7 July 2011 - Storm/convective Forecast, Discussion And Reports

[snow raven]

Oh good it's not me then!!! I've heard a number of rumbles in the last 10 mins!

I put the first down to lorries

Are you at home or work today Harry?

I'm currently stuck on Reception at work so can't sneak outside

[peterf]

what i'd give for the radar.it looks very ominous to my SW.

[Alex95]

Loads of black clouds to my SW now.

[peterf]

just received this email from the METO.

Dear Peter

Thank you for your email.

My apologies for the current issues with the rainfall radar, these are being worked on as we speak and we will of course update the images as soon as they are available. I'm afraid I don't have a timescale for when this may be. Thank you for your patience.

Kind regards

Dan

Weather Desk Advisor

Met Office, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB, United Kingdom.

Tel: 0870 900 0100 or +44 (0)1392 88 5680 Fax: 0870 900 5050

Email: enquiries@metoffice.gov.uk http://www.metoffice.gov.uk

[Harry]

Torrential rain here at the moment...no more thunder yet though

Are you at home or work today Harry?

I'm currently stuck on Reception at work so can't sneak outside

At work in C London! Absolutely torrential rain at the moment

Edited July 7, 2011 by Harry

[Darren Bown]

Just had a heavy shower here, finally cleared, was alot cloudier this morning, now the sun has got going

[TonyH]

Interesting skies over Cov and Warwicks, just going by webcams this morning, what with no radar

http://www.bablakeweather.co.uk/

http://www.draycotew...eather_cam.html

Edited July 7, 2011 by Tonyh

[Marcus_surfer]

Not many showers here, expected to be more but forecast seems to have changed..

[sbiggs]

im using Sat24, and guessing where rain maybe with cloud tops?!?!

http://www.sat24.com/gb

tonyh, i can kinda see what you mean over Coventry way looking at sat24

ok, i can see a line of convective clouds forming from pretty much lands end up through Bristol and onto Lincolnshire. the Lands End, errr, end seems to be a CZ (im learning)whereas the other end is stretching out and moving eastward.

[TonyH]

im using Sat24, and guessing where rain maybe with cloud tops?!?!

http://www.sat24.com/gb

tonyh, i can kinda see what you mean over Coventry way looking at sat24

Oh thanks for that sbiggs, I can see it, now heavy rain on the webcam.

The juxtaposition of the webcams is perfect, as the Bablake one looks SE towards Draycote 10 miles away, while the reverse is true for Draycote, so you can see the rain shafts and black clouds from Draycote towards Coventry!

[VillagePlank]

Clouds on and off looking very menacing but have only just managed to amass a whopping 0.8mm of rain - hoping for some more late afternoon ...

[Lauren]

Lots of interesting clouds today and pretty gusty. Something could happen, but I think perhaps tomorrow may provide more.

[Hurricane Debby]

Torrential rain here at the moment. Reminds me of Australia ! But no storms. How strange that I had that rogue single clap of thunder earlier and then nothing else. Are any more storms predicted for the SE later on today ??

[Arnie Pie]

im using Sat24, and guessing where rain maybe with cloud tops?!?!

.

I`ll be mainly using

Edited July 7, 2011 by Arnie Pie

[Supacell]

Brief heavy downpour for about 3 minutes just outside Bradford. I will be finishing work about 4 and may go chasing.

Would I be right in thinking areas around the Humber and up into NE Yorkshire would be a good spot? I dont have easy access to charts due to only having a mobile phone so cant look myself.

Also, has Nick or anyone posted a convective forecast for today?

[Darren Bown]

It's actually very clear here now, almost wall to wall sunshine, I'm hoping this is the sun that is needed to initiate convection this afternoon.

[sunny scunny]

Disappointing once again around here with no sign of any showers hitting this area again.Both the radars i use aren't working either.

[Harry]

Disappointing once again around here with no sign of any showers hitting this area again.Both the radars i use aren't working either.

You're saying this at 12:30!? Behave!

It's been torrential now in C London for about the last hour!! :excl:

[VillagePlank]

Torrential rain here at the moment. Reminds me of Australia ! But no storms. How strange that I had that rogue single clap of thunder earlier and then nothing else. Are any more storms predicted for the SE later on today ??

The trigger for severe potential seems to be a convergence line in the channel forming mid-afternoon:

Given the steering winds (I like to look at 700hPa) some of these storms may edge into the SE quadrant later today:

Although it is worth noting that GFS forecasts this line to head due West, and for precipitation to be mainly focused to the S of the SE, whilst NAE forecasts this line to move NE into S, and SE counties:

Still to play for, then - and potential doesn't really run out until after 9pm tonight, either, since that effect of that line brushes very close to the SE, so we might get an import:

Edited July 7, 2011 by Sparticle

[Discombobulation Man]

It's been torrential now in C London for about the last hour!! :excl:

Indeed Harry, we've had about 10 storms here in the last month and this probably beats all of them for rainfall intensity and timespan.

Will be interesting to see the radar returns when it comes back up to see if it really is as bad is it seemed.

[Lauren]

You're saying this at 12:30!? Behave!

It's been torrential now in C London for about the last hour!! :excl:

Which way is that heading?

[Paul Sherman]

Not had a drop of Rain in SE Essex (38 Miles from C London) just shows how that band (If we could see it) :lol: Has stayed put and trained in the same spot all morning.

Patches of Blue and fast moving Cumulus here

[Mike Storm]

Very squally shower at the moment........been dry up untill now

[Harry]

Which way is that heading?

SW to NE, but in a line around the LP system...it should gradually move east as the afternoon progresses, with more showers and possibly thunder developing then also.

It's a very messy setup though so predictability is virtually zero I'm afraid.

[TheToastPeople]

YES RADAR