxfordshire
  • Location: Bicester Oxfordshire
Posted (edited)

Just for fun of course as it's way too early at this stage, but you can't have a run which produces a cape chart like this and not post it up!

post-2-12773113101799_thumb.png

bloomin heck pats (dogs32) has hit the jackpot hes almost in the bullseye

me i will be in London for the day but hopefully will be back in time for a chiltern/brill hill even west to cotswolds perhaps birdlip storm chase car will be fuelled up ready,

mind you that cape looks a bit high for uk but lets wait ansee

Edited by gpspete
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Mesoscale Rising Star

Mesoscale

Posted
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Humid Continental Climate (Dfa / Dfb)
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
Posted (edited)

I hope you guys realise that it will shift east as the week goes on! it always does! smile.gif

Edited by Mesodiscussion
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ANYWEATHER Maestro

ANYWEATHER

Posted
  • Location: Evesham/ Tewkesbury
  • Weather Preferences: Enjoy the weather, you can't take it with you 😎
  • Location: Evesham/ Tewkesbury
Posted

With this sort of setup on Sunday, large hail could be an issue ,ah along with some pretty good violent thunderstorms, temps Sunday could hit the 90f in one or two places....nice to see some good ingredients at last for some potentially severe thunderstorms, we need it here its been seven years since the last good one...BUT, still a long way off, but heres hoping!! :yahoo::yahoo::D:)8):crazy:

post-6830-12773196588411_thumb.png

post-6830-12773196836085_thumb.png

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Neilsouth Experienced

Neilsouth

Posted
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Storms and Snow
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast
Posted

I hope you guys realise that it will shift east as the week goes on! it always does! smile.gif

Agreed

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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted (edited)

Well on the last few Runs, the Midlands looks like a real hotspot for storms on Sunday but id wait 2 more days at least before judging exactly where will get storms. However, a hot day looks likely and perhaps hot into next week too.

Edited by Blizzards
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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted (edited)

AHhahahahaha who rigged the charts?

Is that you Dogs?

Edited by Lynxus
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sunny scunny Aficionado

sunny scunny

Posted
  • Location: Scunny Lincolnshire.41m (134FT)ASL
  • Location: Scunny Lincolnshire.41m (134FT)ASL
Posted

Well on the last few Runs, the Midlands looks like a real hotspot for storms on Sunday but id wait 2 more days at least before judging exactly where will get storms. However, a hot day looks likely and perhaps hot into next week too.

Well on the last few Runs, the Midlands looks like a real hotspot for storms on Sunday but id wait 2 more days at least before judging exactly where will get storms. However, a hot day looks likely and perhaps hot into next week too.

Im seeing double :)

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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted

Im seeing double :)

Not anymore. Lol. :)

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❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️ Aficionado

❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️

Posted
  • Location: Wiltshire
  • Location: Wiltshire
Posted

Long way to go in storm terms, but would be typical if we had a storm as England played Germany.

ukcapeli.png

Probably will shift eastwards as the days go on and we'll have all the heat and humidity but without the stormy payoff!

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