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Uk Convective General Discussion & Forecasts - May 2012 Part 2


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Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside

Estofex have forecast C, S and SE areas of UK a Level 1 for tomorrow mostly due to hail risk.

Edited by Dazmaster75
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Posted
  • Location: Norwich
  • Location: Norwich

Solway Firth, and either side I think would be my preferred location for today. Not sure why ESTOFEX have the >50% lightning prob and a level 1 out for such an isolated event?

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Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)

Solway Firth, and either side I think would be my preferred location for today. Not sure why ESTOFEX have the >50% lightning prob and a level 1 out for such an isolated event?

Best to cover all areas for this!, sure one should develop somewhere but difficult to place a zone, i am thinking maybe they expect more isolated but scattered potent shower cells and some could turn into intense storms with hail, they are covering a wide area i must say but thats whats best i think!
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Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)

post-11361-0-51359700-1337832163_thumb.g

(made those lightning symbols to)

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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Posted
  • Location: North Kenton (Tyne-and-Wear)6miles east from newcastle airport
  • Location: North Kenton (Tyne-and-Wear)6miles east from newcastle airport

Morning Everyone! wish i was down south today Shame im at work ! right on the coast. Doubt i will be seeing any storms today, I will be working not far from the Tyne Tunnel! Typical

post-4475-0-81392500-1337832370_thumb.pn

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Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)

Created a map on my ideas of convection, isolated intense showers developing towards late day(more likely i think later then earlier), the risk of the clouds gaining storm height is possible, so isolated but intense storm cells.

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

No time to post any charts this morning, but I'll have my eyes peeled this afternoon! If someone could post the usual stuff from the dedicated sites please?

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Posted
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms :D
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos

It certainly looks interesting today! excited about the forecast from Estofex

http://www.estofex.org/

it's going to be a hit and miss affair today I guess . Good luck to all anyway.

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