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SteveElbows Newbie

SteveElbows

Posted
  • Location: Nuneaton, Warks. (87m 285ft ASL)
  • Location: Nuneaton, Warks. (87m 285ft ASL)
Posted

Loud thunder heard moments ago in Nuneaton although I think the main activity may be just to our north.

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MP-R Maestro

MP-R

Posted
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Continental winters & summers.
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
Posted

An impressive Cb cell by the looks of it, shows distinctly on the 1030 BST radar. Rotation in there possibly?

Anything likely to kick off here today? Feels humid enough just need to get rid of the low grey stuff beneath what look like lovely plume-like altocumulus clouds.

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

Anything likely to kick off here today? Feels humid enough just need to get rid of the low grey stuff beneath what look like lovely plume-like altocumulus clouds.

Dont know,

Im hoping once this band has fizzled and moved away we might see some showers pop up..

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Gordon Newbie

Gordon

Posted
  • Location: Bedworth , 5 Miles North Of Coventry , 3 Miles South Of Nuneaton
  • Location: Bedworth , 5 Miles North Of Coventry , 3 Miles South Of Nuneaton
Posted

Loud thunder heard moments ago in Nuneaton although I think the main activity may be just to our north.

Same Here

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Arnie Pie Accomplished

Arnie Pie

Posted
  • Location: Birmingham, Harborne 160 asl
  • Weather Preferences: Columus Bigus Convectivus
  • Location: Birmingham, Harborne 160 asl
Posted (edited)

Top of a mountain?

Plane punchhole?

Makes scenes, plenty of mountains in that area

Is that the cause of the visible turbulence holes? in the clouds to the west?

Mind you love the idea about the impressive Cb with some rotation

:drinks:Lynux and michael

Edited by windypants
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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

I'm watching that blob over SW Wales. If it keeps it's present track it should come very close to use unless it fizzles out. Also been a few other intense looking areas of rain around as well in the north. All in all it doesn't look a good morning forecast away from Wales.

Typical just went to the south of us. Looking like a dry day for the rest of it.

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Jane Louise Aficionado

Jane Louise

Posted
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms :D
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos
Posted

Would say your chances of seeing a storm will be greater tomorrow as instability is generated across the SW, Midlands, Sern and Eern England along and ahead of southeastward-moving cold front. Today I think main risk of general or severe thunderstorms is over N England and S Scotland where better instability progged.

Tomorrow looks like another slight severe storm risk day given warm, moist boundary layer and impressive shear environment for organised storms and tornado potential. However, cloud cover and lack of dry air in the mid-levels may go against severe potential, so still uncertainty at the moment.

Hi W09,:)

I don't understand the storm potential regards tomorrow.Although I know a lot of the charts are saying there will be storms, the Met Office is just forecasting light rain for my area when I seem to be in the prime Zone according to other forecasters! :nonono:

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Stuart Experienced

Stuart

Posted
  • Location: Nairn
  • Location: Nairn
Posted

Hi W09,:)

I don't understand the storm potential regards tomorrow.Although I know a lot of the charts are saying there will be storms, the Met Office is just forecasting light rain for my area when I seem to be in the prime Zone according to other forecasters! :nonono:

yes here to jane there forcasting sunny weather here sat and sunny this afternoon:nonono:

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

I don't understand the storm potential regards tomorrow.

Not bucket loads of CAPE for your area JL, but a decent spell of -1 to -2 on the lifted index through the middle daylight hours. Wouldn't like to put my salary on anything, but you have as good a chance as anyone tomorrow (sorry have I just jinxed that now?!!! :nonono: )

skew0.594876429605396.png

Feels humid enough

DP's still really high around you MP-R

Reurmetd.gif

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Jane Louise Aficionado

Jane Louise

Posted
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms :D
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos
Posted

yes here to jane there forcasting sunny weather here sat and sunny this afternoon:nonono:

I know Stu, I don't tend to rely on their forecasts too much. I am more for the convective forecasts. Fingers crossed it may get upgraded. :nonono:

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Jane Louise Aficionado

Jane Louise

Posted
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms :D
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos
Posted

(sorry have I just jinxed that now?!!! :nonono: )

Nooooo, don't jinx it Coast lol. Only time will tell come tomorrow. I'm still hoping that something may pop up this afternoon lol.:) Very humid out there and showers on and off here with the odd heavy one.

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NL Aficionado

NL

Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
Posted

Fairly heavy shower just passed through and caught a funnel, lasted for around 10-15 seconds then dissipated.

post-5386-097488700 1282309016_thumb.jpg

post-5386-042500100 1282308916_thumb.jpg

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
Posted (edited)

Nothing here again :nonono:

Looks like most of the thundery activity is way to the south of here. Pity as I thought N England was the place to be today.

