Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

Ex Ts Katia To Hit The Uk - Chat Thread 2

Coast

By Coast
in Storms & Severe Weather

 Share

Recommended Posts

kmanmx Aficionado

kmanmx

Posted
  • Location: South Leicestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow. Cold
  • Location: South Leicestershire
Posted (edited)

Fairly blustery out there now where i am. I'm fairly exposed but not very, i'm in village of about 5000people 10miles south of Leicester city. I'm one of the last few houses to the very south of the village where the wind is coming from, with flat fields behind me.

I'm using this site http://www.stormtrack.co.uk/ an amateur weather station just a bit north of the other side of leicester. No doubt the person running it is a member on this website, Hi ! biggrin.png

23mph gust highest today so far according to that, from just 10 minutes ago. Good stuff smile.png Though way off MetO's 33mph for this time. MetO seems to be thinking the wind is stronger than it actually is at the moment, at least where i live.

Edited by kmanmx
Link to comment
Share on other sites
lfcdude Accomplished

lfcdude

Posted
  • Location: Devizes Wiltshire
  • Location: Devizes Wiltshire
Posted

its blowy out.. refreshing some bins falling over but yeah, wont get much more windier hear, is nice, not humid hot and hot? hope all is well up north 2mor

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted (edited)

Wales currently has the highest winds.

Almost 40mph sustained on Anglesey. Really doesn't surprise me, that island is known for it's high winds.

Edited by Backtrack
Link to comment
Share on other sites
weatherobsuk Veteran

weatherobsuk

Posted
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
Posted

Updates on the synoptics, some current confusion I think about placement of the low putting it where the Jetstreak is to the North. The actual ex-Katia system is still undergoing RACY at this time, injesting dry air at this time and limiting surface features on IR due to the cooler cloud tops.

post-8763-0-68246100-1315791379_thumb.jp

Link to comment
Share on other sites
snowfall09 Apprentice

snowfall09

Posted
  • Location: Folkestone
  • Location: Folkestone
Posted

Updates on the synoptics, some current confusion I think about placement of the low putting it where the Jetstreak is to the North. The actual ex-Katia system is still undergoing RACY at this time, injesting dry air at this time and limiting surface features on IR due to the cooler cloud tops.

post-8763-0-68246100-1315791379_thumb.jp

The centre of the storm looks a lot more south than the forecast models were predicting for around this time

Link to comment
Share on other sites
weatherobsuk Veteran

weatherobsuk

Posted
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
Posted

It all depends now on how long the jetstreak to the North moves out, too slow and ex-Katia takes a more southerly track, too fast and it'll be ahead of the model runs. To my eye at least it does look closer to Ireland than what was expected for this time, but give it another 3 hours to see how much of a Easterly component it keeps.

One thing for sure however, there are some serious gusts embedded within the RACY trying to form within the system, the cloud heights being sheared off however by the drier air injestion and upper 850mb (4000ft) winds. The 'rash' is where the winds for today are embedded within.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/eumet/neatl/rb-l.jpg

Link to comment
Share on other sites
ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted (edited)

GFS - 18z - 3am and xc weather live data at 2.30am!

musts say the wind here is different, getting gusty and prolonged, not how i was expecting it to be right now! MetO shows the gusty winds so it is right, its how progressive the gusts are like building up a bit more each time and long gusts! -theres something about this storm and i think a sudden southerly track(or at least keeping eastwards)

post-11361-0-17107000-1315792863_thumb.g

post-11361-0-15001700-1315792863_thumb.p

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
Link to comment
Share on other sites
snowfall09 Apprentice

snowfall09

Posted
  • Location: Folkestone
  • Location: Folkestone
Posted

GFS - 18z - 3am and xc weather live data at 2.30am!

musts say the wind here is different, getting gusty and prolonged, not how i was expecting it to be right now! MetO shows the gusty winds so it is right, its how progressive the gusts are like building up a bit more each time and long gusts! -theres something about this storm and i think a sudden southerly track..

post-11361-0-17107000-1315792863_thumb.g

How far south do you think this storm will go?

