South East England & East Anglia Regional Discussion - July 12th 2012>

[Suburban Streamer]

I am - and all I can see is a large area of drizzle making its way down from the NW

u are failry well located i think. perhaps a tad too far north but u got a good chance. convergence zone from east wales thru midlands into east anglia. tallies with this mornings models, latest bbc forecasts and met office amber warning.

of course they could all be wrong but fingers crossed

Edited July 13, 2012 by Suburban Streamer

[Steve C]

u are failry well located i think. perhaps a tad too far north but u got a good chance. convergence zone from east wales thru midlands into east anglia. tallies with this mornings models, latest bbc forecasts and met office amber warning.

of course they could all be wrong but fingers crossed

Is there an amber warning now? Can't see it yet on their site.

[Steve C]

Here's the CAPE / LI forecast from the Hi Res Model (6:00 AM run) for 18:00 today. May give a good indication of the likely storm zone, if it happens.

[Keraunic]

Waiting to see what all the fuss is about round here.

Edited July 13, 2012 by Keraunophile

[Suburban Streamer]

Is there an amber warning now? Can't see it yet on their site.

yeah they have finally put it up....

http://www.metoffice...ather/warnings/

Edited July 13, 2012 by Suburban Streamer

[Eskimo]

Similar to what I forecast!

[Keraunic]

Yup, Amber Warning for EA now on my Meto App.

[Steve C]

Good calls all. Just need to see the colour of the Weather's money.

[Norfolk Sheep]

u are failry well located i think. perhaps a tad too far north but u got a good chance. convergence zone from east wales thru midlands into east anglia. tallies with this mornings models, latest bbc forecasts and met office amber warning.

of course they could all be wrong but fingers crossed

At least it's driveable to At this rate I might only have to venture to N Suffolk......better take me passport

EDIT - the drizzle has now become moderate rain....deep joy....

Edited July 13, 2012 by Norfolk Sheep

[Steve C]

Waiting to see what all the fuss is about round here.

You look like the ultimate child prodigy!

[WheresTheSnow]

When are these storms going to hit, I've never really seen a good thunder storm round here before.

[Guest archiesmummy]

I can't wait for the storms but does anyone else have a fear of them?

I don't like them but have a morbid fascination of them, I don't want to pass my fear on to my boys but they frighten the wotsit out of me!

Storms, not my kids!

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Similar to what I forecast!

Im in the red zone..You are my new best friend.

[Steve C]

I can't wait for the storms but does anyone else have a fear of them?

I don't like them but have a morbid fascination of them, I don't want to pass my fear on to my boys but they frighten the wotsit out of me!

Storms, not my kids!

I have a respect for them, which maybe I didn't have when I was younger.

It probably started from a time, in my teens, when I saw the result of a lightning strike on a bungalow opposite my house - why the bungalow was struck when it was surrounded by taller houses, I don't know.

Basically the lightning had travelled through the house and had left scorch marks on internal walls, notably in the bathroom. I'd have hated to be in that bathroom, when that happened.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Imagine if we could store the energy a lightning bolt generates 0.o

There are over 16 million lightning storms every year

n average bolt of lightning carries a negative electric current of 40 amperes (kA) (although some bolts can be up to 120 kA), and transfers a charge of five coulombs and 500 MJ, or enough energy to power a 100 watt lightbulb for just under two months

Lests do the maths... Even with an average of 10 bolts of lightning per storm.

thats enough power to light up...

16,000,000,0 100 watt bulbs for two months 0.o (I think that's right)

Edited July 13, 2012 by Surrey

[john pike]

just a quick post re end of month

ensembles

gfs main run with some high temperatures right at the end

nice

[Steve C]

Cheers John

A nice cheery thought for a Friday afternoon. There definitely seems to be a consensus forming for a change in the weather type.

Hopefully the kids and our tourist industry will get a reasonable summer holiday now.

Edited July 13, 2012 by Steve C

[Coast]

Tomorrow staking up for us in the extreme SE of the region:

Then a relatively quiet week with no real TStorms until next Friday:

[Snowangel-MK]

Amber Warning of Rain for London & South East England:

Buckinghamshire, Greater London, Milton Keynes & Oxfordshire

Valid from 1430 Fri 13 Jul to 2359 Fri 13 Jul

Amber Warning of Rain for East of England:

Bedford, Cambridgeshire, Central Bedfordshire, Hertfordshire, Luton, Essex, Suffolk & Norfolk

Valid from 1430 Fri 13 Jul to 2359 Fri 13 Jul

[Norfolk Sheep]

BBC forecast now showing only drizzly rain for East Anglia, any storms look to be no further north than Essex. I'll get on with the cleaning and ironing then.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

lift of to the west?

[Snowangel-MK]

Sunshine and big black clouds here....something must be brewing now even if it is only rain

[Steve C]

I think NS, that you are probably too far north, but never say never. With the fairly decent sunshine here, then maybe ourselves in Essex and Suffolk too could get something - possibly rush hour time.

I'm never optimistic about the chance of a storm being right overhead in any event.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

heres hoping

[Keraunic]

I was scared of them as a kid; but then I got caught out in one when I was 13 and promptly lost my fear and became terribly excited during storms. And blah blah years down the line I STILL get high during storms. Not having kids of my own I've passed on the love of them to my sisters kids (now grown up) and their kids.

Sorry, gone completely off topic there.