Convective / Storm Chat And Discussion

[marksp]

wow things moving along now.

temps slowly moved from 14,and 15 now up to 19.5. RH now at 76% and dewpoint has moved up to 14.9

[todd1970]

New storm just gone up around Ardrossan for the Scots on the board.

Cheers Ross..hope they will track thier way NE..seem to be getting a lot of showers breaking out ahead of this main band..bit worried if the main band makes it here it will just stick around.

[The PIT]

Back to cool and cloudy norm risk up too 80%

[marksp]

If there's a nearby building you should be okay. Don't forget to take a AM radio (a crude lightning detector) if your unable to get internet access, this should give you at least some notice there'll be sferics around. The louder the crackles on the radio the closer the lightning.

4-5pm should be when the convection is initiating if not already, the storms will gradually be moving North so if your upwind of these you'll get the worst than being under the main convective phase itself. Later on in the night 6-9pm is when the secondary phase of the theta e-plume, giving higher based IC lightning. These are forecasted to come up from the South so a repetition of last night's events, with a higher likelyhood most places will see something from the MCS.

thanks for that, the age groups are 12 to 15 and we have 6 activities placed across 2 rugby pitches. luckly a large club house for refuge.

cheers.

[Static Prevails]

Not sure. Looking at sat24 the cloud is only just starting to break around Southern England.

It's moving quite fast though, so let's hope?

Seeing the sun breaking it up slightly now.

marksp, indeed it does look good, but it's looked good the last four or so events and we've had nothing from them.

[CaptainHappy]

Just had a shower here right on the coast. The cloud looks to be burning away and moving through on Sat24, but on the coast here we cannot hope for homegrown stuff.

Will be watching the Bay of Biscay and around NW France with a keen eye over the next few hours. Nothing showing yet other than a lot of high level cloud in that area.

[Ross B]

Cheers Ross..hope they will track thier way NE..seem to be getting a lot of showers breaking out ahead of this main band..bit worried if the main band makes it here it will just stick around.

Yep, I have the same worry. Hopefully the front of the main band will pep up and give us a few storms. I fear it will just be rain with the odd rumble of thunder though! Who knows, thats the fun of it

[Lynxus]

lol i like that, I was only expecting gusty winds. Im in the 1 warning but im only in the 15% area. good luck everyone!

Im pretty much in the middle.. So nothing for here

This eve is gonna be soooo much fun

Nice and warm here, Got the washing out.. So that should cause some thunder

Edited May 7, 2011 by Lynxus

[Schnee]

The sun has finally come out here in Bradford. Temps should rise soon.

[tomp456]

cloudy & still-ish here on s coast, the calm before the storm, perhaps?

[NUT]

Had a few rumbles here about 10 to 2. Sky wasn't even that dark and didnt indicate that anything was around. Just formed out of nothing

[A.J]

Right then, that's the shopping done, timed perfectly with the forecasted lull in storm activity...lol.....so we've had the appetizer last night, now I'm waiting for the main course this afternoon/evening, followed up by a cheeky dessert overnight tonight

[kaz]

Had a few rumbles here about 10 to 2. Sky wasn't even that dark and didnt indicate that anything was around. Just formed out of nothing

Hi after the big cell passed last night and went over into Wales we still had alot of lightning around but on Radar there was nothing, it was very strange.. Had a good show for a couple of hours, but like you said they seem to come from nothing.

Not much rain in the first storm, were a few CG strikes but hardly any rain, i know because i was stood outside. Hoping for more later on

kaz

[Neilsouth]

It's been sunny on and off since this morning, very muggy too!... Nice cloud developments indicating storms much later for south east england, probably late or early hours!.. Our time will come, but it isn't now wait till much later

[marksp]

Seeing the sun breaking it up slightly now.

marksp, indeed it does look good, but it's looked good the last four or so events and we've had nothing from them.

very true, but reading Snow Jokes post definately gives me plenty optimism

Seeing the sun breaking it up slightly now.

marksp, indeed it does look good, but it's looked good the last four or so events and we've had nothing from them.

[Stormcast]

Sun trying to come out here in North Cave - E.Yorkshire

What's people's view on activity for eastern areas this evening and during tomorrow- I would say slim.

[Costa Del Fal]

Very warm and humid here now. Not much on the Radars yet though but some turbulent looking skies here.

[The PIT]

Well John H soundings suggested between 22c to 26c to get convection going. Well adrift of that so will need frontal forcing to get storms going.

[matt_in_dudley]

Well the sun has been trying to break through since midday, but so far has only been able to a couple of times! Very warm and muggy out there, more than yesterday i think. Come on storms! I'm going to a party later dressed as a vicar...so if it doesn't thunder i'm going to get God to smite everything! lol

[Brad]

I reckon another bust for down here to be honest. Time will tell though.

[Backtrack]

There we go.

Clear blue skies, temperature just jumped 1C in 2 minutes.

[Liam J]

A bit disapointing so far, not much activity showing up and the time of peak surface heating will be over as its 3pm??

[striker]

Hi after the big cell passed last night and went over into Wales we still had alot of lightning around but on Radar there was nothing, it was very strange.. Had a good show for a couple of hours, but like you said they seem to come from nothing.

Not much rain in the first storm, were a few CG strikes but hardly any rain, i know because i was stood outside. Hoping for more later on

kaz

Did the same as you Kaz, stayed up until 1.30 but everything seemed to be moving over Exmoor/ Somerset way. Storms were moving very fast and sprung up out of nowhere! Hoping for some more later on this evening if the sun does it's stuff. lol.

[TheToastPeople]

A bit disapointing so far, not much activity showing up and the time of peak surface heating will be over as its 3pm??

dont panic! most of the storms didnt start untill 6 last night so i reckon that will be the case again tonight, Much more favourable conditions to

[Carl46Wrexham]

How the hell can it be that places to the north of me have blue skies and yet I get stuck under poxy 100% cruddy cloud cover? There aint no justice.