Looks from the radar as if precip rates are dying back now. Can we expect any more storms or are conditions not as favourable as this morning?

Edited by Supacell
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multi cellular thunderstorm Enthusiast

multi cellular thunderstorm

Posted
  • Location: Stanley, County Durham.
  • Weather Preferences: Anything Extreme!
  • Location: Stanley, County Durham.
Posted

Fairly heavy shower just passed through and caught a funnel, lasted for around 10-15 seconds then dissipated.

post-5386-097488700 1282309016_thumb.jpg

post-5386-042500100 1282308916_thumb.jpg

Nice one NL!

Been looking out here in Consett but if I look too much I'll get wrong off my boss!

Most of the showers are going north and south of Consett, looks like some more out west on the way.

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NL Aficionado

NL

Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
Posted

Nice one NL!

Been looking out here in Consett but if I look too much I'll get wrong off my boss!

Most of the showers are going north and south of Consett, looks like some more out west on the way.

Cheers tis my first one ive ever captured, i also have it on time-lapse, but if you blink you'll miss it..!! hahha..

Not often you see Dew points this high around here.

post-5386-029473200 1282309945_thumb.jpg

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Jane Louise Aficionado

Jane Louise

Posted
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms :D
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos
Posted

Well, they do have a heavy shower icon for your area tomorrow at 16:00. :nonono: Seriously though, just stick with what you see on the charts and follow the more informative posts from members on here and other weather forums. You're not going to get the information you need concerning storms from the Met Office.

lol I probably wont get one now.Yes, I will stick with the charts and forums.I don't always believe the Met Office really lol

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

What classes as the no storms club?

i "Think" ive heard 2 rumbles this year? ( not today )

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Jane Louise Aficionado

Jane Louise

Posted
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms :D
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos
Posted

What classes as the no storms club?

i "Think" ive heard 2 rumbles this year? ( not today )

I'll dish you out a membership Lynux lol. Its bad again this year grrrrr

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multi cellular thunderstorm Enthusiast

multi cellular thunderstorm

Posted
  • Location: Stanley, County Durham.
  • Weather Preferences: Anything Extreme!
  • Location: Stanley, County Durham.
Posted

Looks like a thin strip of Northumberland could get some really big rainfall totals, there's a line of heavy showers which keeps building on the back edge and feeding heavy showers over the same areas. Could be something to watch.

Big shower passing just south of Consett, looks like the heaviest of the day in this area.

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TonyH Experienced

TonyH

Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
Posted

Its kicking off across the north of England now as predicted then.

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Nick F Maestro

Nick F

Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
Posted

Yes, Northern England the area to watch I think over the next few hours for severe potential. 06z GFS showed this area to have the greatest instability this afternoon. And the 12z Abermarle ascent over NE England showed some 'skinny' CAPE with cloud tops reaching 300mb or around 30,000 ft - more than enough for thunderstorms, some insolation input and we could see some stronger storms developing.

Not much directional shear with winds unidirectional on the skew-t, so tornado potential perhaps limited - unless winds back more towards surface. But strong speed shear with strong winds aloft will organise storms into line sgements with risk of these stronger winds aloft maybe lowered as strong convective gusts if drier air punches in this afternoon along the cold front.

post-1052-014509500 1282313681_thumb.gif

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multi cellular thunderstorm Enthusiast

multi cellular thunderstorm

Posted
  • Location: Stanley, County Durham.
  • Weather Preferences: Anything Extreme!
  • Location: Stanley, County Durham.
Posted

Looks like some really strong showers over Tyne and Wear now, NL should be under them. Nothing showing on lightning detector but looking at them you would expect something.

Plenty of showers still to come, but nothing organised, it's all a bit messy.

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Mesosphere Contributor

Mesosphere

Posted
  • Location: Haddington, East Lothian, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Warm summer evenings
  • Location: Haddington, East Lothian, Scotland
Posted

had a blustery , heavyish shower pass through here at around 3.20pm. Nothing special though :lol:

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NL Aficionado

NL

Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
Posted

Looks like some really strong showers over Tyne and Wear now, NL should be under them. Nothing showing on lightning detector but looking at them you would expect something.

Plenty of showers still to come, but nothing organised, it's all a bit messy.

No T&L but some serious rainfall. Looks like southern end of Sunderland/Seaham area is baring the brunt of the rain, suprising that no Sferics showing up on lightning detectors..

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