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London And The South East Regional Discussion Thread - II

kold weather

By kold weather
in Spring Weather Discussion

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

Here we go, first broad-brush indicators of what we might expect tomorrow courtesy of the 12z GFS charts (yes they are just a guess) and we have a similar situation to today:

post-6667-0-90355400-1328024849_thumb.pn

post-6667-0-74151300-1328024848_thumb.pn

Confidence?

post-6667-0-42077800-1328024920_thumb.pn

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john mac Aficionado

john mac

Posted
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
  • Weather Preferences: snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
Posted

Just wondered what the chances of the very cold air that is progged to go into france hitting us instead, it surely wouldnt take that much of a shift northwards.

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Radiating Dendrite Experienced

Radiating Dendrite

Posted
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: January 1987 / July 2006
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL
Posted

Just wondered what the chances of the very cold air that is progged to go into france hitting us instead, it surely wouldnt take that much of a shift northwards.

Zero now to be honest.

The models have the next few days covered now and the shift would have to be huge (unprecedented).

Because they are the precip charts for today!

I think he meant location of the precipitation.

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

Coast, How come the nae is so different from the GFS? (of course I do prefer your maps)!

http://expert-images...020206_3112.gif

They're not gospel, just a guide (but they are still here after a long while, so must have some merit!). Your one is for Thursday?

The NW GFS one is similar for then:

post-6667-0-18795100-1328025837_thumb.pn

TBH, your best bet for tomorrow is going to be to stick your head out of the window!!!!! :lol:

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Amanzi Explorer

Amanzi

Posted
  • Location: Bramley, Surrey
  • Location: Bramley, Surrey
Posted

They're not gospel, just a guide (but they are still here after a long while, so must have some merit!). Your one is for Thursday?

:blush: Just saw that. Is the NAE higher resolution, or do I have the complete wrong end of the stick :ph34r:

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JamesC Rookie

JamesC

Posted
  • Location: Guildford, Surrey
  • Location: Guildford, Surrey
Posted

:blush: Just saw that. Is the NAE higher resolution, or do I have the complete wrong end of the stick :ph34r:

No you are correct. The NAE is higher resolution than the GFS.

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Amanzi Explorer

Amanzi

Posted
  • Location: Bramley, Surrey
  • Location: Bramley, Surrey
Posted

They're not gospel, just a guide (but they are still here after a long while, so must have some merit!). Your one is for Thursday?

The NW GFS one is similar for then:

post-6667-0-18795100-1328025837_thumb.pn

TBH, your best bet for tomorrow is going to be to stick your head out of the window!!!!! :lol:

Ok thanks for that.

PS. If I stick my head out the window, according to Yamkins forecast my eyeballs will freeze instantly and my head will be buried by snowdrifts. (just joshing with you Yammers... you da man)

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

No you are correct. The NAE is higher resolution than the GFS.

What they do both suggest though is that there seems to be that little attack on East Anglia tomorrow, just not sure how far that will push into our region and what quantities of anything white it will bring. Another lot of indicators to look at tomorrow evening and see what actually happened.

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Marie Aficionado

Marie

Posted
  • Location: Brighton
  • Weather Preferences: snow cold,storms and heat
  • Location: Brighton
Posted

Temp currently 1.9 dewpoint 0.0 pressure 1019.3hpa,we havent seen the sun at all today been very grey cold and snizzle for a few hours this afternoon :drinks:

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

This is really going to sound ner ner ner nerrrr-ner imbyish, but I have seen run after run for a week now with snow over Eastbourne +/- 20 miles for this weekend. I know that's not a lot of use to many in this SE thread, but these latest ones are typical (again usual caveats apply):

post-6667-0-77549600-1328026744_thumb.pn

post-6667-0-01063500-1328026746_thumb.pn

post-6667-0-38316900-1328026747_thumb.pn

If this actually pans out, I'll meet you all in my local park for a snowball fight and some mulled wine!!! a045.gif (I've stocked up four cases of the stuff in the garage!!)

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JamesC Rookie

JamesC

Posted
  • Location: Guildford, Surrey
  • Location: Guildford, Surrey
Posted (edited)

If this actually pans out, I'll meet you all in my local park for a snowball fight and some mulled wine!!! a045.gif (I've stocked up four cases of the stuff in the garage!!)

I'm coming round even if it doesn't snow then!

Those charts do look good. How good/rubbish are the models at forecasting a streamer, I don't think I've ever seen one on a model before. Or is it me being a fool?

Edited by JamesC
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Marie Aficionado

Marie

Posted
  • Location: Brighton
  • Weather Preferences: snow cold,storms and heat
  • Location: Brighton
Posted

This is really going to sound ner ner ner nerrrr-ner imbyish, but I have seen run after run for a week now with snow over Eastbourne +/- 20 miles for this weekend. I know that's not a lot of use to many in this SE thread, but these latest ones are typical (again usual caveats apply):

post-6667-0-77549600-1328026744_thumb.pn

post-6667-0-01063500-1328026746_thumb.pn

post-6667-0-38316900-1328026747_thumb.pn

If this actually pans out, I'll meet you all in my local park for a snowball fight and some mulled wine!!! a045.gif (I've stocked up four cases of the stuff in the garage!!)

Snowball fight yes im up for that but will skip the mulled wine cant stand the stuff,never understood warm wine very odd lol :bad:
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95 Degrees Enthusiast

95 Degrees

Posted
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: 22-38C in summer with storms, cold in winter with some snow/or 15-25C
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex
Posted

This is really going to sound ner ner ner nerrrr-ner imbyish, but I have seen run after run for a week now with snow over Eastbourne +/- 20 miles for this weekend. I know that's not a lot of use to many in this SE thread, but these latest ones are typical (again usual caveats apply):

post-6667-0-77549600-1328026744_thumb.pn

post-6667-0-01063500-1328026746_thumb.pn

post-6667-0-38316900-1328026747_thumb.pn

If this actually pans out, I'll meet you all in my local park for a snowball fight and some mulled wine!!! a045.gif (I've stocked up four cases of the stuff in the garage!!)

Brighton is under the snow for alot of that, keep them coming coast!

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

post-12982-0-78661000-1328027380_thumb.p

Frontal snowfall.com. 12z doesn't look pretty. Block gets blasted out by +105. Still in FI though tbh.

Looks like an afternoon on the Downs Sunday and a day off work Monday to me!!!!! :yahoo:

Brighton is under the snow for alot of that, keep them coming coast!

(I don't make these up for us - they are available free from NW!!! :rofl: )

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

anything brewing later?

Tea, white one sugar? :unknw:

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Buzzit Contributor

Buzzit

Posted
  • Location: Savoy Circus W10 / W3
  • Location: Savoy Circus W10 / W3
Posted

As far as I am concerned +72 is the end of reality and anything else is completely fantasy island - personally I do not believe the breakdown will occur over the weekend as strong as is being shown by the models and the SE will stay in the cold. below is the latest precip chart at +72 from the 12z GFS... not too bad - I expect more than this :)

post-10554-0-35277300-1328028165_thumb.p

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Carol Frost Newbie

Carol Frost

Posted
  • Location: Gravesend, (Concrete) Garden of England
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: Cloudy, Warm (Not Hot) Winter: Thundersnow
  • Location: Gravesend, (Concrete) Garden of England
Posted

Doesn't sound like we need to do much lamp post watching tonight. Maybe later on in the week?

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