Link to comment
Share on other sites
ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted

im sure its south from the GFS prediction? if this is the case and a more east progression rather then ne expect damaging winds across all of England to..

watching and keeping track its the only way to do it now

Link to comment
Share on other sites
snowfall09 Apprentice

snowfall09

Posted
  • Location: Folkestone
  • Location: Folkestone
Posted

im sure its south from the GFS prediction? if this is the case and a more east progression rather then ne expect damaging winds across all of England to..

watching and keeping track its the only way to do it now

Latest ir sat image looks to me as though its barely moved north and continues to move ENE i would say

Link to comment
Share on other sites
ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted (edited)

an example of the warm front effect! London higher temperature than late evening.

post-11361-0-04479600-1315793634_thumb.p just going to check the predicted temps to see if its higher than normal!

11091203_1118.gifits right.

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
Link to comment
Share on other sites
snowfall09 Apprentice

snowfall09

Posted
  • Location: Folkestone
  • Location: Folkestone
Posted

an example of the warm front effect! London higher temperature than late evening.

post-11361-0-04479600-1315793634_thumb.p just going to check the predicted temps to see if its higher than normal!

I live in Folkestone on the south east coast around 60 miles from London and the temp here at the moment is 16.9 and has stayed that way for a few hours now.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Liam Ellis Contributor

Liam Ellis

Posted
  • Location: Deiniolen, north west Wales during lockdown
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Weather
  • Location: Deiniolen, north west Wales during lockdown
Posted

Just got woken up by the wind - pretty rough out there - just recorded a gust of 57mph. Right off back to sleep until the next roaring gust wakes me up!! Stay stafe...

Link to comment
Share on other sites
snowfall09 Apprentice

snowfall09

Posted
  • Location: Folkestone
  • Location: Folkestone
Posted

Using this great sat animation you can clearly see the storm is progressing in a much more ENE direction than the NEly direction that was expected, what this means in terms of wind speeds i don't know but maybe a more educated member could point me in the right direction.

http://www.yr.no/satellitt/europa_animasjon.html

Link to comment
Share on other sites
ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted

it means the southern flank of the low would have the strongest winds more widespread and further south, keeping track of the centers pressure core to!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
rossco89 Explorer

rossco89

Posted
  • Location: Dalrymple, Ayrshire, Scotland
  • Location: Dalrymple, Ayrshire, Scotland
Posted

Im not sure if im the only one seeing this, but there seems to be, as it approaches ireland, a "flick" to the northeast?

Link to comment
Share on other sites
PeterDoswell Rookie

PeterDoswell

Posted
  • Location: Southampton. Hampshire
  • Location: Southampton. Hampshire
Posted

i do get the feeling that there " is something about this storm " that will be unexpected . not to mention it will hit during daytime hours . trees in full leaf . anyone know if this is heading in a more southerly direction ? any sat pics to view apart from bbc . can anyone sense something nasty coming ?

Link to comment
Share on other sites
snowfall09 Apprentice

snowfall09

Posted
  • Location: Folkestone
  • Location: Folkestone
Posted

Im not sure if im the only one seeing this, but there seems to be, as it approaches ireland, a "flick" to the northeast?

Are you able to do a screenshot and circle what you see?

i do get the feeling that there " is something about this storm " that will be unexpected . not to mention it will hit during daytime hours . trees in full leaf . anyone know if this is heading in a more southerly direction ? any sat pics to view apart from bbc . can anyone sense something nasty coming ?

Yes i know exactly what you mean, im getting that feeling too, as for different sat images try this website if you haven't before

http://www.yr.no/satellitt/europa_animasjon.html

Link to comment
Share on other sites
ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted

heres a recent sat, i run a few of them and it appears some convection is forming hook? but this means a rapid intensifying of the storm

im starting to think of an upgrade on the GFS 00z..

post-11361-0-37035400-1315795642_thumb.p

Link to comment
Share on other sites
PeterDoswell Rookie

PeterDoswell

Posted
  • Location: Southampton. Hampshire
  • Location: Southampton. Hampshire
Posted

i am not advertising but psychic work is my living . i do sense something quite dangerous with this storm . unfortunately it will probably mean the loss of life too . that is to be expected with this type of weather yes .... but i just get an uneasy feeling tonight ..... maybe i am wrong .... can it track south suddenly across the uk .....

Link to comment
Share on other sites
ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted
http://www.eots.co.uk/reports/bomb/bomb01.htm - about wind storms and how they can get more intense suddenly
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
 Share
Go to topic listing
×
×
  • Create New...